Hurricane Irene

[Localonthe8s]

Boo, I'm under a medium risk.

[gt1racerlHDl]

Boo, I'm under a medium risk.

it's just preliminary, the threat level for MA,NY,NJ is bound to be at high by this weekend because of the eastern-most track.

[toxictwister00]

I knew Irene was massive, but wow! I compared it's size now with a red ring around it and took another red ring of the same size and placed it over the SE region, needless to say whether I'm affected or not by rain and wind, I may see some decent cloud cover as it passes by.

EDIT: It's also beginning to take on that classic hurricane shape, it's gonna be a while, but it's getting there.

[Donovan]

Short Story... Today in guy class, well after gym in the lobby... My heart literally dropped... The teacher upright said "Guys, we have a category 3 Hurricane potentially coming by NHC"........ I'm quite nervous, but right now there isn't nearly much concern as there will be potentially Thursday/Friday... I'm just outside Charleston, SC. I'm seeing a trend with the models shifting to the east, so possibly this thing will miss with its most distructive part... None the less, category 3 isn't something we on the SE Coast want to play with.. Get ready now.

[wachirawits12]

My friends and I are putting out 5 P.M EDT Advisory Projected Path update....As of now if Irene moving in the direction I think it will, it will not be impact by land and could strengthen to a Cat 4...

[Trevor]

Short Story... Today in guy class, well after gym in the lobby... My heart literally dropped... The teacher upright said "Guys, we have a category 3 Hurricane potentially coming by NHC"........ I'm quite nervous, but right now there isn't nearly much concern as there will be potentially Thursday/Friday... I'm just outside Charleston, SC. I'm seeing a trend with the models shifting to the east, so possibly this thing will miss with its most distructive part... None the less, category 3 isn't something we on the SE Coast want to play with.. Get ready now.

Donovan, if you don't already, get a Hurricane Plan ready...NOW. Even if it doesn't impact you, it's good to have one for next time.

[toxictwister00]

Short Story... Today in guy class, well after gym in the lobby... My heart literally dropped... The teacher upright said "Guys, we have a category 3 Hurricane potentially coming by NHC"........ I'm quite nervous, but right now there isn't nearly much concern as there will be potentially Thursday/Friday... I'm just outside Charleston, SC. I'm seeing a trend with the models shifting to the east, so possibly this thing will miss with its most distructive part... None the less, category 3 isn't something we on the SE Coast want to play with.. Get ready now.

I'm sure your teacher was just as concerned as anyone would be, but to say something like that when there's still uncertainty in the track is not really a good idea, but it's always good to prepare anyway to be on the safe side. I've heard what I considered to be good news from Savannah, GA on the local news. Residents are taking the time to brace for Irene now by buying hurricane supplies and even calling into the NWS/Emergency Management to get information on Irene and evacuations if it becomes necessary for them to do so. It's great to know they are taking the threat serious whether it's a direct hit or a near miss.

[phw115wvwx]

There are no changes to Irene as of the 5 PM advisory as it's still 80 mph with a pressure of 988 mb.  However, I would not want to be in SC or NC right now.  If this hurricane is going to make landfall, those two states are in my highest risk.  I think Irene will just miss FL and GA.  The next 36 hours will be critical as we'll find out how strong Irene will become and whether it will have any chance to curve northward in time to miss the East Coast.

[gt1racerlHDl]

Here's my path, which basically follows the most easterly model and the Bermuda High.

NBC2 Hurricane Plots below

[Donovan]

Short Story... Today in guy class, well after gym in the lobby... My heart literally dropped... The teacher upright said "Guys, we have a category 3 Hurricane potentially coming by NHC"........ I'm quite nervous, but right now there isn't nearly much concern as there will be potentially Thursday/Friday... I'm just outside Charleston, SC. I'm seeing a trend with the models shifting to the east, so possibly this thing will miss with its most distructive part... None the less, category 3 isn't something we on the SE Coast want to play with.. Get ready now.

I'm sure your teacher was just as concerned as anyone would be, but to say something like that when there's still uncertainty in the track is not really a good idea, but it's always good to prepare anyway to be on the safe side. I've heard what I considered to be good news from Savannah, GA on the local news. Residents are taking the time to brace for Irene now by buying hurricane supplies and even calling into the NWS/Emergency Management to get information on Irene and evacuations if it becomes necessary for them to do so. It's great to know they are taking the threat serious whether it's a direct hit or a near miss.

Haven't heard of that... Really Good to hear they're getting ready though.

[gt1racerlHDl]

Some models are predicting Hurricane Bob for SE Mass :O

http://flhurricane.com/images/2011/clark9latest.png

GFS aiming right at my headend (New Bedford, MA)

http://icons-ecast.wunderground.com/data/images/at201109_model.gif

[Localonthe8s]

One of the models takes it right into Atlantic City, though I will probably not see that happen.

[toxictwister00]

Just like the 12z EURO, the 18z GFS has shifted west. Wouldn't be surprised to see models shifting west tonight.

[WeatherWitness]

***Interesting: TWC and NHC have dropped the intensity level of Irene, should it make landfall in the U.S. Originally going to be a major cat 3 hurricane at landfall, its strength at a possible landfall is now only a cat 1 with top wind speeds at 90 mph. Wonder what caused the drop?

[phw115wvwx]

***Interesting: TWC and NHC have dropped the intensity level of Irene, should it make landfall in the U.S. Originally going to be a major cat 3 hurricane at landfall, its strength at a possible landfall is now only a cat 1 with top wind speeds at 90 mph. Wonder what caused the drop?

You're looking at a forecast point that is already inland after landfall where you see 90 mph.  Thus, it'll show the drop in wind speeds.  You have to watch where these forecast points are as they go by time, not distance from landfall.