Hurricane Earl- Storm Train

[TWCmatthew]

Tropical Depression 7 has formed following Danielle as of the 11 AM advisory. It is expected to become Earl later today or Thursday. This system has an higher risk of making landfall in the U.S. than Danielle due to the ridge moving on off. This is going to be very interesting! 

[phw115wvwx]

Tropical Depression 7 has formed following Danielle as of the 11 AM advisory. It is expected to become Earl later today or Thursday. This system has an higher risk of making landfall in the U.S. than Danielle due to the ridge moving on off. This is going to be very interesting! 

NHC's forecast track for it is definitely more ominous to me than Danielle's track.

[Al]

Tropical Depression 7 is now Tropical Storm Earl as of the 5pm Advisory

[TWCToday]

Merging topics... 96L became TD Earl. Keep an eye on active discussions before making a new topic in the future

[WeatherWitness]

The projected path of Tropical Storm Earl looks like it might have some impact to the United States! I know it's far out, but possibly Florida or the east coast could get a hit if the storm does not turn drastically north.

[TWCToday]

Models have been getting Earl caught up in the ridge but the latest runnings are showing that scenario become increasingly unlikely.

[bergone]

Here we go folks...

[toxictwister00]

Models have been getting Earl caught up in the ridge but the latest runnings are showing that scenario become increasingly unlikely.

I agree with this, I don't believe that will be the case, but we'll have to see how things pan out over the next several days. 

[phw115wvwx]

Winds remains at 40 mph for Tropical Storm Earl as of 11 PM, but it should become a hurricane in a couple days as upper level conditions gradually improve.  I saw model runs way out in the future that have Earl miss the East Coast, but it appeared to get closer than Danielle is expected to reach.  We'll have to wait and see.

[TWCmatthew]

I would expect it to impact the east coast US as the ridge moves on, but maybe other factors come into play.

[bergone]

50/50 chance at this point. Could hit US, could be a fish storm. IMO

[Donovan]

I hope it hits SC as a weak low or tropical storm. We need some Rain!

[bergone]

If it hits SC it seems unlikely it would be a tropical storm or weaker than that. Easily a hurricane, maybe as strong as cat 3. However that is a far stretch. For now.

[Donovan]

If it hits SC it seems unlikely it would be a tropical storm or weaker than that. Easily a hurricane, maybe as strong as cat 3. However that is a far stretch. For now.

I know it is too much of a stretch but, for now as you said it doesn't look that likely unless something changes with what steers it.

[WeatherWitness]

From the projected paths, Earl is also likely to become a major hurricane. As of 11 PM EDT, winds have increased slightly to 45 mph. By Tuesday evening, though, it looks like Earl may become a major hurricane. I wonder if it will make a drastic turn to the north or head for the US East Coast.