Messages

181

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 22, 2011, 09:12:31 AM »

I think Irene has solved the Caribbean puzzle as it's going to escape just north of Hispaniola, so all my earlier doubts have faded. 

I was thinking the same thing, only I thought she would be south of the islands.

Irene will not be a fish storm; she's coming in somewhere. My guess is Cape Canaveral to Hilton Head Island. Depends on how much she turns when she gets in that area.

182

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 20, 2011, 11:37:47 PM »

I'm getting a feeling models that shifted east (GFS/Euro) are gonna shift west again. GFS has been doing that today, it shifted west from the 12z and 6z runs and I don't think the 0z run will be any different. If the ridge in the Atlantic is stronger and retrogrades west the north turn will be delayed, that's what the CMC and UKMET are doing which is why they are so far west from the others. My biggest concern is flooding across the SE, GFS/EURO are stalling Irene over AL/GA once it makes landfall because it misses a weak departing trough to pull it north and east.

I have a feeling Irene will stay mainly south of the islands as well...which wouldn't be good because that puts her on a track much closer to me. I do not trust that upper high over Texas.

183

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 20, 2011, 11:34:25 PM »

82° (Weatherbug) with clear skies.

184

General Discussion / Re: Post your desktops

« on: August 10, 2011, 11:54:46 AM »

San Francisco sunset:

185

General Discussion / Re: The Debt Ceiling Deadline

« on: August 07, 2011, 11:45:18 PM »

Simply bring the tax level on the wealthy back to levels under Clinton while doing entitlement reform (which is sorely needed, especially SS disability and SSI) and cutting down spending in all areas of government...including defense and -dare I say it? - eliminating Homeland Security.

186

Your Local Weather / Re: New Orleans weather

« on: August 03, 2011, 04:36:42 PM »

3 pm conditions

New Orleans Audubon Park
No Sky Report 94° (Heat Index 111°)

New Orleans Int'l
Mostly Sunny 94° (106°)

Lakefront Airport
Mostly Sunny 94° (110°)

Belle Chasse
Partly Cloudy 85°

Galliano
Partly Cloudy 95° (105°)

Port Fourchon
Partly Cloudy 91° (105°)

Boothville
Cloudy 90° (106°)

Houma
Mostly Sunny 91° (102°)

Baton Rouge
Mostly Sunny 94° (110)

Hammond
No Sky Report 99° (117°)

Slidell
Mostly Sunny 95° (109°)

McComb
Sunny 95° (107°)

Bay Saint Louis/Stennis Space Center
Mostly Sunny 97° (115°)

Gulfport
Mostly Sunny 91° (109°)

Biloxi
Mostly Sunny 92° (117°)

Pascagoula
Mostly Sunny 93° (108°)


EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING
An Excessive Heat Warning is in effect for all of SE LA and Coastal MS until 7PM Thursday. "Feels like" temperatures will be between 107-114 degrees. Take precautions if you plan on being outside for any length of time.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
Clouds & sunshine, hot, and humid with a 10% chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Highs around 96, but it will feel like 100-115. Wind W/SW 5-10 mph.

WEDNESDAY EVENING
Mostly clear, warm, and humid. Temperatures falling into the low and mid 80s. Wind SW 5-10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear, warm, and humid. Lows around 80. Wind SW Around 5 mph.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 10% chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Highs around 96, but it will feel like 100-115. Wind W/SW 5-10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear, very mild, muggy. Lows around 79. Wind SW Around 5 mph.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 20% chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Highs around 95, but it will feel like 100-115. Wind Variable 5-10 mph.

SATURDAY
Clouds & sunshine, hot, and humid with a 20% chance for isolated showers or thunderstorms. Lows around 79. Highs around 94, but it will feel like 100-110.

SUNDAY
Clouds & sunshine, hot, and humid with a 30% chance for spotty scattered showers or thunderstorms. Lows around 79. Highs around 94, but it will feel like 100-110.

187

WeatherSTAR Tech Support / Re: Have you seen?

« on: August 03, 2011, 10:56:41 AM »

This is limited to the cable STARs right?

