Tropical Storm Jose

[TWCmatthew]

Other than skirting by Bermuda... this looks like a fish storm.

It will likely weaken to a depression over the next 48 hours.

[Mr. Rainman]

My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

[Localonthe8s]

Anyone noticed how most of the storms out in the Atlantic are traveling northwards compared to last year when they skirted down in the Caribbean?

[WeatherWitness]

My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

This isn't remnants of (former) TD ten reforming, is it?

And although this storm won't affect the U.S., I guess Bermuda may get a little out of it.

[Mr. Rainman]

The remnants of TD 10 are marked as a separate invest well to the south and east, so I don't know where Jose came from.

[TWCC_DJK5555]

My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

A couple years ago there was a system (I can't remember its name).  When I went to bed that night, it had a 10% chance of development on the Gulf Coast of Florida.  In the morning it was a TS.

Meteorologists aren't looking into a crystal ball, they're basically making educated guesses.  Occasionally, things happen that defy explanation.   

[Zach]

My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

A couple years ago there was a system (I can't remember its name).  When I went to bed that night, it had a 10% chance of development on the Gulf Coast of Florida.  In the morning it was a TS.

Meteorologists aren't looking into a crystal ball, they're basically making educated guesses.  Occasionally, things happen that defy explanation.   

Claudette is what your thinking of more than likely, from 2009 

[TWCC_DJK5555]

Claudette is what your thinking of more than likely, from 2009 

Thanks.   

We might be seeing Katia soon.  This wave was 20% yesterday, 30% this morning, and 70% now.

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH
OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 T0 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.