TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => General Weather Chat => Topic started by: toxictwister00 on October 14, 2009, 09:43:34 PM
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Here's Accuweather's official winter forecast for 2009-2010. If your a snowlover and you live from Dallas, to Atlanta, to Charlotte and all the way up to New England your gonna love this forecast. I've seen several winter forecasts and they all seem to agree that the Eastern 2/3rds of the US is gonna get hammered this winter. If you want you can also post Winter forecasts from other sources too.
(http://i.imagehost.org/t/0581/miniWINTER2010USOverview.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0581/miniWINTER2010USOverview) (http://i.imagehost.org/t/0015/miniWINTER2010USPrecip.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0015/miniWINTER2010USPrecip) (http://i.imagehost.org/t/0415/miniWINTER2010USTemps.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0415/miniWINTER2010USTemps)
Here's the forecasts in more detail by regions:
According to AccuWeather.com's Chief Meteorologist and Expert Long Range Forecaster Joe Bastardi, winter will be centered over an area from Maryland to the Carolinas as a fading El Niņo results in the stormiest and coldest pattern in recent years.
Bastardi predicts the current El Niņo will fade over the winter and will probably not have as much of a role in the overall weather pattern as one would think during a typical El Niņo year. In July, Joe was the first to talk about how the fading El Niņo will play a role in the winter forecast. This fading El Niņo pattern will lead to a stormier and colder winter in the southern and eastern United States. While the El Niņo is fading this winter, other factors are pointing to a winter very similar to that of 2002-2003.
A colder, snowier winter would mean added snow removal efforts, more travel delays and extended school closures, especially for the southern schools where snow and ice is predicted.
Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
The areas that will be hit hardest this winter by cold, snowy weather will be from southern New England through the Appalachians and mid-Atlantic, including the Carolinas. Areas from Washington D.C. to Charlotte have had very little snowfall the past two winters. This season these areas could end up with above-normal snowfall.
Northern areas, including Buffalo, Boston and Maine, have been hit hard the past couple of winters, but will see normal snowfall with temperatures slightly below normal this winter.
However, the traditional lake-effect areas of western New York may see local variations of heavier snows. Bastardi adds that while these areas will have a normal winter, the areas farther south that have escaped from the snow and cold the past couple of winters will see the worst winter conditions in the form of snow and cold.
Cities such as New York, Boston and Philadelphia could get up to 75 percent of their total snowfall in two or three big storms.
While some parts of the Appalachians did have harsh winter weather in the form of ice last year, this winter could be one of the snowiest since 2002-2003, when up to 80 inches fell in many places. Snowfall totals this year could reach between 50 and 100 inches in the Appalachians.
Last winter, the usage of salt was way up because of the number of ice storms. Salt supplies could be compromised again this year for state and local road crews that battle the winter weather. On the other hand, ski resorts could have a great year with plenty of powder for skiers.
The storm track that could develop this year will bring storms into Southern California, then across the South and up the Eastern Seaboard. That track will lead to the normal amount of nor'easters from Cape Hatteras to New Jersey.
This type of storm track will differ from that of the past two years, when storms tended to take a track farther west from Texas into the Great Lakes. That track into the Great Lakes brought unseasonably mild weather to the major East Coast cities, keeping them on the rainy side of the storms.
The South
The track this year right along the Eastern Seaboard would put the major cities on the cold, wintry side of the storms. Areas form Atlanta to Charlotte could have several snowstorms this year, which is something that this region has not seen in a while.
The Interstate 20 corridor from Dallas to Atlanta will be a strike zone for ice and snow, given the storm track and proximity to cold air. By the end of the winter, people from Dallas to the Carolinas could say "Wow, we had snow this year!" said Bastardi.
Midwest and Plains
The Midwest and central Plains could get a break this winter, given that past couple of winters have been cold and snowy. Places such as Chicago, Omaha, Minneapolis and Kansas City may have below-normal snowfall and could even average a bit milder than past years.
However, Oklahoma into Texas will be where the cold will lead to ice and snow, and it is not out of the question that snow and ice are as far south as College Station and San Antonio, Texas.
