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Author Topic: Hurricane Irene  (Read 45536 times)

Offline wachirawits12

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #45 on: August 21, 2011, 08:21:00 PM »
Latest Advisories have IRENE at 60mph and pressure at 995. Below is the current storm satellite view and the updated storm track which should be my last for today....except maybe a few updates here and there this evening...
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 08:22:57 PM by wachirawits12 »
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Offline Eric

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #46 on: August 21, 2011, 08:38:02 PM »
I've seen the projected path skirt all over the Florida peninsula, from off the east coast to off the west coast to everywhere in between.  Unless it fizzles out like Emily or veers considerably off of this projection, though, it looks like the third time's the charm (oh... "joy") and I'll be experiencing something from Irene.

P.S.: Why do I always keep wanting to write Irčne?  Because that's what the name is in two of my three languages.  :)
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Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #47 on: August 21, 2011, 08:41:20 PM »
What's surprising me is that Brian Norcross just said there would be a weaker steering flow for Irene (Weak Jet Stream Dip in New England on Thursday), and he showed 3 arrows Left Arrow in NW direction = Florida, Center Arrow = SE GA/SC coast, Right Arrow NE direction = pointing towards Nova Scotia and the Open Atlantic Ocean.

I still go for the Northeastern arrow so nobody in the US is immediately affected from the storm.
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 08:43:12 PM by Alex »
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Offline Eric

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #48 on: August 21, 2011, 08:44:50 PM »
Of course, the track out into the open ocean would be beneficial for all (except, maybe, poor Texas), but I think that's the least likely of the scenarios.  Of course, the way this year's been going, all bets are off.

Speaking of Texas, Don's literal and rapid disintegration still shocks me.
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Offline Donovan

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #49 on: August 21, 2011, 09:01:56 PM »
Looks like eye wall replacement going on.... *Well its not a true replacment... just starting to see a change on radar...
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 09:03:45 PM by Donovan »
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Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #50 on: August 21, 2011, 09:10:02 PM »
Guys, from what I've been watching, neither TWC nor the NHC have changed the projected path or Irene all day. Yet I'm seeing many different paths being posted here. :wacko: Now I understand the path can change at any minute and the projected path is to provide only a general idea, but where are you all getting the information from, primarily that Irene will shift so far east that it will probably only brush Florida's east coast and possibly turn away from the U.S. like Earl did? Some of the differences in the projected paths I'm seeing are pretty drastic.
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #51 on: August 21, 2011, 09:17:59 PM »
I wish that center would stay in one place, it would make it easier for me to track. It's been jumping around since yesterday.
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Offline Eric

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #52 on: August 21, 2011, 09:18:38 PM »
I just checked various websites - TWC, Accu-Weather, and the NWS.  They're all predicting Irene to impact the Daytona Beach area from late Thursday to early Saturday.
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Offline wachirawits12

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #53 on: August 21, 2011, 09:22:16 PM »
Quote from: WeatherWitness on August 21, 2011, 09:10:02 PM
Guys, from what I've been watching, neither TWC nor the NHC have changed the projected path or Irene all day. Yet I'm seeing many different paths being posted here. :wacko: Now I understand the path can change at any minute and the projected path is to provide only a general idea, but where are you all getting the information from, primarily that Irene will shift so far east that it will probably only brush Florida's east coast and possibly turn away from the U.S. like Earl did? Some of the differences in the projected paths I'm seeing are pretty drastic.

Here is my projected path which is much further east than the NHC or TWC...Why? Because most of the models have now turned more east ward and I've seen that for awhile now which is why my path now look like this...
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 11:19:58 PM by wachirawits12 »
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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #54 on: August 21, 2011, 09:56:43 PM »
I'll believe it when I see it. Personally, I think everyone is hyping about this storm too early.
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Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #55 on: August 21, 2011, 09:57:18 PM »
www.youtube.com/watch?v=yX0muwE9-w4
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #56 on: August 21, 2011, 10:07:40 PM »
Quote from: Localonthe8s on August 21, 2011, 09:56:43 PM
I'll believe it when I see it. Personally, I think everyone is hyping about this storm too early.

It's completely understandable when it's the first serious threat for the US in 3 years, but I kinda feel the same way you do. We have been dodging so many bullets with these tropical cyclones it's hard to believe we could have something significant on our hands, but we can dodge the bullet for only so long and because of that I'm still going to treat Irene as a serious threat unless there comes a point over the next several days that it shouldn't.

EDIT: RECON Hurricane Hunters report

SFMR
Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind

66 knots
(~ 75.9 mph)

Might have Hurricane Irene soon...
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 10:14:11 PM by Weatherlover »
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Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #57 on: August 21, 2011, 10:31:03 PM »
That's a peak. Most likely, the sustained is just below that. I'm guessing 65 to 70 mph in the next advisory.
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #58 on: August 21, 2011, 10:51:03 PM »
Quote from: plane852 on August 21, 2011, 10:31:03 PM
That's a peak. Most likely, the sustained is just below that. I'm guessing 65 to 70 mph in the next advisory.

Looks like you were right, 70mph as of 11pm.

NHC shifts east once again showing more of a threat for SC/GA on the right side. Also notice they keep Irene at hurricane strength as it skits the east coast of FL.
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 10:53:41 PM by Weatherlover »
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Offline wachirawits12

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Re: Hurricane Irene
« Reply #59 on: August 21, 2011, 10:53:08 PM »
Are you kidding me :P The National Hurricane center put their newest cone almost exactly the same as mine and also almost exact same Wind Speed :P
« Last Edit: August 21, 2011, 10:56:49 PM by wachirawits12 »
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