Hurricane Danielle

[TWCToday]

Models rapidly intensify this and I expect this to be our next D storm in time. Looks for now to be a fish

[WeatherWitness]

Cool...but it looks now as if it will have no impact to land. Guess we'll just have to wait and see.

[Zach]

Its a shame that a lot of storms have sheared off this year  i wonder that when predictions are made that they only look at water temps but not wind patterns just seems that way lol

[TWCToday]

Cool...but it looks now as if it will have no impact to land. Guess we'll just have to wait and see.

Thats what I meant by fish storm ECMWF has been going west though!

[toxictwister00]

We now have Tropical Depression #6

[phw115wvwx]

This system will be named Danielle soon.  The winds were at 30 mph earlier when Tavores introduced it at 5 PM, and they've already increased to 35 mph as of 11 PM.

[TWCToday]

Looks like no major landmasses are directly threatened at the moment. Models have trended slightly more west though

[toxictwister00]

Say hello to Danielle!  (As of the 5pm Advisory via NHC)



Satellite loop - The convection is exploding like crazy near the center! 
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

[TWCmatthew]

I don't think TD6/soon to be Danielle will make it to the U.S. or even Canada. I think the High Pressure over the U.S. now will definately turn it due north, and then push it northeast once it approaches Bermuda. Therefore, even if this system becomes a Cat 2 or higher, TWC won't go into Storm Alert mode. But you never know, it's still over a week away...

[TWCmatthew]

Its a shame that a lot of storms have sheared off this year  i wonder that when predictions are made that they only look at water temps but not wind patterns just seems that way lol

Shear is excellent for tornadoes but an enemy for a tropical system.

[toxictwister00]

I don't think TD6/soon to be Danielle will make it to the U.S. or even Canada. I think the High Pressure over the U.S. now will definately turn it due north, and then push it northeast once it approaches Bermuda. Therefore, even if this system becomes a Cat 2 or higher, TWC won't go into Storm Alert mode. But you never know, it's still over a week away...

Soon to be? It's been Danielle for the past few hours now and to be honest I don't want to lock on a quick recurve scenario just yet because eventhough an EC hit is still low, the chance is there and some models have been trending west than they have been, I have seen some runs this weekend that want to batter Bermuda and a couple that take this on a track similar to Bill last year scrapping close to NE/Canada.

EDIT: Looks like Danielle is trying to reorganize herself tonight.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

[phw115wvwx]

Tropical Storm Danielle has strengthened to winds of 50 mph as of 11 PM.  It's expected to become a hurricane in the next couple days as it heads towards Bermuda.  It's too early to tell if Danielle will make any impact on Bermuda or the East Coast as there's a lot of disagreement between the numerical models on the track beyond 5 days.

[WeatherWitness]

It seems like there's a lot of wind shear this year with these storms, preventing them from strengthening any further. I guess now it's hard to tell where Danielle is going to go and how strong the storm will be.

[TWCToday]

Err no clue why this got locked! SORRY!

[toxictwister00]

Wow, what a beauty!  Also Danielle has been upgraded to Hurricane status as of the 5pm advisory.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html