West and Pacific Northwest
A warm and somewhat dry weather pattern is expected from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Plains. The typical barrage of winter storms that hit Seattle and Portland may not occur this winter, which would lead to below-normal precipitation.
The core of the wet weather will be south of San Francisco into southern California and the Southwest. While some people across Southern California fear the El Ni intense rains, mudslides and flooding as seen this fall.
For example, Los Angeles could have 110 percent of normal rainfall and the Sierra and Southwest mountains will have the normal amount of snowfall which is good for skiers.
The Olympics
The Olympics in Vancouver, British Columbia, from Feb.12 to 28 could be impacted by the lack of snow and cold weather this winter. It is possible that a dry and mild pattern will develop very near to or during the time of the Olympics.
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Cities such as New York, Boston and Philadelphia could get up to 75 percent of their total snowfall in two or three big storms.
While some parts of the Appalachians did have harsh winter weather in the form of ice last year, this winter could be one of the snowiest since 2002-2003, when up to 80 inches fell in many places. Snowfall totals this year could reach between 50 and 100 inches in the Appalachians.
:thrilled:
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I always give this caution to anyone asking about El Niņo winters: Be prepared to see some strange and wacky weather. The entire jet stream pattern is altered, which shift storm tracks over unusual places everywhere. While this forecast is based on what typically happens during an El Niņo, I emphasize that not every one always behaves exactly the same way.
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The Western forecast reminds me of 2003 kinda. Storms entering from CA, moving and surviving inland until they leave the East. I've gotten some of those, and may (and hopefully) get some rain this winter.
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I take anything from AccuWeather with a grain of salt but those forecasts match up with what I have been hearing. However as Patrick said, you never know what crazy things might happen
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I always give this caution to anyone asking about El Niņo winters: Be prepared to see some strange and wacky weather. The entire jet stream pattern is altered, which shift storm tracks over unusual places everywhere. While this forecast is based on what typically happens during an El Niņo, I emphasize that not every one always behaves exactly the same way.
That's true, I posted their forecast since it was pretty similar to other forecasts I've seen. Also there's a met there named Frank Strait whose's a Southeast Weather expert, he said in his video blog that the lack of sunspot activity recently could mean maybe more cold air easily being pulled down south. He thinks that's something that should be monitored.
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I agree with Martin on the whole Accuweather statement. Although I do not despise Accuwx, but their forecasts do suck. Unfortunitely, my favorite station for news is powered by Accuwx (partly..but they do their own forecasts :D..but that's besides the point).
Patrick, you were mentioning "be prepared for wacky weather". This seems to be happening already. The areas in the plains that got hit with the snow storm this past weekend, are going to see 60's this week. crazy. Here, we've already seen our first snow, and the first freeze. October is the 4th coldest month on record so far, with an average high of 46 degrees (give or take a few tenths of a degree). So yes, I can see winter as being "wacky" this year. I like winter, so I am hoping for a few major snowstorms :D
That's be great if this forecast came out for the South and the Mid Atlantic! (for the snowlovers..that is ;) )
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I've heard several analog winters being compared to this upcoming winter, one of them being the winter of 1976-1977. I checked January 1977 on Farmer's Almanac website and there were days that month where Atlanta only got up to 20 or 25 degrees and got down to 0 with snow and ice?!! I hope we have this winter! :D God knows we haven't had one in like 7 years, we've been in a snow drought for the longest.
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(http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/topheadline/2009/WINTER2010USOverview.jpg)
Heres to a bad ass winter :dance:
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Cold? Snowy? Awesome! :D
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Yeah, I see another 06-07 winter happening for me though. Miserable, well below average snow, and mild. Everyone else here it seems should enjoy their winter :hmm:
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Looks like the GFS wants to play games with the NE for the first week of November bringing you guys snow. :P
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That AccuWeather prediction map is already looking bad as parts of Wyoming and Colorado have picked up 3 feet of snow from an intense winter storm. Denver is having one of the snowiest Octobers in their history, and blizzard warnings are currently in effect in northeastern Colorado. It's going to be a wacky winter, folks.