188

Your Local Weather / Re: New Orleans weather

« on: August 03, 2011, 10:53:44 AM »

The humidity is in full effect down here. The entire region has been under heat advisories since Sunday, but today it's been upgraded to an excessive heat advisory until 7 pm. It could be extended into tomorrow.

Current conditions coming up soon.

189

General Weather Chat / Re: 10 Biggest Severe WX Outbreaks

« on: August 03, 2011, 10:47:08 AM »

I am familiar with some of the dates, but what about the other ones? Go into some detail about each date.

190

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 03, 2011, 10:45:51 AM »

Looks like Emily's center has become exposed as the thunderstorms are now south and southeast of the center.

I'm also noticing that Emily has yet to make that turn to the northwest toward Hispanola as forecasted the past few days. If and when she does make that turn, she may not go over the middle of the island, but over the western part of the island (Haiti).

I also have an issue with the forecast track. That is quite a hard right Emily is forecasted to make when she gets east of Florida/Georgia. I can't see a turn that sharp.

191

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Don

« on: July 31, 2011, 09:00:53 PM »

Don was literally choked to death by Dry Air.

192

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: July 31, 2011, 08:53:09 PM »

80° Partly Cloudy. Heat advisory in effect until tomorrow evening.

193

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: July 29, 2011, 05:48:20 PM »

This is quite an observation...and you can see it on the Brownsville radar:

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT DOPPLER WIND DISPLAYS FROM
THE BROWNSVILLE WSR-88D HAVE RECENTLY SHOWN A WELL-DEFINED
MESOCYCLONE IN A STRONG CONVECTIVE CELL WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
THE CENTER AND THE PRIMARY CONVECTION.

From the forecast discussion of the 4 pm advisory.

194

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Don

« on: July 29, 2011, 12:36:43 AM »

I think Don will come in between North Padre Island and Corpus Christi as a 60-70 mph tropical storm.

195

Your Local Weather / Re: New Orleans weather

« on: July 28, 2011, 11:56:23 PM »

Evening gang.

It's been a wet weather pattern across the area since I last posted...and it's putting a good dent in our drought and rain deficit. Today alone, New Orleans Int'l set a rainfall record for this date with 3.27 inches of rain, breaking the old record of 3.08 inches back in 1998. This also puts New Orleans more than five inches above normal for the month and gives the city the fifth wettest July ever on record. However, the city is still roughly 5.5 inches below normal for the year. Some street flooding occurred on the east bank of Jefferson Parish.

To sum things up: Don will stay south of us, but the high steering Don will move over us for the weekend and reduce rain chances. Above normal rain chances return next week.



10 PM CONDITIONS

NEW ORLEANS INT'L
Cloudy, 78°

LAKEFRONT ARPT
Mostly cloudy, 80°

BELLE CHASSE
Cloudy, 79°

SLIDELL
Cloudy, 79°

BATON ROUGE
Cloudy, 79°

HAMMOND
No report

GALLIANO
Mostly cloudy, 81°

BOOTHVILLE
Partly cloudy, 79°

HOUMA
Mostly Cloudy, 79°

PORT FOURCHON
Clear, 82°

McCOMB
Partly cloudy, 76°

BAY SAINT LOUIS
Partly cloudy, 81°

GULFPORT
Partly cloudy, 79°

KEESLER AFB
No report

PASCAGOULA
Partly cloudy, 78°


REGIONAL FORECAST

THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING
Mostly cloudy, mild, and muggy with a 10% chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Lows around 79. Wind SE 5-10 mph.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 40% chance for a few scattered showers or thunderstorms. Highs around 93, but it will feel like 95-105. Wind SE 6-12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
A 20% chance for an evening isolated shower or thunderstorm, otherwise becoming partly cloudy, mild, and muggy. Lows around 78. Wind E/SE 3-5 mph.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 20% chance for isolated showers or thunderstorms. Highs around 95, but it will feel like 100-110. Wind E/SE 5-10 mph.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 20% chance for isolated showers or thunderstorms. Lows around 79. Highs around 95, but it will feel like 100-110.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 50% chance for scattered showers or thunderstorms..some downpours possible. Lows around 79. Highs around 91, but it may feel like 95-100.

TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy, hot, and humid with a 50% chance for scattered showers or thunderstorms..some downpours possible. Lows around 80. Highs around 91, but it will feel like 95-100.