Tropical Storm Debby

[toxictwister00]

I'm not 100% sure, but yes I believe so.

[TWCCraig]

I honestly can't remember the last time I've seen so much severe weather reports in a single state just from a tropical storm. It's been pretty crazy in the Sunshine State today.

Hey could you get a microburst from a hurricane? I was wondering if a microburst could be the blame because we had a similiar thing happen when Irene struck.

It can. During Irene, there was a 91mph wind gust in a macroburst here on LI.

[Zach]

An absolutely tremendous wind gust moved through Temple Terrace a few minutes ago. It might have been a small tornado, too. 

EDIT: There are now reports that there was a tornado near the USF/Temple Terrace area.

http://twitter.com/#!/abcactionnews

There was a tornado warning out for Temple Terrace by Lettuce Lake Park, and the cone extended out to my area. Hopefully you were alright.

There are also several Tampa Electric Company customers without power at this hour, too.

[TampaMillTWC88]

An absolutely tremendous wind gust moved through Temple Terrace a few minutes ago. It might have been a small tornado, too. 

EDIT: There are now reports that there was a tornado near the USF/Temple Terrace area.

http://twitter.com/#!/abcactionnews

There was a tornado warning out for Temple Terrace by Lettuce Lake Park, and the cone extended out to my area. Hopefully you were alright.

There are also several Tampa Electric Company customers without power at this hour, too.

I am fine, thanks. 

[Trevor]

Debby is stationary as of 11 PM EDT.

[Mr. Rainman]

The new forecast track has Debby stalled or moving northward at less than 3 knots for the next 24-36 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see some isolated rain totals of 30 inches or greater in some areas.

[Eric]

Even Daytona Beach is getting pounded by heavy rain.  The parking lot outside is flooded.  We're under a tornado watch, and tornado warnings were springing up all over the place earlier tonight.  (Things seem to be quieting down a little bit now, though, though the rain is still coming down in buckets.)

[WeatherWitness]

A stationary Debby is definitely NOT what some cities in the southeast need right now.  Good gosh, the NHC doesn't have it making "landfall" until Thursday evening!   I just hope Pensacola doesn't get washed away!  It was one of the target cities for all the rainfall a couple of weeks ago and now has to deal with this.

Also, Eric, does Daytona Beach have enough rainfall to last you guys through the next couple of years?   You all got to experience both Beryl and Debby!

[Eric]

A stationary Debby is definitely NOT what some cities in the southeast need right now.  Good gosh, the NHC doesn't have it making "landfall" until Thursday evening!   I just hope Pensacola doesn't get washed away!  It was one of the target cities for all the rainfall a couple of weeks ago and now has to deal with this.

Also, Eric, does Daytona Beach have enough rainfall to last you guys through the next couple of years?   You all got to experience both Beryl and Debby!

Yeah, this storm just doesn't want to budge.  I love how the forecast cone turned into a forecast "blob," as someone on TWC mentioned earlier this evening.

We had such a severe drought this winter, so rain is welcome.  However, two tropical storms in a month is a little much.  We don't need THIS much rain in such a short period of time!!

[Zach]

Ugh, got awakened by my weather radio earlier for Tornado Watch #424 which is an extension of #423 (and 423 extended watch #422), but now includes some coastal waters ..

Code: [Select]

SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 424
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   440 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
   
          NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 440 AM UNTIL 200
   PM EDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF CROSS CITY
   FLORIDA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF AVON PARK FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
   WATCH NUMBER 423. WATCH NUMBER 423 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
   440 AM EDT.
   
   DISCUSSION...WHILE OVERALL TORNADO POTENTIAL HAS MARGINALLY SUBSIDED
   ACROSS FL EARLY TODAY WITH THE LACK OF MORE WIDESPREAD
   CONVECTION...STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELDS AND INTENSE LOW LEVEL
   SHEAR WITHIN THE LARGER CIRCULATION OF T.S. DEBBY WILL CONTINUE TO
   SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MINI-SUPERCELL
   FORMATION. A PERSISTENT TROPICAL RAIN BAND FROM TAMPA BAY AREA NEWD
   ACROSS THE PENINSULA IS ONE AREA WHERE THESE BRIEF SPIN UPS MAY
   OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LACK OF CONVECTION THROUGH
   EARLY IN THE DAYLIGHT HOURS COULD ACTUALLY RESULT IN AN INCREASING
   TORNADO THREAT AS VERY MOIST AIRMASS DESTABILIZES FURTHER AND
   RESULTS IN MORE ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AMIDST PERSISTENTLY
   STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE SLOW-MOVING TROPICAL
   STORM.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
   
   
   ...CARBIN



Also, a Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for waters from to Englewood to Tarpon Springs out 20-60 knots and waters from Tarpon Springs to the Suwannee River out 20-60 knots.

Code: [Select]

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
346 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...DEBBY EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY LITTLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF FLORIDA WEST WEST COAST AND
THE GULF OF MEXICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GULF COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
LEVY...CITRUS...HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...
MANATEE AND SARASOTA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF FLORIDA WEST COAST AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT
BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA WEST WEST
COAST AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY
TORNADO WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 3 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6N...LONGITUDE 85.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 170 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FL...OR ABOUT 200 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY FL. STORM MOTION WAS
STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE. STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM TROPICAL STORM DEBBY AT THIS TIME ARE
INLAND FLOODING AND THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. MINOR TO
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY DURING TIMES OF HIGH
TIDES. TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY LITTLE OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...RESULTING IN A PROLONGED SIGNIFICANT FLOOD
EVENT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GMZ850-853-870-873-251500-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
346 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED
AND WINDS AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 100 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEAS HAVE BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN 14 AND 18
FEET AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A
TORNADO APPROACHES.

$$

[TWCCraig]

At this point, the storm could go virtually anywhere. The system is stalled, and the models are still in disagreement after all of this. I hope for the best for everyone in the south who might be in the path of this storm.

[stormymikala]

Here in Fort Myers, we had a lightning show during a severe thunderstorm last night and today watching the clouds and the rainy, breezy weather.

[phw115wvwx]

It looks like northern FL will be the target according to NHC, but the flow aloft is so pathetic that it'll take a few days to get there.  Furthermore, Debby has weakened considerably as it still cannot fight off the westerly wind shear.  It's also moving away from deeper warmer waters toward the cooler waters on the continental shelf.  I think we're just going to have a huge rain event for the Southeast with a continued threat for severe weather.

[WeatherWitness]

It looks like the GFS was the most accurate in predicting the future of Debby.  As the latest NHC path shows, Debby will continue travelling northeast (very slowly) for a couple of days then turn due east and go out to the Atlantic Ocean.  Heck, some of the rain bands are already out over the Atlantic.  So, as Patrick said, I guess northern Florida will now be the focus point for the next few days.  I think more and more of the models are in agreeance now.  Depending on the jetstream, is there still a possibility Debby could remain on land and bring rain to the northeast?

[TWCCraig]

Uh oh! Latest GFS run takes this sucker up the east coast! And more models are predicting a somewhat similar path!