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That AccuWeather prediction map is already looking bad as parts of Wyoming and Colorado have picked up 3 feet of snow from an intense winter storm. Denver is having one of the snowiest Octobers in their history, and blizzard warnings are currently in effect in northeastern Colorado. It's going to be a wacky winter, folks.
True, the West is experiencing a wild and historic October, but technically it's not Winter so their map isn't looking all that bad yet.....
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Its not winter yet... dont break my heart :P
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I wouldn't start getting worried until December if it's still looking like October then where it's snowing and cold in the West or mild and wet in the East. I don't think November will be all that cold for the east at least not until about mid November or the Thanksgiving holidays.
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Yes, it's not winter yet, but one of my jobs is to point out weather patterns and forecast discrepancies. I've never been a fan of seasonal forecasts as I don't think we can make them with good accuracy yet. Bridging the gap between weather and climate is just not that easy.
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For those who are interested, here's a winter forecast from the Raleigh Weather Examiner, I'm gonna warn you it's 2 parts so it's very long, but part two gives the general idea of what they expect for the US this winter and snowfall forecasts for select cities across the country, Looks like somebody agrees with me on possible snowfall amounts for my area this winter. :happy: They also seem to be going towards analog winters of 76' -77' and 02' -03'.
http://www.examiner.com/x-4053-Raleigh-Weather-Examiner~y2009m10d30-Winter-forecast-200910-Part-1
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Seems to be reasonable. Oh well its all just shooting the bull until winter gets here. Fun to take a wild stab.
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=211189
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I decided to make my own Winter Forecast, this is just a rough draft so it's subject to change, but not by anything major. This is for the month of December, January to March will be added later tonight. Let me know what you think. (agree/disagree)
(http://i.imagehost.org/t/0255/Picture1.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0255/Picture1) (http://i.imagehost.org/t/0982/Picture2.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0982/Picture2) (http://i.imagehost.org/t/0873/Picture3.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0873/Picture3) (http://i.imagehost.org/t/0779/Picture4.jpg) (http://i.imagehost.org/view/0779/Picture4)
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I decided to make my own Winter Forecast, this is just a rough draft so it's subject to change, but not by anything major. This is for the month of December, January to March will be added later tonight. Let me know what you think. (agree/disagree)
([url]http://i.imagehost.org/t/0255/Picture1.jpg[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/view/0255/Picture1[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/t/0982/Picture2.jpg[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/view/0982/Picture2[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/t/0873/Picture3.jpg[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/view/0873/Picture3[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/t/0779/Picture4.jpg[/url]) ([url]http://i.imagehost.org/view/0779/Picture4[/url])
The Climate Prediction Center's current forecast for the same things has some significant differences compared to your forecasts. However, since we're dealing with long-range forecasts that are rarely useful and accurate in my eyes, I can't really argue for or against any of them. We'll see what happens.
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I expected AccuWeather to predict a rainy winter for California. Worst case scenario: the storm that slammed my region last month might be a practice drill for what to expect this winter. Best case scenario: Few severe rainstorms for California.
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Hmmm going to be interesting to see if we get a lot of nor'easters this year for the east coast.
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Hmmm going to be interesting to see if we get a lot of nor'easters this year for the east coast.
We've already had a couple storms acting as Nor'easters but without the snow during the past few weeks, so the overall pattern is already set for more to happen. The question is whether it will stay that way throughout the whole winter or suddenly shift into a different pattern.
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Wow, TWC is showing models for a possible legit snowstorm that will move north (not northeast lol) next week, a track which includes Cleveland! When the track includes Cleveland, it is usually a perfect situation for me to see snow :happy:
Highs in the 30's are already forecast for Wednesday next week.
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:clap: :thrilled: :dance: :biggrin: WOW! I Am Actually Under Several Snow/Ice Storms! I Am In Morthwestern Mississippi! I Am So Excited! Our Average Snowfall Is 5'' Per Winter! WOWZIE WOW WOW!
