October 31, 2024, 07:43:26 PM

Author Topic: Hurricane Katia  (Read 11455 times)

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Tropical Storm Katia
« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2011, 10:41:29 PM »
11:00 PM AST Tue Aug 30
Location: 13.3°N 37.5°W
Max sustained: 60 mph
Moving: WNW at 22 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb

New tracks are out.

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Tropical Storm Katia
« Reply #16 on: August 31, 2011, 04:52:19 PM »
5:00 PM AST Wed Aug 31
Location: 14.6°N 42.6°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 990 mb

My projected path below
« Last Edit: August 31, 2011, 05:04:54 PM by Alex »

phw115wvwx

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Re: Tropical Storm Katia
« Reply #17 on: August 31, 2011, 04:52:45 PM »
Tropical Storm Katia is almost a hurricane now, but the forecast track makes me think that it will curve northward in between the United States and Bermuda.  We will see if my hunch holds up by next week.

Offline Yo Face Here

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Re: Tropical Storm Katia
« Reply #18 on: August 31, 2011, 09:40:49 PM »
The track forecast of Katia isn't surprising me. Storms that form far out have a tendency to curve off. :<

She'll probably strengthen quite a bit, but I see no real threat atm.

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #19 on: August 31, 2011, 10:48:56 PM »
11:00 PM AST Wed Aug 31
Location: 15.0°N 44.4°W
Max sustained: 75 mph
Moving: WNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 987 mb

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #20 on: August 31, 2011, 11:16:13 PM »
Something of interest to me, the track bend slightly west or WNW again by Monday, delaying the N turn. Gonna be a close call for Bermuda.



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Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Tropical Storm Katia
« Reply #21 on: September 01, 2011, 12:53:39 AM »
The track forecast of Katia isn't surprising me. Storms that form far out have a tendency to curve off. :<

She'll probably strengthen quite a bit, but I see no real threat atm.

Yeah, what's the deal with the storms curving to the north again? I'm not really an expert, but I thought this wasn't supposed to happen as much this year because of shifts in weather patterns. :dunno:

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #22 on: September 01, 2011, 07:28:22 AM »
There have been a ton of upper-level troughs off the East Coast this entire year, and it's been a constant pattern.  I had mentioned about it to you all back in June.  It just shows there are far more things at work than just El Niño and La Niña in our atmosphere.

Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #23 on: September 01, 2011, 04:05:53 PM »
Hmm, from the looks of it, projected paths don't have Katia making a major northward turn through Tuesday yet. I wonder how close to the east coast it's going to come. :blink:

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #24 on: September 01, 2011, 04:56:18 PM »
5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 1
Location: 16.1°N 49.2°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: W at 18 mph
Min pressure: 990 mb

Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #25 on: September 01, 2011, 06:21:48 PM »
The shear has really begun to play against Katia over the last few hours, but that shear should begin to weaken by 12 hours out and allow her to reform into a hurricane. The tracks vary quite a bit, since models disagree about whether the subtropical ridge will rebuild or not. The fact that some models are going more westerly than northwesterly at the end of the period should be raising a few red flags, though.
Tiddlywinks.

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #26 on: September 01, 2011, 10:13:38 PM »
GFS as of 8pm AST

"pointing towards the US"

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #27 on: September 01, 2011, 10:53:50 PM »
11:00 PM AST Thu Sep 1
Location: 16.7°N 50.6°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 990 mb

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #28 on: September 01, 2011, 11:16:01 PM »
11:00 PM AST Thu Sep 1
Location: 16.7°N 50.6°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 990 mb
What's the point? :huh:

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Katia
« Reply #29 on: September 01, 2011, 11:37:52 PM »
Preliminary track, it's further west than I was thinking yesterday.


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