November 26, 2024, 06:20:13 AM

Author Topic: Hurricane Irene  (Read 45596 times)

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #180 on: August 25, 2011, 06:30:24 AM »
As of this morning

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #181 on: August 25, 2011, 10:30:29 AM »
Forecasters in the Midatlantic/NE are gonna have a heck of a hard time with Irene. I'm gaining more doubt on whether it'll even reach Cat 4 intensity before weakening again. ERC seems to be taking forever to finish, but the last I heard the inner eyewall had finally collasped, now the outer eyewall has to pull itself together before it can start intensifying again.


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Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #182 on: August 25, 2011, 10:59:27 AM »
Emergency Management Bulletin on my IS2. Don't think anyone has recorded one of these in the past

Hurricane Irene- Emergency Management Bulletin

Hurricane Watch Scroll under Smokey Skies

Hurricane Watch


Why did you remove the videos, Martin? :blink:

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #183 on: August 25, 2011, 11:15:52 AM »
Emergency Management Bulletin on my IS2. Don't think anyone has recorded one of these in the past

Hurricane Irene- Emergency Management Bulletin

Hurricane Watch Scroll under Smokey Skies

Hurricane Watch


Why did you remove the videos, Martin? :blink:


Try The links now in the above quote Andy, he reuploaded them about 1 hr ago.

Here's what the Red box looks like
in my area
« Last Edit: August 25, 2011, 11:20:01 AM by Alex »

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #184 on: August 25, 2011, 11:19:27 AM »
She's waking up from her long nap!



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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #185 on: August 25, 2011, 11:28:59 AM »
I find it funny how we dodged through 8 fish storms so far this season, and the first hurricane,Irene, causes mass pandemonium amongst everyone.

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #186 on: August 25, 2011, 11:47:24 AM »
As Vivian Brown said the other day, "We are hyping up this storm and rightfully so." Some folks are only looking at the small picture with Irene, it may only be at Cat. 1/2 once it gets past the NC, but she is massive, coming close to Katrina's size and even more bigger since the eyewall replacement cycle hurricane force winds extend out well over 70 miles and tropical storm force winds nearly 300 miles. My concern is not more so the winds for the NE, it's the rain. Irene reminds me so much of Ike, it has a very low pressure equaling out to a Cat. 4, but winds are lagging. Ike was able to do some amazingly devastating damage despite only having Cat. 2 winds. In the case of Irene, the damage risk is much higher because you're talking about

-Irene affecting a very large real estate of population.
-Over saturated soil in the NE making it more easier for trees to fall even if you only experience weak tropical storm winds.
-Flooding/possible high storm surge in some areas.

Noone should be underestimating what Irene has the potential to do. With Irene and any hurricane you should expect the worse and hope for the best.


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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #187 on: August 25, 2011, 01:05:00 PM »
Closer shot of Irene's eye





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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #188 on: August 25, 2011, 01:12:34 PM »
As Vivian Brown said the other day, "We are hyping up this storm and rightfully so." Some folks are only looking at the small picture with Irene, it may only be at Cat. 1/2 once it gets past the NC, but she is massive, coming close to Katrina's size and even more bigger since the eyewall replacement cycle hurricane force winds extend out well over 70 miles and tropical storm force winds nearly 300 miles. My concern is not more so the winds for the NE, it's the rain. Irene reminds me so much of Ike, it has a very low pressure equaling out to a Cat. 4, but winds are lagging. Ike was able to do some amazingly devastating damage despite only having Cat. 2 winds. In the case of Irene, the damage risk is much higher because you're talking about

-Irene affecting a very large real estate of population.
-Over saturated soil in the NE making it more easier for trees to fall even if you only experience weak tropical storm winds.
-Flooding/possible high storm surge in some areas.

Noone should be underestimating what Irene has the potential to do. With Irene and any hurricane you should expect the worse and hope for the best.
They keep saying NJ, NY and southern MA will be the hardest hit, but I have a feeling it'll be nothing more than just a rainstorm

Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #189 on: August 25, 2011, 01:26:21 PM »
They keep saying NJ, NY and southern MA will be the hardest hit, but I have a feeling it'll be nothing more than just a rainstorm

TWC's Hurricane Tracker has the center of the storm passing right over Atlantic City. Are you sure about that? :dunno:

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #190 on: August 25, 2011, 01:34:25 PM »
They keep saying NJ, NY and southern MA will be the hardest hit, but I have a feeling it'll be nothing more than just a rainstorm

TWC's Hurricane Tracker has the center of the storm passing right over Atlantic City. Are you sure about that? :dunno:
And consequently, that's where I live. My house actually faces the boardwalk and when we had several close calls, we got nothing more than just rain and wind. I'm not evacuating though - too much hassle.

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #191 on: August 25, 2011, 01:37:56 PM »
They keep saying NJ, NY and southern MA will be the hardest hit, but I have a feeling it'll be nothing more than just a rainstorm

One thing to keep in mind also: Large hurricanes are slower to weaken and as I said in my post, it's not going to take much wind to cause widespread wind damage due to over saturated grounds in many spots of the NE/ MidAtlantic, that alone can cause some disruption on top of wind damage that could occur from  tall buildings/skyscrapers in the form of shattered windows. The further up in stories you go the stronger the winds get since it's causing a "wind tunnel" effect from the tight close proximity of buildings.

As far as Irene stands now Eyewall Replacement Cycle appears to have completed, expect Irene to strengthen over the next 12-18 hours to a Strong Cat. 3

The chances I think Irene has at a run of Cat. 4 before slow weakening: LOW


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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #192 on: August 25, 2011, 01:44:46 PM »
Based on what I've seen to this point, it looks like Morehead City, NC could be the first landfall location.  It's going to all depend on how the upper-level trough over the Great Lakes interacts with Irene to figure out the exact track towards the New England states.

Offline Localonthe8s

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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #194 on: August 25, 2011, 01:52:34 PM »
Jam Packed discussion out of Mt. Holly, NJ - It's the longest discussion I've ever seen if you want to read it, the link is below. I'm quoting the part that really caught my eye.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Quote
INTERESTING TO NOTE IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG 250 MB JET
NORTH OF THE HURRICANE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, GENERALLY FROM THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SOME OF THE MODELS
INDICATE THAT THE ORIENTATION OF THIS JET IS SUCH THAT IRENE IS
WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION AS SHE TRACKS NORTHWARD. THIS
SCENARIO COULD HELP WITH A POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNEL
AND ASSIST IN THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE.
AS STATED
BEFORE, LOTS TO IRON OUT WITH THE DETAILS AS IT DEPENDS ON THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER.



Also, I've heard a mandatory evacuation is in effect for Ocean City, MD as well as a State of Emergency for NJ.

EDIT: Webcam from Hollywood Beach, FL - Looks rough to be out on the beach.
http://sugarreefgrill.com/web_photos.html
« Last Edit: August 25, 2011, 01:59:43 PM by Weatherlover »


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