451
Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« on: June 30, 2012, 12:42:56 AM »
600 wind reports as of 11:41 PM CDT and the most severe portion of the derecho has finally pushed offshore. This was an impressive system. 
November 28, 2024, 02:46:06 AM
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452
The Game Room / Re: Yes or No Question
« on: June 29, 2012, 03:47:13 PM »
Yes, better than CNN.
Do you have a favorite late-night television show?
Do you have a favorite late-night television show?
453
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: June 29, 2012, 12:41:37 PM »
80 with a few clouds. We are not forecast to hit 90 degrees until next Thursday.
454
Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« on: June 28, 2012, 08:37:43 PM »
Just as I thought SPC couldn't make any smaller of a watch, they issue a watch for a single cell for 5 counties in Indiana. You'd think just a few warnings would do.
The second image is that cell they are tracking. The outflow boundary/gust front on that thing is impressive!
The second image is that cell they are tracking. The outflow boundary/gust front on that thing is impressive!
455
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 28, 2012, 07:52:12 PM »The timing of our heat wave was pretty horrible with our past records. For example, the record high for Dallas yesterday and today was a sweltering 113 degrees!
BTW, Mac, absolutely love that table you made!
Thanks, Andy!
I've run the verification for forecast highs. I've gotten all data in except from NWS Dodge City and NWS Wichita. Highs in that region apparently touched 110 at some points. You can view it at the link below. So far, 10 cities have broken records and 6 have tied.
http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/midwest-heat-wave-verification.html
456
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: June 28, 2012, 06:06:23 PM »
84 and quite breezy - gusts up to 35 mph.
I swear to god someone in the dining hall said "We must be the hottest place on Earth right now."
I swear to god someone in the dining hall said "We must be the hottest place on Earth right now."
457
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 28, 2012, 01:33:47 PM »
For those who want a little more detail:
Some common misconceptions about this law, from Politifact:
1.) An independent payment advisory board created by the health care reform law "can ration care and deny certain Medicare treatments." - Pat Boone
Politifact Rating: Pants On Fire. See the article at http://www.politifact.com/ohio/statements/2012/mar/19/pat-boone/pat-boone-says-health-care-advisory-board-can-rati/.
2.) President Obama’s health care law "represents a government takeover of health care." - Mitt Romney
Politifact Rating: Pants On Fire. The law is not a takeover of health care by the government, especially since the health care law continues to depend on private health insurance and private-sector physicians. (Politifact)
3.) Those who fail to buy health insurance under "Obamacare" face the threat of jail time. - Bob Marshall
Politifact Rating: Pants on Fire. As stated above, a fine will be instated instead of jail time.
4.) A provision in the health care reform bill for end-of-life counseling for seniors is not "entirely voluntary." - Sarah Palin
Politifact Rating: False. There is nothing in the current law that forces end-of-life counseling. Although there certainly may be pressure to do so from a doctor, the call is entirely up to the patient. (From Politifact)
5.) Up to 20 million people will lose their employee-sponsored health care by 2019. - Chamber of Commerce TV Spot
Rating: Misleading. The Congressional Budget Office did say this is a possible scenario, but it was under the extreme assumption that employers would have a strongly negative reaction to the cost of obtaining health insurance for their workers. The more realistic scenario is still a loss - but only 3 to 5 million. Another scenario - less likely but still possible - is a gain of employee-sponsored health care - up to 3 million more people.
6.) If the Supreme Court throws out the federal health care law, it "would be an unprecedented, extraordinary step of overturning a law that was passed by a strong majority of a democratically elected Congress." - Barack Obama
Politifact Rating: False. The passing of the law was done by anything but a strong majority. "Obamacare" was passed by a narrow margin of 5 votes - 220 to 215.
If anyone had any questions about it, I hope this clears some things up.
- All parts of the law were upheld - no parts of the law were ruled unconstitutional.
- The "individual mandate" - although found impermissible in terms of the commerce clause - is still legal as a tax. From Justice Roberts:Quote
In this case, however, it is reasonable to construe what Congress has done as increasing taxes on those who have a certain amount of income, but choose to go without health insurance. Such legislation is within Congress's power to tax.
- The law does not order people to buy health care - the government does not have that power, according to SCOTUS - but it does have the power to tax those without health insurance. This is within legal boundaries.
- From CNN - It also requires individuals to have health insurance, either through their employers or a state-sponsored exchange, or face a fine beginning in 2014.
Some common misconceptions about this law, from Politifact:
1.) An independent payment advisory board created by the health care reform law "can ration care and deny certain Medicare treatments." - Pat Boone
Politifact Rating: Pants On Fire. See the article at http://www.politifact.com/ohio/statements/2012/mar/19/pat-boone/pat-boone-says-health-care-advisory-board-can-rati/.
