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My mom passed away Sunday. She was pronounced dead at 19:19 EDT, however she may have passed earlier than that. I'm going to be busy with a lot of responsibilities I have to take care of, so I do apologize in advance if I don't get to messages right away or seem snippy. RIP mom .... July 27, 1956 - May 26, 2013.I am so sorry about your loss.
Sidenote: Score 1 to the GFS for sniffing this puppy out 2 weeks in advance.I cringed when I first saw this but we only ran into heavy rain from Tallahassee to I-75. All is well now.
Whether this system develops into anything or not, there's going to be some significant problems. Flood watches are up for most of the Florida peninsula, and I wouldn't be surprised to see some severe weather as well.Oh no!!!
We are going to be driving in it. This makes me so mad! 
Those who survived this historic tornado, including TWC's crew, should really think twice now.I think I heard Mike Bettus say that he was considering not going on the tornado hunt next year.
Up to 40% this afternoonYou seem happy that the chance of it becoming Andrea is getting better. I'm not. We are leaving for SW Florida on Thursday and I don't want us to be driving in it.Code: [Select]1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED AND
LOCATED WELL EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO..BEFORE THE LOW INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE..40 PERCENT..OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA..CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...AS WELL
AS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
Below is my first preliminary storm track map along w/ an approx. landfall point and possible max wind speeds.
The Atlantic hurricane season predictions are out now. TWC is going for 16 tropical storms, with 9 becoming hurricanes and 5 becoming major hurricanes. Some sound advice came with this prediction, though: the number of hurricanes is not as significant as the number of landfalling hurricanes. Additionally, it seems like they predict an above normal hurricane season every year.They make a very good point when they say that numbers don't matter. It's if any hit the U.S. coast that matters. You can have a very active season and still see no storms making landfall on the U.S. coast, like in 2010, and you can have a below average season, like 1992, and still have only one storm - which is all it takes - to make landfall in the U.S. and be (at that time) the most costly hurricane is U.S. history (Andrew). Also, you are right, they do predict an active season every year. They haven't always been right, though.
Today is officially the start of Hurricane Season and we have our first CODE YELLOW area to start the season off.Well, you heard it from National Hurricane Center itself. It has a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone the next 48 hours. Now, that might change. But for now, that also means a 90% chance of not forming into a tropical cyclone.Code: [Select]1. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY TO LAND. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
