Hurricane Earl- Storm Train

[WeatherWitness]

Earl is now a hurricane! As of 8 AM EDT (a while ago, actually), sustained winds are at 75 mph.

[toxictwister00]

Updated 11am track via NHC There's a 20% chance of tropical storm force winds will be felt from NC to MA from Earl, but a 0% chance of hurricane force winds.

EDIT: Unless the NHC expects that sharp turn right to come near the end of their 5 day cone, a lot of folks are gonna be boarding up this weekend.

[gt1racerlHDl]

it's kind of weird how they are projecting Earl to Hit the Southern New England Coastline.

[bergone]

I hope it takes this track:

[Localonthe8s]

it's kind of weird how they are projecting Earl to Hit the Southern New England Coastline.

yeah that is weird or the southern jersey coast

[weatherlover94]

its defiantly going to be interesting some of the models have shifted closer to the coast line while others got farther away the hurricane hunter air craft has found winds of 81 mph so likely at 5 pm the winds will be increased to 80 mph it will be more interesting to see what the path says to

[gt1racerlHDl]

up to 85mph as of 5pm adv also

[weatherlover94]

i say NC you are in the clear but new england and new york if the top of that path shifts left... wich i dont see right now but if it does then you have something to worry about this could pull a Gloria but we have to wait and see how long first it takes it to turn nw right now its wnw

[weatherlover94]

by tomorrow morn it could show a new england landfall

[toxictwister00]

5pm Updated Track

[WeatherWitness]

From the latest projected path, it looks like Earl won't be making any kind of direct landfall in the US. Its outer bands and wind effects will be felt by a lot of New England states, though. This storm is expected to become a major cat 3 hurricane, with winds of 130 mph by Tuesday afternoon. Probably hard to believe since it once was a tropical storm struggling to stay alive.

Here is TWC's projected path:



And, wow, I can't believe this topic is still called Tropical Storm Earl.

[weatherlover94]

thats true but something is not right check out these model runs compared to the nhc track  http://tc.met.psu.edu/ this shows the gfs and the hwrf model shows a very close to new england landfall but the nhc track says no

[phw115wvwx]

With the way the track is now shifting eastward, I actually feel the entire East Coast will be spared.  Cape Cod may have some interesting weather though.

And, wow, I can't believe this topic is still called Tropical Storm Earl.

It's now fixed.  Only the person who starts the topic or an admin can change the topic titles to stand for everyone.

[gt1racerlHDl]

With the way the track is now shifting eastward, I actually feel the entire East Coast will be spared.  Cape Cod may have some interesting weather though.

And, wow, I can't believe this topic is still called Tropical Storm Earl.

It's now fixed.  Only the person who starts the topic or an admin can change the topic titles to stand for everyone.

Don't Forget Fall River, because they will be fringed too

[weatherlover94]

i guess i could agree there with you its still a wait and see game though if you know what i mean we will find out what happens at 8 and 11 and have another update then