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Author Topic: Tropical Storm Beryl (former Subropical Storm)  (Read 5826 times)

Offline Trevor

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Tropical Storm Beryl (former Subropical Storm)
« on: May 25, 2012, 10:46:13 PM »
We now have Subtropical Storm Beryl in the Atlantic Basin.



Tropical Storm Warning from Titusville, FL to Beaufort, SC.

Landfall expected near St. Augustine, FL as a Tropical Storm.
« Last Edit: May 27, 2012, 03:04:53 PM by Trevor »
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phw115wvwx

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2012, 11:14:55 PM »
I think this year officially throws the arbitrary season dates of June 1 - November 30 out the window. :P  We have yet another extratropical cyclone that transitioned over into subtropical and probably will complete tropical transition in a day or two.  The environment isn't great for Beryl to intensify much, but rain is going to be a big issue when landfall occurs.
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Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2012, 11:25:12 PM »
Out of curiosity, what is the most number of storms that have formed before the "official" start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season?  We're already at two this year. :P
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phw115wvwx

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2012, 11:36:23 PM »
Quote from: WeatherWitness on May 25, 2012, 11:25:12 PM
Out of curiosity, what is the most number of storms that have formed before the "official" start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season?  We're already at two this year. :P
Now that we have Beryl, 2012 just achieved a tie with 1887 for the most storms before June 1.  The 1887 "season" also had two December storms to bring a total of four storms outside the season, which is the largest total on record.
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Offline Eric

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2012, 11:50:13 PM »
The tropical storm warning covers my area.  It looks like I'll be walking to and from work in the middle of quite a rainstorm.  This reminds me of the not-quite-a-tropical-system that I had to trudge through in October, and that was NOT fun!! :cry:
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Offline Donovan

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #5 on: May 26, 2012, 12:17:51 AM »
Oy. Here we go again. I'm already kinda tired of these tropical systems! It's only one week since I just dealt with the last one, and I dealt with that one for a WEEK. None the less, GA needs quite a bit of rain ditto for Florida.
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Offline TWCCraig

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #6 on: May 26, 2012, 07:30:10 AM »
IMO, even though it's "Sub-tropical", it's one of the most non-tropical looking storms I've ever seen. Looks like a nor'easter actually. I check some of the model runs, the GFS showed that Beryl had a cold core of circulation.  :thinking:  Anyway, you guys should stay safe, the winds shouldn't be the problem, more so the rain and flooding.
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phw115wvwx

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #7 on: May 26, 2012, 10:30:56 AM »
Quote from: GTAIVman on May 26, 2012, 07:30:10 AM
IMO, even though it's "Sub-tropical", it's one of the most non-tropical looking storms I've ever seen. Looks like a nor'easter actually. I check some of the model runs, the GFS showed that Beryl had a cold core of circulation.  :thinking:  Anyway, you guys should stay safe, the winds shouldn't be the problem, more so the rain and flooding.
A subtropical storm means that it has some characteristics of a tropical storm, but it's more a hybrid between a tropical cyclone and an extratropical (non-tropical) cyclone.  You'll still see a cold core in its circulation until it's able to develop a warm core to complete tropical transition.
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Offline TWCCraig

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #8 on: May 26, 2012, 10:44:01 AM »
Quote from: phw115wvwx on May 26, 2012, 10:30:56 AM
Quote from: GTAIVman on May 26, 2012, 07:30:10 AM
IMO, even though it's "Sub-tropical", it's one of the most non-tropical looking storms I've ever seen. Looks like a nor'easter actually. I check some of the model runs, the GFS showed that Beryl had a cold core of circulation.  :thinking:  Anyway, you guys should stay safe, the winds shouldn't be the problem, more so the rain and flooding.
A subtropical storm means that it has some characteristics of a tropical storm, but it's more a hybrid between a tropical cyclone and an extratropical (non-tropical) cyclone.  You'll still see a cold core in its circulation until it's able to develop a warm core to complete tropical transition.
I knew what a sub-tropical storm was. :thumbsup: I was just saying that it didn't look like one. It may take a while before it develops into a true tropical cyclone. It will most likely move away from it's main moisture source and intake which appears to be the cold front it has and then develop directly using the Gulf Stream; from there it probably will transition into a warm core.
« Last Edit: May 26, 2012, 10:46:32 AM by GTAIVman »
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #9 on: May 27, 2012, 07:24:35 AM »
Looks like Beryl has gotten it's act together since last night. Probably too late to make much of a difference strength wise.
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Offline TWCCraig

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #10 on: May 27, 2012, 12:29:49 PM »
Looks like we can get a piece of this too.


Image Credit: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #11 on: May 27, 2012, 02:00:55 PM »
Beryl has completed her transition to a tropical storm, winds are up to 65mph also. (She's getting stronger than I anticipated.)

EDIT: I don't think a brief brush at 75mph Cat 1 hurricane intensity is out of the question now.

Quote
...BERYL STRONGER...NOW A TROPICAL STORM...
2:00 PM EDT Sun May 27
Location: 30.1°N 79.9°W
Max sustained: 65 mph
Moving: W at 10 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb
« Last Edit: May 27, 2012, 02:04:03 PM by Weatherlover »
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Offline Trevor

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #12 on: May 27, 2012, 02:04:00 PM »
I'm calling it a 25% chance at becoming a hurricane. As Tavores said, definitely not out of the question.
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Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: Subtropical Storm Beryl
« Reply #13 on: May 27, 2012, 02:14:13 PM »
Beryl's center is now over a cold water shelf, and there is still a good bit of shear working against it. I'm surprised it's gotten winds above 45 knots at this point. Although current trends do suggest a strengthening to a hurricane, the odds are probably very low - I'll be daring and go lower than Trevor with 5-10% chance. The fact that NHC has no hurricane watches up at this point reinforces this.

Regardless, Florida and Georgia should continue to expect gusty winds and upwards of 6 inches of rain throughout the next 24-48 hours. Yeah. Happy Memorial Day to you guys down there!  :wave:  :pinch:
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Offline Trevor

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Re: Tropical Storm Beryl (former Subropical Storm)
« Reply #14 on: May 27, 2012, 03:05:30 PM »
Corrected the title. When I saw 65 MPH, it really shocked me.
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