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so apparently i will be seeing snow on tuesday...San Angelo has a couple winter weather advisories out already....this was unexpected
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so apparently i will be seeing snow on tuesday...San Angelo has a couple winter weather advisories out already....this was unexpected
Your seeing snow soon and it hasn't even hit the freezing mark at night here yet. :blink: :wacko:
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I'm looking at a storm that both TWC and NWS seem to agree will form next week. Looks widespread. I also have highs below freezing from Thursday through Saturday, and we have only had one high below 40 thus far this season... Black Friday.
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Temps here may be at their lowest so far this season too. Highs may struggle to reach 40 on Fri and Sat
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I'm really having a lot of trouble holding myself back here...
As per the NWS office in Grand Rapids, MI:
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
A RISK FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW EXISTS FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A STORM TRACKS FROM TEXAS THROUGH
OHIO. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH THE TRACK...STRENGTH AND
PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
CLOSELY AS THE STORM EVOLVES.
NWS in Detroit/Pontiac, MI
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST FROM THE WESTERN
GULF COAST STATES...REMAINING WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW REMAINS IN
QUESTION...AS A FARTHER WEST TRACK NEAR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN COULD
RESULT IN A MOSTLY RAIN EVENT...ESPECIALLY FOR THE DETROIT METRO
AREA. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND REVISIONS TO THE FORECAST.
And finally, the NWS in Northern Indiana:
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
A SIGNIFICANT LATE FALL STORM IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MUCH UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS WITH REGARDS TO THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
FROM THE GULF COAST EARLY WEDNESDAY NORTHEAST TO NEW ENGLAND BY
THURSDAY. WHILE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS RAIN LATE
WEDNESDAY...A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER ACCUMULATING
SNOWS WILL OCCUR. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO LATER UPDATES ON THIS
POTENTIAL STORM.
MUCH MORE CERTAIN IS THAT MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THIS STORM FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS LIKELY
REMAINING IN THE 30S...WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
All appear to be showing consistency in that there is likely to be a massive storm that will have some impact on us, and regardless of what precip or how much precip falls during the wrath of the storm here, there will be some cold air that is finally below average being ushered in behind the system.
But that is where the consistency stops.
Obviously, there is a good likelihood for snow. But there is over 2 daze from now up until this onset of the event. One issue that I am also looking at (which is influencing my thoughts on this) is that we have had two other storms, right at this exact time of year (immediate end of November, immediate beginning of December) both in 2006 and last year as well. BOTH appeared as though they were going to be major impacts to the area. BOTH were changed at the literal last minute, and things went downhill from there.
So at this point, I am abstaining from telling people the possibility is there until I see more consistency with the ingredients. I have to see the system formed and heading this way before I am convinced we could see something. It's frustrating though, being the person everyone asks about the weather at school.
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Hopefully it works out well for you Aaron, November is my favorite month, but it's also been the most boring month in general this year outside of just the weather. Speaking of snow, Jim Cantore seems to be getting excited about the possible winterstorm the SE could see this weekend, I'll monitor it, but I think next week will give us a better chance for snow/ice.
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Hopefully it works out well for you Aaron, November is my favorite month, but it's also been the most boring month in general this year outside of just the weather. Speaking of snow, Jim Cantore seems to be getting excited about the possible winterstorm the SE could see this weekend, I'll monitor it, but I think next week will give us a better chance for snow/ice.
Thanks, same to you :)
Forecasts are looking mixed at this point. Temperatures appear only marginally conducive for significant snow accumulations, and TWC is making me nervous with a low of 34 Wednesday nite and a high of 35 of Thursday. One thing that remains consistent throughout forecasts (TWC, NWS, and otherwise) is that the event will start out as rain and switch over to snow. This is what is causing forecasters to have some difficulty; how soon into the event does the rain transition over to snow, and how much cold air penetrates the system? At this point, despite the temperatures, it does appear as though I will be in the swath of the heavy snow.
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WOW, I'm kinda surprised to see TWC be bold enough to put winter weather in the forecast this far out, they're usually much more conservative. :o
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All of the stations are being consistant in bringing in some snow next Tuesday-Wednesday, including The Weather Channel. Hopefully this all works out, because I am READY for some snow.
