Hurricane Central 2009

[phw115wvwx]

Bill is now a Category 2 hurricane.  Here's the 11 PM EDT advisory:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 180232
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
1100 PM AST MON AUG 17 2009

...BILL STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST OR ABOUT 865 MILES...
1395 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
BILL COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.0N 48.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH

[gt1racerlHDl]

Directly in the middle Mass will get a direct hit

[Localonthe8s]

Here's the Spanish advisory for our spanish speaking members:

000
WTCA43 TJSJ 180245 CCA
TCPSP3

BOLETIN...
HURACAN BILL ADVERTENCIA NUMERO  10
NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL   AL032009
1100 PM AST LUNES 17 DE AGOSTO DE 2009

...BILL SE SE FORTALECE ES AHORA HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS...

A LAS 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BILL ESTABA
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 15.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 48.3 OESTE O
CERCA DE 865 MILLAS...1395 KM...AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES.

BILL SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE CERCA DE 17 MPH...28
KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE POR LOS PROXIMOS
DIAS CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NOROESTE DURANTE EL MIERCOLES.

LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS
HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS
FUERTES. ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DE ESTE SISTEMA SE PRONOSTICA EN LAS
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS...Y BILL SE CONVIERTA EN HURACAN DE MAYOR
INTENSIDAD DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HASTA
30 MILLAS...45 KM DEL CENTRO...MIENTRAS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HASTA 150 MILLAS...240 KM.

LA PRESION MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 967 MB...28.56 PULGADAS.

...RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 1100 PM AST...
LOCALIZACION...15.0N 48.3W
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...100 MPH
MOVIMIENTO PRESENTE...OESTE NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 17 MPH
PRESION MINIMA...967 MB

LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES A LAS 500 AM AST.

$$
PRONOSTICADOR KIMBERLAIN/PASCH

[gt1racerlHDl]

here's the water temps

http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/natl.html

Fall river 76.8 and Conimicut,RI 78.3

[gt1racerlHDl]

5am Adv

000
WTNT33 KNHC 180834
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
500 AM AST TUE AUG 18 2009

...BILL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST OR ABOUT 810 MILES...
1305 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BILL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
BILL COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.5N 49.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Yay my dream will come true i will record clips of bill's brushby

[UC Davis Meteorologist]

Next advisory

Hurricane Bill

Max Wind: 105 mph
Pressure: 963 mb

[UC Davis Meteorologist]

Next advisory Hurricane Bill 110 mph!

Pressure: 962 mb!

[WeatherWitness]

Bill looks like it's gonna be a powerful one. But the one question is, Will it hit land?

[gt1racerlHDl]

i know its a tracking model but its predicting Cat 5! 137kts/ 157mph

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200903_v5d.html?extraprod=v5d#a_topad

[toxictwister00]

Ana looks to be coming back to life soon.  Notice how the convection has exploded over the past 24 hours, the core of Ana isn't even over water right now, I don't think we should let our guard down on her yet. The fact that she got as far west into the Atlantic as she did says something.

EDIT: If Ana comes back to life will she be "Ana" or the "D" name storm?

[Anistorm]

Ana looks to be coming back to life soon.  Notice how the convection has exploded over the past 24 hours, the core of Ana isn't even over water right now, I don't think we should let our guard down on her yet. The fact that she got as far west into the Atlantic as she did says something.

EDIT: If Ana comes back to life will she be "Ana" or the "D" name storm?

I've been hearing everywhere, even TWC that it's possible that my name wont be used anymore. It's "the storm formely known as 'Ana'" There is a possibility that Danny (the next name) will be named instead of me. But that's just my guess.

[WeatherWitness]

Bill is now a MAJOR (cat 3) hurricane!

000
WTNT63 KNHC 190030
TCUAT3
HURRICANE BILL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
830 PM AST TUE AUG 18 2009

...BILL BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...

REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT BILL HAS
STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125
MPH...205 KM/HR.  BILL A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. A COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

KIMBERLAIN/PASCH

[phw115wvwx]

Here's the 11 PM EDT advisory on Bill:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 190236
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BILL ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
1100 PM AST TUE AUG 18 2009

...BILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...COULD STRENGTHEN FURTHER...

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
BILL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.4 WEST OR ABOUT 555 MILES...
895 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILL BE
PASSING WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE
WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY.

REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  BILL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

BILL IS A LARGE HURRICANE...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS
952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH BILL WILL BE IMPACTING THE ISLANDS OF
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.2N 53.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH

[gt1racerlHDl]

Newest wind projections predict near Cat 5

[WeatherWitness]

So where is Ana right now? There is a lot of rain just off the Southeast Coast of Florida...but she hasn't made it this far yet, has she?