Hurricane Central 2011

[Mr. Rainman]

Given that NOAA sees increasing signs of a returning La Nina, I wouldn't be surprised if we at least make it to "T" this year. Whether we go Greek this year...well, we'll just have to wait and see.

[Mr. Rainman]

Looks like our "N" storm may be in the works. 60% chance of development in the far Eastern Atlantic.

[Charismatic Applesauce]

Looks like our "N" storm may be in the works. 60% chance of development in the far Eastern Atlantic.

Here was already an N storm. I think you mean O.

[toxictwister00]

Something I find ironic, some of the moisture associated with the rainfall over TX/OK this past weekend was from TS Nate. So in a way, TX didn't get screwed over by Nate.

[WeatherWitness]

Looks like our "N" storm may be in the works. 60% chance of development in the far Eastern Atlantic.

Here was already an N storm. I think you mean O.

How could you forget about TS Nate?

Lol . Well anyway, it certainly wasn't much. However, as Tavores said, I didn't realize some of the moisture we got here this past week was partially due to that TS. I remember some of the models tracking it NE again once it crossed over MX...maybe that's what happened.

[phw115wvwx]

Chances of that invest developing into something are up to 70% this morning, and Ophelia is the next name in line here.

[Mr. Rainman]

  Wow, talk about a terrible memory. Thanks for catching that.

[toxictwister00]

Philippe Perhaps?... We'll see...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents

[Localonthe8s]

I think our last storm will develop in mid to late October seeing how the water temps still warm

[toxictwister00]

Just like those blizzards, the rain just keeps coming, coming, coming for the NE....

[Mr. Rainman]

Another follow-up analysis from NHC shows a brief tropical system between August 31st and September 3rd existed between Nova Scotia and Bermuda, and that the system obtained enough tropical characteristics to become a tropical storm. This brings our named storm total to 19. If all storms had been named this year, we would have gotten to "Tammy."

[Mike M]

Well, this year's hurricane season was another "Gentle Giant" season as the NWS called last year's season (with the exception of Irene and Lee's remnant low).

[phw115wvwx]

The 2011 hurricane season officially came to a close yesterday for both the Eastern Pacific and the Atlantic basins as Mike indicated above.  Here's my final tropical summary with some help from NHC and Wikipedia:

The Atlantic basin finished with a total of 20 tropical depressions, 19 tropical storms (one was unnamed as NHC discovered it after the fact upon further analysis), 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes (Irene, Katia, and Ophelia).  This season tied the third highest number of tropical storms in recorded history dating back to 1851.  The 1887, 1995, and 2010 seasons also had 19 storms.  Only the 1933 season (21 storms) and the infamous 2005 season (28 storms) had more.  The first eight storms never reached hurricane strength, which is a new record for the most number of consecutive tropical storms to start a season.  Irene ended that streak, and it was the deadliest (at least 55 confirmed as of today) and the costliest storm (over $10 billion in damage) out of the entire season.  Once again, the United States was really fortunate as only two tropical storms (Don and Lee) and one hurricane (Irene) made landfall.  It could have been much worse, especially since Irene weakened from Category 3 to Category 1 before paralleling the East Coast.

The Eastern Pacific basin finished with a total of 13 tropical depressions, 11 tropical storms, 10 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes (Adrian, Dora, Eugene, Hilary, Jova, and Kenneth).  While the Atlantic couldn't generate a single hurricane at first, the Eastern Pacific couldn't stop producing them as the first five storms all became hurricanes.  Three of those five hurricanes reached Category 4 intensity, which included Dora (strongest hurricane out of both basins with winds of 155 mph).  Interestingly, this active streak stopped one week before Irene formed in the Atlantic on August 20, which possibly hints the moment when the current La Niña period ensued.  From that point forward to October 5, just one named storm developed in the Eastern Pacific, while 10 named storms formed in the Atlantic.  The Eastern Pacific finished with one last push as Hurricane Kenneth, the last storm of the season, became the strongest late-season storm to ever form in this basin with winds of 145 mph.  Mexico suffered a few glancing blows and three landfalls from Tropical Depression 8-E, Hurricane Jova (costliest storm with over $200 million in damage), and Tropical Depression 12-E (deadliest storm with at least 80 confirmed as of today due to excessive flooding).

Hope everyone enjoyed tracking this season and found my summary interesting to read!  I'll leave this main thread open until the end of 2011 if you want to ask any questions or discuss more.

[Mr. Rainman]

Thanks for the summary, Patrick! Very interesting season to track indeed, and we are lucky that we didn't suffer any significant blows. I am glad that anyone on the forums here affected by Irene made it through without any major problems, especially for those of you in North Carolina and the New England area.

[Localonthe8s]

The only storm I can see being retired is irene as it caused billions of $$ in flooding damage