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It is snowing here right now. :blink: :blink: :blink:
Obviously, there won't be any accumulation since the ground is too warm, but still... :wacko:
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Since the middle of last week, he local weather teams have been advertising a possible winter storm to come in tomorrow/Wednesday. Each day, they kept saying the models are being consistant, bringing the heavy snow here. Sure enough, models are still bringing heavy snow to the area. A Winter Storm Watch was issued yesterday at around 5PM, and early this morning, it was upgraded (or downgraded.... however you like the news :P ) to a Blizzard Watch. This morning, the local ABC afilliate is calling for 8-12 inches! If we do see that, it will probably be the biggest storm we have seen in a good 4 or 5 yrs.
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We're gonna get our first bands of rain here in my area (which is something we don't see every day here). Snow in La Rumorosa will fall at 2 inches. Gonna be a crazy Monday today :happy:
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Since the middle of last week, the local weather teams have been advertising a possible winter storm to come in tomorrow/Wednesday. Each day, they kept saying the models are being consistant, bringing the heavy snow here. Sure enough, models are still bringing heavy snow to the area. A Winter Storm Watch was issued yesterday at around 5PM, and early this morning, it was upgraded (or downgraded.... however you like the news :P ) to a Blizzard Watch. This morning, the local ABC afilliate is calling for 8-12 inches! If we do see that, it will probably be the biggest storm we have seen in a good 4 or 5 yrs.
Well, I got a Winter Storm Watch this morning, but I'm barely on the edge of it.
(http://img708.imageshack.us/img708/9085/12709nwsscreenshot1.jpg)
It appears as though the low will track right over me. This is almost the exact same track as the storm at the beginning of December 2006 took, and if you recall, that was an El Nino winter as well. I wish I could get a Blizzard Watch, but this does not look like the kind of winter that will bring that to me.
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Oh, I'll do anything for a blizzard watch. I can't remember ever getting one :lol:
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Oh, I'll do anything for a blizzard watch. I can't remember ever getting one :lol:
LOL, wish I had one of those too... but I never do. :wacko:
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LOL, wish I had one of those too... but I never do. :wacko:
Well, at least we get winter storm advisories/warnings all the time :P
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The only rare winter type watch/warning I can remember having is a Heavy Snow Warning, It didn't take them long to downgrade it to a Snow Advisory which made more sense since there was not real heavy snow and we only picked up a couple of inches instead of the 6-8 we were forecasted to.
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Saturday is looking awfully fishy on this forecast. :P
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Saturday is looking awfully fishy on this forecast. :P
lol yeah, it sort of does :P
Geesh, the two tiers of counties closest to Lake Michigan have Blizzard Warnings.
(http://img682.imageshack.us/img682/7471/12909nwsscreenshot1.jpg)
It's not fair! I want one SO bad. I wish I lived closer to the lake.
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I thought this was interesting info on our wwinter here in GA. This is the 5th snowiest winter for my area.
How Cold/Snowy was the 2009-2010 Winter?
The average temperatures for the December 2009 - February 2010 period were among some of the coldest ever across north and central Georgia. Each of the four climate sites - Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport, Athens Ben Epps Airport, Columbus Metropolitan Airport and Macon/Middle Georgia Regional Airport - saw average temperatures among the ten coldest ever recorded. The average temperatures Columbus had the 4th coldest average temperature for the winter season, while Macon tied for the 5th coldest, Atlanta was the eighth coldest and Athens tied for the ninth coldest winter season.
