241
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Gabrielle
« on: September 04, 2013, 06:46:37 PM »OFFICIAL:At least it will leave the U.S. coast alone.
This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.
OFFICIAL:At least it will leave the U.S. coast alone.
Unless the Atlantic basin has a record-setting September and October, it looks like the predictions for this year were pretty off. At least the good news is that fewer storms means the likelihood of serious damage is less.The forecasters were wrong. I think people like Jim Cantore (and others like him) are dissapointed about the lack of activity. Of course, there can still be a bad one, like Andrew, but it doesn't look like it right now. Usually, by now were on the "J" or "K" storm, which would be Jerry or Karen. That's about where we'd be right now had the forecasters been correct. And we don't even have to have an el nino pattern to have a relatively quiet season.
These New OCMs could be part of the Upcoming Local On The 8s "Relaunch"What's the local on the 8s relaunch? BTW, I haven't seen Keith Carson on yet.
It's way too early to talk about the United States with this system. The winds are at 50 mph, but Dorian has a difficult environment ahead with cooler sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear. I'm more wondering if it will even survive like Chantal as the forward speed of Dorian is too fast at 21 mph. Let's wait and see if it reaches the Leeward Islands first.It just came off the coast of Africa, didn't it, like a day or two ago? I think you're right.
12z GFS is VERY excited about Dorian. It keeps it robust it's entire trip through the Atlantic. This run suggests no United States Landfall, but it gets close...Are you saying you want it to affect the U.S. mainland?
Loop: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsfull/2013072412/gfsfull_pres_pcpn_atl.html
I on the other hand don't share the same enthusiasm the GFS does right now.
Jennifer Lopez is fantastic. Glad to see her back. Pleasant surprise turning on TWC to see Vivian Brown and her on "Day Planner."I know it. Jennifer said she was filling in for Nick Walker.