Winter of 2009-2010 Forecasts

[toxictwister00]

I wouldn't start getting worried until December if it's still looking like October then where it's snowing and cold in the West or mild and wet in the East. I don't think November will be all that cold for the east at least not until about mid November or the Thanksgiving holidays.

[phw115wvwx]

Yes, it's not winter yet, but one of my jobs is to point out weather patterns and forecast discrepancies.  I've never been a fan of seasonal forecasts as I don't think we can make them with good accuracy yet.  Bridging the gap between weather and climate is just not that easy.

[toxictwister00]

For those who are interested, here's a winter forecast from the Raleigh Weather Examiner, I'm gonna warn you it's 2 parts so it's very long, but part two gives the general idea of what they expect for the US this winter and snowfall forecasts for select cities across the country, Looks like somebody agrees with me on possible snowfall amounts for my area this winter. They also seem to be going towards analog winters of 76' -77' and 02' -03'.

http://www.examiner.com/x-4053-Raleigh-Weather-Examiner~y2009m10d30-Winter-forecast-200910-Part-1

[TWCToday]

Seems to be reasonable. Oh well its all just shooting the bull until winter gets here. Fun to take a wild stab.

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=211189

[toxictwister00]

I decided to make my own Winter Forecast, this is just a rough draft so it's subject to change, but not by anything major. This is for the month of December, January to March will be added later tonight. Let me know what you think. (agree/disagree)

[phw115wvwx]

I decided to make my own Winter Forecast, this is just a rough draft so it's subject to change, but not by anything major. This is for the month of December, January to March will be added later tonight. Let me know what you think. (agree/disagree)

The Climate Prediction Center's current forecast for the same things has some significant differences compared to your forecasts.  However, since we're dealing with long-range forecasts that are rarely useful and accurate in my eyes, I can't really argue for or against any of them.  We'll see what happens.

[ABC7]

I expected AccuWeather to predict a rainy winter for California. Worst case scenario: the storm that slammed my region last month might be a practice drill for what to expect this winter. Best case scenario: Few severe rainstorms for California.

[TWCToday]

Hmmm going to be interesting to see if we get a lot of nor'easters this year for the east coast.

[phw115wvwx]

Hmmm going to be interesting to see if we get a lot of nor'easters this year for the east coast.

We've already had a couple storms acting as Nor'easters but without the snow during the past few weeks, so the overall pattern is already set for more to happen.  The question is whether it will stay that way throughout the whole winter or suddenly shift into a different pattern.

[wxntrafficfan]

Wow, TWC is showing models for a possible legit snowstorm that will move north (not northeast lol) next week, a track which includes Cleveland! When the track includes Cleveland, it is usually a perfect situation for me to see snow 
Highs in the 30's are already forecast for Wednesday next week.

[Trevor]

  WOW! I Am Actually Under Several Snow/Ice Storms! I Am In Morthwestern Mississippi! I Am So Excited! Our Average Snowfall Is 5'' Per Winter! WOWZIE WOW WOW!

[Al]

so apparently i will be seeing snow on tuesday...San Angelo has a couple winter weather advisories out already....this was unexpected

[toxictwister00]

so apparently i will be seeing snow on tuesday...San Angelo has a couple winter weather advisories out already....this was unexpected

Your seeing snow soon and it hasn't even hit the freezing mark at night here yet. 

[wxntrafficfan]

I'm looking at a storm that both TWC and NWS seem to agree will form next week. Looks widespread. I also have highs below freezing from Thursday through Saturday, and we have only had one high below 40 thus far this season... Black Friday.

[Mike M]

Temps here may be at their lowest so far this season too. Highs may struggle to reach 40 on Fri and Sat