Average Temperatures (December 1 - February 28)
Atlanta
YEAR Average
Temperature
1976-1977 36.9
1977-1978 38.3
1962-1963 38.8
1963-1964 38.8
1935-1936 38.9
1939-1940 39.0
1901-1902 39.2
2009-2010 40.1
1885-1886 40.2
1917-1918 40.2
Athens
YEAR Average
Temperature
1976-1977 38.4
1904-1905 38.6
1917-1918 38.6
1903-1904 38.9
1977-1978 39.2
1909-1910 39.4
1962-1963 39.8
1963-1964 39.9
1935-1936 40.4
2009-2010 40.4
Macon
YEAR Average
Temperature
1976-1977 42.8
1977-1978 43.4
1935-1936 43.5
1939-1940 43.5
1901-1902 43.6
2009-2010 43.6
1904-1905 43.7
1963-1964 43.8
1917-1918 44.0
1903-1904 44.2
Columbus
YEAR Average
Temperature
1976-1977 42.6
1963-1964 42.9
1977-1978 43.2
2009-2010 43.4
1962-1963 43.5
1969-1970 43.6
1957-1958 43.7
1968-1969 45.1
1960-1961 45.6
1965-1966 45.9
The total snowfall this season at Atlanta breaks top 5 for total snowfall recorded December through March for the period of record. As of midnight Wednesday March 3, the total snowfall for the winter season so far is 5.3 inches which is now the fifth highest since accurate snow records began in 1929. Additionally...the snow on March 2nd marks the third time measurable snow and the tenth time at least a trace of snow or sleet fell at Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport this season. In an average winter season...Atlanta typically experiences 4 days of measurable snow and 6 days with a trace or more of snow or sleet
Snowfall (December 1 - March 30)
Atlanta
Normal 2.5 inches
Total through March 2nd
5.3 inches
YEAR RAINFALL
1935 10.9
1982 10.3
1939 8.3
1981 7.7
1991 5.0
1959 4.8
1986 4.8
1978 4.6
1933 4.5
1961 4.5
Athens
Normal 2.5 inches
Total through March 2nd
5.0 inches
YEAR RAINFALL
1935 12.0
1982 10.6
1939 9.8
1959 8.6
1933 8.2
1986 7.5
1981 7.1
1979 6.3
1965 5.6
1978 4.7
Macon
Normal 1.6 inches
Total through March 2nd
3.0 inches
YEAR RAINFALL
1972 16.5
1935 4.6
1954 3.7
1978 3.4
1939 3.0
1976 3.0
1967 2.9
1992 2.6
1981 2.2
1987 2.1
Columbus
Normal 1.1 inches
Total through March 2nd
2.0 inches
YEAR RAINFALL
1972 14.0
1992 2.5
1978 2.0
1981 2.0
1993 1.6
1976 1.4
1979 1.0
1982 1.0
1987 1.0
1996 1.0
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We've had an intense Winter, too. More than half of the days this Winter have had 59° or below for highs and 39° or below for lows. I should also mention the day snow flurries were reported here. :D
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([url]http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/topheadline/2009/WINTER2010USOverview.jpg[/url])
Heres to a bad ass winter :dance:
Looks like this verified! Were there heavy rains though is southern FL?
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([url]http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/topheadline/2009/WINTER2010USOverview.jpg[/url])
Heres to a bad ass winter :dance:
Looks like this verified! Were there heavy rains though is southern FL?
After looking at that map again, I'm surprised how accurate it really was. They really nailed it from the MW to TX all the way up to NE. Not sure about the NW, but I'm assuming it probably did play out that way.
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([url]http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/topheadline/2009/WINTER2010USOverview.jpg[/url])
Heres to a bad ass winter :dance:
Looks like this verified! Were there heavy rains though is southern FL?
After looking at that map again, I'm surprised how accurate it really was. They really nailed it from the MW to TX all the way up to NE. Not sure about the NW, but I'm assuming it probably did play out that way.
Accuweather accurate? Crazy :P
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If you looked at NOAA's prediction for this winter, you'll find that it was pretty similar with a few small differences. AccuWeather and NOAA both simply used what is typical for an El Niņo winter, and that's why their maps verified rather well. Here's what NOAA said in a link back on October 15, 2009 with a precipitation map and a temperature map shown on their page:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20091015_winteroutlook.html (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20091015_winteroutlook.html)
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If you looked at NOAA's prediction for this winter, you'll find that it was pretty similar with a few small differences. AccuWeather and NOAA both simply used what is typical for an El Niņo winter, and that's why their maps verified rather well. Here's what NOAA said in a link back on October 15, 2009 with a precipitation map and a temperature map shown on their page:
[url]http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20091015_winteroutlook.html[/url] ([url]http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20091015_winteroutlook.html[/url])
I was just joking. :P But yes the long range forecasts were decent this season