Severe Weather Threat: Tuesday, October 26th

[toxictwister00]

Wow, SPC jumped to a high risk for this day!   I'm a little scared to say the least as the expected line of storms has already formed.  There are tornado warnings in effect right now.

No offense to the SPC, but I think they hyped this event a little too much. For example, I don't think there was a need for a PDS Tornado Watch in AL and TN and the reason I say this is because I think a regular Tornado Watch would have equally served the same purpose and urgency as that PDS watch would have and plus I thought those are supposed to be issued in rare severe weather events where there's expected to be big wedge tornadoes that are long lived on the ground and things like that. I've seen more of these things issued in the past year than I have my entire life. I feel like it loses all urgency to it when it's issued more than it should be.

[phw115wvwx]

No offense to the SPC, but I think they hyped this event a little too much. For example, I don't think there was a need for a PDS Tornado Watch in AL and TN and the reason I say this is because I think a regular Tornado Watch would have equally served the same purpose and urgency as that PDS watch would have and plus I thought those are supposed to be issued in rare severe weather events where there's expected to be big wedge tornadoes that are long lived on the ground and things like that. I've seen more of these things issued in the past year than I have my entire life. I feel like it loses all urgency to it when it's issued more than it should be.

The high risk for today was not triggered by confidence in tornadoes, which was only 15% according to their probability map.  That number alone only yields a moderate risk.  The high risk was triggered by the high confidence in wind damage, which was at 60%.  There is actually a table that explains how SPC's probabilities of each severe weather parameter (tornadoes, winds, and hail) correlate to the risk level they issue.  In regards to the PDS tornado watches, I think those were issued more because this event was happening in an unusual time of the year, so they were afraid people would be caught off guard.

Three people have already been injured from today's event based on preliminary reports that have made it to SPC so far.  I don't see any fatalities listed, but it wouldn't surprise me if I'm only looking at the tip of the iceberg in terms of all reports from this day.

[toxictwister00]

No offense to the SPC, but I think they hyped this event a little too much. For example, I don't think there was a need for a PDS Tornado Watch in AL and TN and the reason I say this is because I think a regular Tornado Watch would have equally served the same purpose and urgency as that PDS watch would have and plus I thought those are supposed to be issued in rare severe weather events where there's expected to be big wedge tornadoes that are long lived on the ground and things like that. I've seen more of these things issued in the past year than I have my entire life. I feel like it loses all urgency to it when it's issued more than it should be.

The high risk for today was not triggered by confidence in tornadoes, which was only 15% according to their probability map.  That number alone only yields a moderate risk.  The high risk was triggered by the high confidence in wind damage, which was at 60%.  There is actually a table that explains how SPC's probabilities of each severe weather parameter (tornadoes, winds, and hail) correlate to the risk level they issue.  In regards to the PDS tornado watches, I think those were issued more because this event was happening in an unusual time of the year, so they were afraid people would be caught off guard.

Three people have already been injured from today's event based on preliminary reports that have made it to SPC so far.  I don't see any fatalities listed, but it wouldn't surprise me if I'm only looking at the tip of the iceberg in terms of all reports from this day.

Oh ok, well thanks for clearing up the part about the high risk because when I saw the PDS Tornado Watch issued in the South I was thinking to myself, "Why didn't they issue that for IL & IN and parts of KY where they had the high risk forecasted?"

[TWCmatthew]

I'm sad now that the severe weather risk has passed.  I just love the good feeling of severe weather possible. (I'm a severe weather fanatic.  )

[toxictwister00]

Just when I thought it was over, here comes another line of storms. 

[phw115wvwx]

Areas east of me had two confirmed tornadoes last night, and I'm pretty sure more occurred tonight after working a shift and seeing more tornado warnings being issued.  It's been a crazy time lately for many people.

[TWCmatthew]

The pressure in northern MN is up to about 29.9-30", so it looks like this historic system has moved off and is history.

[Mr. Rainman]

Well, according to the SPC, the system has moved off and a high pressure system has taken its place. It looks like the majority of the nation is in for a beautiful weekend.

To close this out, here are a list of storm reports from the monster system, which I am officially dubbing "The Great Derecho of 2010."

- 2 injured in a EF1 tornado that touched down in Kenosha County, WI.
- Wanatah, IN, experienced an EF1 tornado with estimated winds fo 85-90 mph.
- Buckland, OH, showed damage caused by a possible EF2.
- EF2 tornado damaged dam in Chattanooga, TN ( , for some odd reason).
- Possible EF2 tornado in Dekalb County, AL.
- 1.75 inch hail reported in Cleveland, GA.
- Butlerville, OH, reported 81 mph winds.
- 80 mph winds reported in Greenfield, IN.

[Mr. Rainman]

Oh, and here is the AMAZING satellite image of this storm. Isn't it impressive? 

[Eric]

Oh, and here is the AMAZING satellite image of this storm. Isn't it impressive? 

Broken link.  From the URL you provided it looks like you're trying to address in image in your gmail account.

[TWCToday]

While this storm was impressive and the storms did cause damage the media did hype it a lot in regards to the wind. It wasn't as bad as some of the wild scenarios that were being predicted