Tropical Storm Matthew

[TWCToday]

433
WHXX01 KWBC 211307
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1307 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952010) 20100921 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100921  1200   100922  0000   100922  1200   100923  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.2N  62.8W   12.7N  65.1W   13.0N  67.7W   13.5N  70.4W
BAMD    12.2N  62.8W   12.5N  64.8W   12.7N  67.1W   12.9N  69.4W
BAMM    12.2N  62.8W   12.5N  64.9W   12.9N  67.4W   13.2N  69.8W
LBAR    12.2N  62.8W   12.8N  65.2W   13.4N  67.7W   13.8N  70.4W
SHIP        20KTS          26KTS          34KTS          49KTS
DSHP        20KTS          26KTS          34KTS          49KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100923  1200   100924  1200   100925  1200   100926  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N  73.3W   14.4N  78.8W   15.7N  84.1W   17.0N  87.8W
BAMD    13.0N  71.9W   13.6N  77.1W   15.3N  82.3W   17.6N  86.5W
BAMM    13.5N  72.5W   14.3N  78.0W   15.8N  83.7W   17.3N  88.2W
LBAR    14.2N  73.5W   14.9N  80.0W   13.9N  85.6W   15.0N  87.8W
SHIP        66KTS          92KTS         109KTS         120KTS
DSHP        66KTS          92KTS         109KTS         120KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.2N LONCUR =  62.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  12.0N LONM12 =  60.4W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  11.8N LONM24 =  58.0W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$

[TWCmatthew]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

[TWCToday]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

hehe I bet you would enjoy the name

[phw115wvwx]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

We'll see what happens, Matthew.  Maybe it will be yours soon.   I've never had a storm named for me, and mine is just as common as yours.

[toxictwister00]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

We'll see what happens, Matthew.  Maybe it will be yours soon.   I've never had a storm named for me, and mine is just as common as yours.

That's because the NHC uses stupid names like "Igor" for instance. I mean really, how many people do you know with that name? They might as well used my name, I know more people who have the same first name as me than I ever will someone with Igor. 

[phw115wvwx]

That's because the NHC uses stupid names like "Igor" for instance. I mean really, how many people do you know with that name? They might as well used my name, I know more people who have the same first name as me than I ever will someone with Igor. 

NHC has no say with the names.  The World Meteorological Organization takes name requests from the entire Atlantic basin and votes on them for inclusion into the 6-year cycle, so we'll naturally get entries from Latin America and the Caribbean.  They want to be fair to all areas of the basin.

By the way, this invest now has a 50% chance of development over the next 48 hours.

[Charismatic Applesauce]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

You're lucky that you can get a storm named after you. I wish there could be a Hurricane Pavel, but my name is neither English nor Spanish nor French.

[TWCmatthew]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

We'll see what happens, Matthew.  Maybe it will be yours soon.   I've never had a storm named for me, and mine is just as common as yours.

I bet the name Patrick is next in line to replace a P-named storm.

[TWCToday]

Most models take this to at least a TS with a few showing rapid development. Neither are uncommon for this area

[Charismatic Applesauce]

It might become Matthew in the near future. 

We'll see what happens, Matthew.  Maybe it will be yours soon.   I've never had a storm named for me, and mine is just as common as yours.

I bet the name Patrick is next in line to replace a P-named storm.

That would actually be Paula.

[TWCToday]

GFS is still mighty strange with this. Takes it as a mediocre storm over FL and then has it explode and make landfall into SC.

[Mr. Rainman]

The National Hurricane Center just gave this disturbance an 80% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. Soon, we'll have Tropical Depression 13 on our hands, and then Matthew. Is it 13? I can't remember.

As for hitting SC, that's disturbing. I live near the coast, so...

[toxictwister00]

I'm very interested in seeing this one develop over the next week, it's 5 day track is even more interesting because it moves NW then takes a sharp turn NE brushing Belize. At the end, Tropical Storm or Hurricane I hope what the 00z run of the GFS showed last night is true and TD 15 rides up north through GA we need that rain, we might not have much opportunities to get a lot of rain if it's dry this winter.

[Mr. Rainman]

Wow, it's expected to ride the Yucatan Peninsula and then make a sharp turn to the NE towards Georgia, with winds up to 80 mph!

[Mr. Rainman]

It's official. As of 5:00 PM ADT, 95L has become Tropical Storm Matthew!