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Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: TWCmatthew on August 28, 2011, 08:09:29 AM

Title: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: TWCmatthew on August 28, 2011, 08:09:29 AM
Other than skirting by Bermuda... this looks like a fish storm.

It will likely weaken to a depression over the next 48 hours.
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: Mr. Rainman on August 28, 2011, 12:32:57 PM
My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: Localonthe8s on August 28, 2011, 12:36:30 PM
Anyone noticed how most of the storms out in the Atlantic are traveling northwards compared to last year when they skirted down in the Caribbean?
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: WeatherWitness on August 28, 2011, 12:38:58 PM
My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

This isn't remnants of (former) TD ten reforming, is it? :dunno:

And although this storm won't affect the U.S., I guess Bermuda may get a little out of it.
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: Mr. Rainman on August 28, 2011, 12:46:05 PM
The remnants of TD 10 are marked as a separate invest well to the south and east, so I don't know where Jose came from.
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on August 28, 2011, 01:29:41 PM
My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

A couple years ago there was a system (I can't remember its name).  When I went to bed that night, it had a 10% chance of development on the Gulf Coast of Florida.  In the morning it was a TS.

Meteorologists aren't looking into a crystal ball, they're basically making educated guesses.  Occasionally, things happen that defy explanation.   :dunno:
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: Zach on August 28, 2011, 01:33:44 PM
My question is: how on God's green earth did Jose form out of a system that NHC had consistently said had a near 0% chance of development? This storm doesn't deserve to be named at all, in my opinion.

A couple years ago there was a system (I can't remember its name).  When I went to bed that night, it had a 10% chance of development on the Gulf Coast of Florida.  In the morning it was a TS.

Meteorologists aren't looking into a crystal ball, they're basically making educated guesses.  Occasionally, things happen that defy explanation.   :dunno:
Claudette is what your thinking of more than likely, from 2009  :yes:
Title: Re: Tropical Storm Jose
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on August 28, 2011, 04:12:29 PM
Claudette is what your thinking of more than likely, from 2009  :yes:

Thanks.   B)

We might be seeing Katia soon.  This wave was 20% yesterday, 30% this morning, and 70% now.

Quote
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH
OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 T0 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.