Official Ike Storm Alert Thread

[tpirfan28]

Round three, and we start with Ike as a cat 4 nearing Cuba.  The Walker/Davis combo to play first.

Same rules apply as the other two threads.

(And yeah, this looks like a Storm Alert activator.  Twice maybe (the Keys/the Gulf).)

Edited to remove "hype" since this is da real deal.

[Spring Rubber]

You mean Walker/Brown...

Anyway, the Keys *probably* aren't going to be hit, and by the time Ike gets over Cuba, there's a chance that it might not even restrengthen to major hurricane status before hitting the U.S. We all saw what happened to Gustav after it got into the Gulf; it actually weakened. I guess we'll see what happens with Ike.

[toxictwister00]

You mean Walker/Brown...

Anyway, the Keys *probably* aren't going to be hit, and by the time Ike gets over Cuba, there's a chance that it might not even restrengthen to major hurricane status before hitting the U.S. We all saw what happened to Gustav after it got into the Gulf; it actually weakened. I guess we'll see what happens with Ike.

What happened to Gustav and what's happening to Ike are completely different. Gustav weakened into the GOM because dry air choked it off. Unlike Ike who's been able to fight against 30 knots of shear and cooler water in the past w/o weakening. The reason it's weakening now is because it's going through an ERWC. There isn't much dry air this time in the Gulf so it COULD explode again once it's out there. Just look at yseterday it went from a Cat. 2 - 4 in just a few hours.
I would be more worried about if that through pulls it north into Flordia before it gets too far west.

[Spring Rubber]

Now Paul and Alexandra are doing EE tonight. Wow, I seriously didn't expect that...

[Localonthe8s]

Is it me or did they skip the :18 and :48 lfs?

[beanboy89]

So now that Ike is into the Gulf and it is set to make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning as a strong Category 3, when do you think TWC will go into Storm Alert?

[Alejandro]

So now that Ike is into the Gulf and it is set to make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning as a strong Category 3, when do you think TWC will go into Storm Alert?

Most likely Saturday Morning

[beanboy89]

So now that Ike is into the Gulf and it is set to make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning as a strong Category 3, when do you think TWC will go into Storm Alert?

Most likely Saturday Morning

Unless Ike really slows down, there's no way they will wait until Saturday morning to activate Storm Alert.

My guess is sometime late Friday afternoon or Friday evening.

[Alejandro]

So now that Ike is into the Gulf and it is set to make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning as a strong Category 3, when do you think TWC will go into Storm Alert?

Most likely Saturday Morning

Unless Ike really slows down, there's no way they will wait until Saturday morning to activate Storm Alert.

My guess is sometime late Friday afternoon or Friday evening.

They waited till Gustav was about to make landfall to activate it so i'm looking for them to do the same actions as Gustav and wait till Saturday

[beanboy89]

So now that Ike is into the Gulf and it is set to make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning as a strong Category 3, when do you think TWC will go into Storm Alert?

Most likely Saturday Morning

Unless Ike really slows down, there's no way they will wait until Saturday morning to activate Storm Alert.

My guess is sometime late Friday afternoon or Friday evening.

They waited till Gustav was about to make landfall to activate it so i'm looking for them to do the same actions as Gustav and wait till Saturday

They went into Storm Alert about 14½ hours before Gustav made landfall in Louisiana. Storm Alert was started at 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, and Gustav made landfall at 10:30 AM ET Monday.

I suspect it will be the same this time around with Ike.

[lfmusiclover]

I'm guessing it'll be Friday evening.

[Spring Rubber]

I guess TWC's hype is nothing compared to CNN's hype. They had CNN on in one of the eateries at my school, and they did a huge "BREAKING NEWS" segment on Ike, and their meteorologist, from what I heard, introduced the segment by saying something like, "Hurricane Ike. A category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 135 mph. (pause) Or at least that's what it could be at landfall." They seriously tried to make it sound like it was already a cat 4 until that dramatic pause and the revelation that they were actually talking about the future.

[robomaeyhem]

I think I remember Paul around 8pm saying that Storm Alert at TWC means that a Hurricane is going to make landfall in the US between 15 and 18 hours, The timing was a few hours off, but they were very close

I say they go into Storm Alert 4pm Friday

[Thecoolwriter]

Yeah, that's what I'd say too.

[tpirfan28]

I think it's safe to remove "hype" from up there...this looks like a big one.

And yes, it's 15-18 hrs before landfall, Cat 3+.