Messages

301

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Lee

« on: September 05, 2011, 08:21:42 AM »

I'm part of this one... heck, who isn't?
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0838.html

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
   
          MUCH OF ALABAMA
          THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
          EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 540 AM UNTIL 400
   PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.

302

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Lee

« on: September 04, 2011, 04:50:01 PM »

I find it sad and disturbing that while much of the Southeast is under a Flood Watch or Flood Warning of some sort, just a short hop west, you run into Texas coated in Red Flag warnings.

If there's any constellation to this, the GFS has been showing two more tropical storms developing in the GOM, one heading in the direction of S. TX and the other heading in the same direction of Lee. The downside is both are long range (7+ days out). Unfortunately, the reality is TX will continue to be shafted as long as that High pressure continues to linger around.

I hope (x475628) that GFS is correct about this. I'd love to get this weather again... a direct hit would be nice this time.

If anything goes for Texas, I would hope it wouldn't be like Don...

THE DON IS DEAD.  THE CYCLONE LITERALLY EVAPORATED OVER TEXAS ABOUT
AS FAST AS I HAVE EVER SEEN WITHOUT MOUNTAINS INVOLVED.  DON HAS NO
CONVECTION...MEAGER RAINFALL...AND ONLY A SLIGHT SIGNATURE IN
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR DATA.  THEREFORE...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM.  DON SHOULD OPEN UP INTO A TROUGH LATER
TODAY AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO POSE
A RAINFALL THREAT.

303

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Lee

« on: September 04, 2011, 06:39:05 AM »

I'm getting pretty mad about this... we still have more on its way, but we have been getting rain since about 11pm last night. Want to know what my gauge is recording? 0.00in of rain. Either my gauge is messed up or we haven't had enough rain to do jack squat. We do have a tornado watch about a county west of us, but by the time the severe part arrives there, we should be under one as well.

This updates, so it will likely be different from this the next time someone views, but the area of rain near the center has circulated back into the Gulf... increased chance of rain? Chance of another cyclone? Dissipation? I know all three may have a chance, but the chance of another cyclone? I'd give it about a 20% chance.

http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/data/images/at201113_sat_anim.gif

304

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: September 04, 2011, 06:33:38 AM »

You know you're in college when you have a 2-3 page paper, 98 math problems, a worksheet and a quiz to study during  the first week of classes. Organic chemistry= death. I don't know why this subject even exists, it's worser than multivariable calculus.

We've been prepped for that already - last year (which was the first year the school even started, none of us had already been exposed to such a curriculum). We had 1000-word-essays, over 100 math problems... the essay spanned over a week or two week period because it was a long-term research subject, but the math spanned for a day or two. Can't quite remember.

I can say this, math isn't my strong subject, but it isn't weak, either... and sadly math is needed in meteorology. That was the only thing that turned me away, but quickly reminded myself that there is this new thing called LEARNING.

305

Local Forecast / Re: July/August 2011 playlist

« on: September 03, 2011, 05:30:05 PM »

No way that would ever happen...

Only an idea 

306

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Lee

« on: September 03, 2011, 05:26:50 PM »

Looking at satellite, Lee is looking less and less like a tropical storm and more like a fairly mature mid-latitude cyclone. We'll have to wait to see what NHC says, and I'm no expert on tropical systems, but I have a feeling Lee will be classified as extra-tropical within the next 24 hours. Anyone else have thoughts on this, or am I just plain wrong? 

Actually, according to the latest update, the pressure is dropping and wind speeds are picking up a bit... not to mention also that the storm is stationary over the Gulf of Mexico. It's strengthening, and as many are saying, the storm could briefly become a hurricane.

Also, if you'll look, Lee also has another possible low pressure area within the outer bands of the storm.
http://icons-ak.wxug.com/data/images/blogs/atl_ir4_sat_tropicalindex_0.gif?2011931725

307

Local Forecast / Re: July/August 2011 playlist

« on: September 03, 2011, 03:07:09 PM »

I think a month of nothing but Ryan Farish music is in order. Who else thinks so?

308

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: September 03, 2011, 03:03:30 PM »

Whille everyone else is beginning or going back to college, I am entering the eighth grade Tuesday. Going to be a lot of algebra, some grammar/spelling/literature, American History (yay!), and science. I love school, but I don't love the homework.

For the first six grades, I went to public school... last year and years on I will be in Private school studying under the A Beka Curriculum.

309

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Lee

« on: September 03, 2011, 02:58:59 PM »

TOMORROW: I will be going into the field to do live coverage on Ustream at or a little after 7am. I will post the link before I head out here and be sure to monitor my Twitter for the second I go live. I see a great day tomorrow and Monday.

310

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression 13

« on: September 02, 2011, 08:33:34 AM »

Pretty much all of Alabama, except a little chunk of Northeast, is under the CoU (cone of uncertainty)... rain should extend outward about 50-100mi from the storm, so at least most of Alabama will get rain from this. Florida, maybe.

I know of only one county that has Double-Red Flagged their beaches, and that is Bay County, FL. I'm entirely sure there are others.

311

Hurricane Central / Re: TD-13 (possible-to-be Lee)

« on: September 01, 2011, 10:22:03 PM »

This was a one time and first time accomplishment for me. All I knew was that it had formed just as everyone else like the local stations that were reporting on it did. We had no clue about it until the actual advisory. Won't happen again.

What kind of "accomplishment" is this?  It was obvious to everyone who paid attention, as suggested by the NHC, that a depression was extremely likely to form.  However, it's not official until the NHC releases a statement.  Your comments before the fact made it seem like you were eager beyond all belief to "break the news" to us before the official source.  And for what?  Was it worth this drama?

No, it wasn't worth this drama, but I can tell you something. I was excited to do this for once, I have been excited with everything I do related to weather, but guess what? That was crushed. 

312

Hurricane Central / Re: TD-13 (possible-to-be Lee)

« on: September 01, 2011, 10:05:51 PM »

You're seeming a bit rude about this, Austin. We had no idea, and were just going by what the NHC said. You don't have to have an attitude about it...

I love how everybody, including TWC, was talking about the storm right after it was broken. TWC even put up the L3rd reporting on it during longform.

Austin, it appears to me that you were trying to brag by being the first to spread the news, which is a dangerous pursuit and the reason why you received the criticism.  You should be waiting until the first NHC advisory is issued to show some credibility as a meteorologist before posting online.  Then, you can give us far more valuable information than just saying a new depression has formed like the following:

Tropical Depression #13 8:00 PM EDT Advisory
----------------------------------------------------------------
Location:  26.6°N, 91.4°W (about 225 miles SW of the mouth of the Mississippi River)
Maximum Sustained Winds:  35 mph
Movement:  NW at 6 mph
Minimum Central Pressure:  1007 mb

This was a one time and first time accomplishment for me. All I knew was that it had formed just as everyone else like the local stations that were reporting on it did. We had no clue about it until the actual advisory. Won't happen again.

Anyways, if I seem to have an attitude problem or I need to do things differently, then please immediately remove me from the forums. I've seen a few worse attitudes here before that I will not bring up...

313

Hurricane Central / Re: TD-13 (possible-to-be Lee)

« on: September 01, 2011, 07:42:35 PM »

Guess what?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents

314

Hurricane Central / Re: TD-13 (possible-to-be Lee)

« on: September 01, 2011, 07:17:25 PM »

Don't say I didn't tell you so when the map is updated.

315

Hurricane Central / Re: TD-13 (possible-to-be Lee)

« on: September 01, 2011, 07:06:26 PM »

Our internal server information feed. Check Twitter, most stations are reporting on it.

I checked feeds on Twitter concerning TD-13, as well, and the SKYWARNAL Storm and Hurricane Center broke first on Twitter.