2.) President Obama’s health care law "represents a government takeover of health care." - Mitt Romney
Politifact Rating: Pants On Fire. The law is not a takeover of health care by the government, especially since the health care law continues to depend on private health insurance and private-sector physicians. (Politifact)
3.) Those who fail to buy health insurance under "Obamacare" face the threat of jail time. - Bob Marshall
Politifact Rating: Pants on Fire. As stated above, a fine will be instated instead of jail time.
4.) A provision in the health care reform bill for end-of-life counseling for seniors is not "entirely voluntary." - Sarah Palin
Politifact Rating: False. There is nothing in the current law that forces end-of-life counseling. Although there certainly may be pressure to do so from a doctor, the call is entirely up to the patient. (From Politifact)
5.) Up to 20 million people will lose their employee-sponsored health care by 2019. - Chamber of Commerce TV Spot
Rating: Misleading. The Congressional Budget Office did say this is a possible scenario, but it was under the extreme assumption that employers would have a strongly negative reaction to the cost of obtaining health insurance for their workers. The more realistic scenario is still a loss - but only 3 to 5 million. Another scenario - less likely but still possible - is a gain of employee-sponsored health care - up to 3 million more people.
6.) If the Supreme Court throws out the federal health care law, it "would be an unprecedented, extraordinary step of overturning a law that was passed by a strong majority of a democratically elected Congress." - Barack Obama
Politifact Rating: False. The passing of the law was done by anything but a strong majority. "Obamacare" was passed by a narrow margin of 5 votes - 220 to 215.
If anyone had any questions about it, I hope this clears some things up.
458
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 27, 2012, 11:47:16 PM »
Took me ages, but I finally compiled all the major cities (and by that I mean cities in NWS climate reports) and compared forecast highs to their records. The 34 data sets can be found here:
http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/midwest-heat-wave.html
At the moment, 18 of these cities are forecast to break their record highs, and 3 cities forecast to tie.
http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/midwest-heat-wave.html
At the moment, 18 of these cities are forecast to break their record highs, and 3 cities forecast to tie.
459
General Discussion / Re: President Obama Threatening to cut NWS budgets
« on: June 27, 2012, 10:31:15 PM »
BUMP and Double Post - does this constitute an automatic ban? 
An update on the story - looks like Congress finally agreed on something. Great news for NWS.
House Approves Funding of NWS
http://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2012/06/panel-approves-funds-avoid-weather-service-furloughs/56499/?oref=river
An update on the story - looks like Congress finally agreed on something. Great news for NWS.
House Approves Funding of NWS
http://www.govexec.com/pay-benefits/2012/06/panel-approves-funds-avoid-weather-service-furloughs/56499/?oref=river
460
TWC Fan Art / Re: plane852's Intellistar 2 Concepts
« on: June 27, 2012, 10:18:03 PM »
A heat wave continues across the Midwest and Ohio Valley tomorrow. Here are the forecast highs and the departure from normal. Joplin, St. Louis, and Indianapolis are set to break their record highs, and Chicago could tie.
461
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: June 27, 2012, 10:16:08 PM »
68 and Mostly Cloudy. The heat wave continues to our south.
462
General Discussion / Re: Kevin Martin vs. NOAA/NWS
« on: June 27, 2012, 02:02:15 AM »
He's suing for $50 MILLION? This guy is crazy.
463
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: June 26, 2012, 01:56:23 PM »
80 degrees and breezy. Extensive haze.
464
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 25, 2012, 05:05:56 PM »
Debby is expected to continue eastward over Florida and then re intensify over the Atlantic. Interestingly, they expect the storm to stall once again once it is in the SW Atlantic.
Quote
LARGE-SCALE MODELS SHOW DEBBY
CONTINUING ON AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD COURSE OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OFFSHORE OF
THE U.S. EAST COAST. AS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT
OUT IN 2-3 DAYS...DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND BE LEFT BEHIND
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GFS
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT
OVERALL ON AN EASTWARD TRACK...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT SPEED
DIFFERENCES REMAIN. THE GFS IS CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN THE MODEL
CONSENSUS...AND SHOWS DEBBY TAKING FIVE DAYS TO MOVE OFFSHORE THE
FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST. INTERESTINGLY...THE ECMWF IS NOW ONE OF THE
FASTEST MODELS TO THE EAST. THE NHC OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS NOT
AS FAST AS THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS IN DEFERENCE TO CONTINUITY AND
THE GFS.
465
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 24, 2012, 11:20:12 PM »
The new forecast track has Debby stalled or moving northward at less than 3 knots for the next 24-36 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see some isolated rain totals of 30 inches or greater in some areas.