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Author Topic: Hurricane Central 2009  (Read 54053 times)

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #210 on: August 19, 2009, 05:02:40 AM »
Bill has become a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 135 mph.  Here's the 5 AM EDT advisory from NHC:

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 190842
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
500 AM AST WED AUG 19 2009

...BILL STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.9 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES...
740 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THIS DANGEROUS
HURRICANE WILL BE PASSING WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TODAY AND EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BILL IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO
INVESTIGATE BILL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH BILL WILL BE IMPACTING THE ISLANDS OF
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  LARGE
SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH BILL SHOULD ALSO BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.0N 54.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Offline Stephen

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #211 on: August 19, 2009, 12:50:15 PM »
So where is Ana right now? :dunno: There is a lot of rain just off the Southeast Coast of Florida...but she hasn't made it this far yet, has she? :unsure:
Ana has dissipated... that's the remnant low of Ana. It has a low chance of reforming into a tropical system again in the next 48 hours.

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #212 on: August 19, 2009, 04:59:14 PM »
There's now no chance of regeneration for the remnants of Ana according to NHC.  Meanwhile, Bill continues to maintain Category 4 intensity with winds of 135 mph, but it's starting to make the northward turn.  I really believe only Bermuda and eastern Canada need to worry about this storm as the forecast cone keeps getting shifted further and further off the East Coast with every advisory.

Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #213 on: August 19, 2009, 06:29:48 PM »
Yea NHC has stopped even mentioning the disturbed area. Think its dead for good now :P

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #214 on: August 19, 2009, 06:32:08 PM »
Yea NHC has stopped even mentioning the disturbed area. Think its dead for good now :P

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #215 on: August 19, 2009, 06:45:10 PM »
Dr. Lyons said "I wouldn't be surprised if Massachusetts gets grazed by bill"

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #216 on: August 20, 2009, 05:21:22 PM »
Hurricane Bill will likely regain Category 4 intensity over the next 24 hours.  Now, it's not expected to make a direct landfall on the East Coast.  Here's the 5 PM EDT advisory from NHC:

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 202035
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
500 PM AST THU AUG 20 2009

...LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE BILL CHURNING NORTHWESTWARD...
SPREADING HIGH SWELLS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST OR ABOUT 595 MILES...
960 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 1080 MILES...1735 KM...SOUTHEAST
OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

BILL HAS BEEN MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30
KM/HR. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH ON SATURDAY. ON THIS
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF HURRICANE BILL IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OVER THE OPEN WATERS BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  BILL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  ALTHOUGH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE LIKELY DURING THE 12 TO 24 HOURS...BILL STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STATUS ON FRIDAY.

BILL IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND ITS HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT A FEW HOURS AGO WAS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY THIS HURRICANE ARE AFFECTING THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA...AND SHOULD BEGIN
AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS...BERMUDA...MOST OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...AND
THE ATLANTIC MARITIMES OF CANADA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SURF AND
LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...23.8N 63.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE

Offline beanboy89

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #217 on: August 21, 2009, 01:42:10 PM »
The 2 PM AST advisory is out... Bill is down to a Category 2 with 110 MPH winds.

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 211735
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
200 PM AST FRI AUG 21 2009

...HURRICANE BILL EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER
TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...
465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 695 MILES...1115 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
HURRICANE BILL IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE OPEN WATERS BETWEEN
BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING BILL SUGGEST
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110
MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  BILL IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY AND SATURDAY.

BILL REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. RADAR
FROM BERMUDA SHOWS MORE RAINBANDS APPROACHING THE ISLAND.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR
FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST THAT THE STORM TIDE WILL RAISE
WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE
COAST...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IN ADVANCE
OF BILL.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY THIS HURRICANE ARE AFFECTING PUERTO
RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND BERMUDA...AND SHOULD BEGIN
AFFECTING MOST OF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE ATLANTIC MARITIMES OF
CANADA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...28.5N 66.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #218 on: August 21, 2009, 03:18:08 PM »
Next advisory...Hurricane Bill Weakens furthermore....

Wind Speed: 110 mph
Pressure: 957 mb
Location: 28.6N 66.6W
Bachelors of Science: Atmospheric Science-UC Davis 2006-2011

Masters of Science: Physics Research in Atmospheric Sciences- North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University 2011-?

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #219 on: August 21, 2009, 05:03:45 PM »
Bill is undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle, which explains the recent weakening trend.  It's running out of time to restrengthen before it could become extratropical.  Meanwhile, a new tropical wave in the Atlantic is being monitored for any signs of development.  Here's the 5 PM NHC advisory on Bill:

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 212039
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
500 PM AST FRI AUG 21 2009

...HURRICANE BILL A LITTLE WEAKER...COULD REGAIN SOME STRENGTH ON
SATURDAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.9 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES...
380 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 640 MILES...1035 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF HURRICANE BILL IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OVER THE OPEN WATERS BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105
MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  BILL IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS STILL
POSSIBLE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275
MILES...445 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES.

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS INDICATED THAT THE STORM TIDE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG
THE COAST...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IN
ADVANCE OF BILL.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY THIS HURRICANE ARE AFFECTING PUERTO
RICO...HISPANIOLA...THE BAHAMAS...AND BERMUDA...AND SHOULD BEGIN
AFFECTING MOST OF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE ATLANTIC MARITIMES OF
CANADA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...29.4N 66.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 20 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #220 on: August 22, 2009, 05:57:03 AM »
New tropical Storm Warning issued for the entire Cape Cod area + Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket Areas

Tropical Storm watch for southern New england to be issued later this morning or afternoon.

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #221 on: August 23, 2009, 04:52:12 PM »
Hurricane Bill is barely holding on to tropical characteristics.  Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 75 mph, so it won't be a hurricane for much longer.  Expect Bill to become extratropical within 24 hours.  The rest of the Atlantic is quiet.

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #222 on: August 24, 2009, 10:52:56 AM »
Final advisory on Bill's remnants, now extratropical and winds have diminished:

Quote
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
500 AM AST MON AUG 24 2009

...BILL LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR NEWFOUNDLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 48.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.2 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...
305 KM...NORTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 43 MPH...69 KM/HR. AN
EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  EVEN THOUGH BILL IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF STORM AND GALE FORCE WINDS OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #223 on: August 24, 2009, 02:04:58 PM »
Something new brewing?
http://bit.ly/15KCmS

Initial model runs on this system http://bit.ly/O4rVL http://bit.ly/TD1Ar http://bit.ly/4nH7ap

phw115wvwx

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #224 on: August 26, 2009, 11:50:05 AM »
We have a new tropical storm in the Atlantic!  Tropical Storm Danny has formed just east of the Bahamas with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph.  It will head northward along the East Coast over the next few days, so everyone should monitor Danny's progress carefully.  Here is NHC's first advisory on Danny:

Quote
000
WTNT35 KNHC 261443
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2009

...THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EAST OF THE BAHAMAS BECOMES
TROPICAL STORM DANNY...

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST OR ABOUT
445 MILES...715 KM...EAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 775 MILES...1250 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.
A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

DANNY IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES...OVER THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.  STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...24.9N 70.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 18 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN