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Messages - Mr. Rainman

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91
Contributions / Re: Local forecasts every 4 minutes
« on: January 27, 2013, 12:23:41 PM »
Canadians are much more concerned with the weather than here. I'm sure they get wilder weather than In the US, especially in the northern part of the country.

Define "wilder weather." The United States probably gets some of the most dynamic and potentially dangerous weather of any place in the world.

92
Severe Weather / Severe Weather Season 2013
« on: January 26, 2013, 12:46:12 AM »
A new year, a new season for severe weather! And it looks like we'll start off with a bang this year, as a fairly impressive trough sets up Tuesday across the Midwest with a lot of moisture and potential instability ahead of it - and if the forecast temperatures from NWS verify, we could be seeing quite a bit of it.

I'd say at least damaging winds and hail along with a few tornadoes with this. If all the parameters fall in place, those tornadoes could be strong/long-tracked. Looking at analog data, the set up looks to be quite similar to the Super Tuesday Outbreak of 2008.

I've attached 29/18Z of the 00Z GFS below.

93
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: January 25, 2013, 01:35:06 PM »
We have a company here called Merridian that forecasts road conditions across much of the country - it requires precise temperature forecasts up to the tenth of a degree.

UPS has a large forecasting branch based in Kentucky (Louisville, I think) that forecasts weather conditions across the entire world for their international shipments. FedEx has the same thing.

The big, big advantage I can point to for the private sector versus the NWS is that pay is usually better and the ease of moving into higher positions is not as complicated. The downside is that if you want to issue warnings/watches...well, NWS is pretty much your only option.

94
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: January 24, 2013, 11:34:15 PM »
I wish meteorology wasn't so math intense...i'm willing to go up to maybe Calc 2 at most but Calc 4 plus physics and chemistry is insane. Might as well go with pre-med since the track is similar but you need just calc 1 LOL
Well, math is the language of everything in the world and is a the only way to problem solve. If you can get through the four years of math, you'll be a lot better off. At least mets don't use those levels of math daily, now that we have computers, anyway. I'm guessing that its important to learn that level of mathematics so that you understand how everything works on a level other than just the conceptual method.
I don't hate math. I like math and am willing to work hard for it, but like most majors out there (not just meteorology but engineering, computer science, finance, etc), they are math intensive not necessarily because of the math itself but because it teaches you the logic behind in mastering the concepts, and using that logic is vital for many careers.

Also my best friend is a material sciences engineering major and told me the same thing. She's doing Calc 4 and told me Calc 2 was the worst. In Rutgers it supposedly has the highest fail rate of any math course. She failed it once along with her other friends failing maybe twice. Calc 3 was medium but interesting, Calc 4 was a lot easier and Calc 1 is either difficult or managable depending on how you approach the material. I'm retaking Calc 1 because I failed it last semester but I am taking the Economics/Business/bio Calc and not the regular calc that engineers and physical science majors take.

I like weather, I'm not exactly the most passionate weather enthusiast but after all the recent stress, I can safely say it is the only profession I can truly see myself in and the only career I'd be the most satisfied about. The severe weather aspect is by far the most fascinating part of meteorology to me and our school has a pretty decent met program. My question is in the NWS and other weather organizations where you might work, would you lose your job if you had tremendous difficulty with the math required for your field? I am willing to work hard to pursue my future its just that I am not finding any majors that deeply appeal to me besides met.

I'm not sure. Most of the mathematical equations that you use in meteorology can be handled by the computer, at least with what I've learned so far. When you get into more complicated matters (thermodynamics, synoptic, physical meteorology), I'm not so sure.

95
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: January 24, 2013, 10:26:41 PM »
I wish meteorology wasn't so math intense...i'm willing to go up to maybe Calc 2 at most but Calc 4 plus physics and chemistry is insane. Might as well go with pre-med since the track is similar but you need just calc 1 LOL

By what I've heard, apparently Calc 1 is relatively simple, Calc 2 makes you want to die, Calc 3 seems much simpler, and then Dif Eq. tries to finish you off (at least that's how our department jokes about it). That, on top of Physics and Chemistry, can make it a numerical nightmare. Trust me though, it is so worth it.

Speaking of which, has anyone heard anything good about the Meteorology graduate program at Chicago University? I'm willing to go there for graduate studies but the price of living in the suburbs is...well, sky high.

96
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 24, 2013, 03:56:22 PM »
-1° Light Snow/Blowing Snow/Breezy

Temperatures climb to near freezing by Monday before falling back to sub-zero highs by midweek.

Seems like Craig and I are having opposite patterns - he is seeing a warm pattern with cold shots, and over here, a cold pattern with warm shots.

97
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 23, 2013, 10:03:32 PM »
Another arctic blast that's giving us the cold shoulder (no pun intended)  :( We reached our coldest night this winter of 29 yesterday night. PATHETIC. Even for Southern standards.  <_< I need to move a little further north.

Currently: 56, sunny (Forecasted high BUSTED by about 5-7 degrees, warmer than expected)

Actually, for a while, our coldest temp the entire season was only 23°F. On the 21st, we finally dipped below 23°F for the first time this season. The media is exaggerating this a little bit. If we were breaking records, then this would be a real arctic blast, but very few stations have broke records so far.

17.6°F Mostly Cloudy

We have the coldest night of the year as well up here.

-16° Few Clouds. Forecast low is -24°.

98
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 22, 2013, 01:07:57 PM »
-6° Overcast

Coldest temperature in the nation this morning was recorded roughly 100 miles east of us, with a low of -38°.

99
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 21, 2013, 10:37:58 PM »
I hate all of you.

-15° Few Clouds. Wind chill of -30°.

100
General Discussion / Re: Happy birthday Zach!
« on: January 21, 2013, 01:15:23 PM »
Happy 18th, Zach!  :biggrin:

101
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 21, 2013, 01:14:46 PM »
-9° Few Clouds.

We've already gotten above our forecast high by about 2 degrees today.

102
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 20, 2013, 12:08:43 PM »
-2° Partly Cloudy

103
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: January 19, 2013, 06:54:54 PM »
Well, our local news program made it painfully clear that it is too dangerous to go outside for the remainder of the weekend. This should practically be instant frostbite, no?

104
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 19, 2013, 04:28:45 PM »
2° Blowing Snow/Windy

Wind Chill: -23°

105
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: January 18, 2013, 08:09:45 PM »
16° Overcast.

I'll let the attached image speak for itself. When you have the "cold" icon in your forecast, you know it's going to be a bad day.  :brr:

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