Messages

391

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 03, 2012, 11:58:45 AM »

The track models will probably have an easier time following this thing once it slows down, and then we may have a slightly better idea where this thing is going. It may hit Southern Texas and give them some really well-needed rain.

392

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 03, 2012, 11:55:30 AM »

before *insert generic apocalyptic event here* happens!

Not. Don't worry, it won't happen. It's only a mis-understanding of the Mayan calendar, boosted in 2009 by the sci-fi film "2012". Oh, and sci-fi means SCIENCE FICTION. People actually believed it and told all of their friends and family, but later realized (hopefully) that it's only sci-fi. Don't worry.

(scratch above paragraph if you were using sarcasm or were joking)
In other news, Boston.com made a typo in their Red Sox newsletter this morning.

It was sarcasm, but thanks for the clarification.

393

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 02, 2012, 09:21:26 PM »

Summer? What about 2012 in general?! When did we get through 2/3rds of the year?!

2/3rds of the year? That means...oh no. Only 1/3 of a year left before *insert generic apocalyptic event here* happens! AUGH!   

394

General Weather Chat / Re: Heat

« on: August 02, 2012, 01:04:25 AM »

Just glancing through the record, this popped out. It hit 121 degrees in Ocotillo Wells, California, and the same temperature in Bullhead City, Arizona, on July 10th.

Hottest temperature today was in Enid, Chandler, and Okmulgee Oklahoma, at 115.

395

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 01, 2012, 05:12:09 PM »

Important to note before anyone gets too excited about the intensity forecast that there is a lot of uncertainty about it - the GFS wants to strengthen it into a hurricane while the European is leaning towards the degeneration of the system. Either one looks probable but given the European's sterling performance with Debby, I'm hesitant to agree with NHC's forecast at the moment. We'll see how future runs do.

396

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 01, 2012, 02:18:36 AM »

I disagree. All of the models are trending for a landfall in the Gulf. I think overall that it is far too early to come to conclusions on paths.

You also have to keep in mind until hard-core data on a system and a true center of circulation is found, models can only be taken with a grain of salt.

397

General Discussion / Re: The Olympics Hit London - 2012

« on: July 30, 2012, 07:24:22 PM »

At the end of Day 3, the medal count is 17 apiece for China and the United States. China leads in gold medal count, with 9 to their name. The U.S. is second with 5.

Notable news is that the French swimming team in the 4x100m relay narrowly beat out the United States for gold in that event, after the U.S narrowly beat them in Beijing back in 2008.

398

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: July 30, 2012, 02:08:00 PM »

Not so fast...

1. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

399

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: July 29, 2012, 05:06:36 PM »

90 and Partly Sunny, with severe thunderstorms a possibility this late afternoon.

On a much better note, pattern looks to finally take a more welcome shift late this week, with temperatures finally plunging below average and staying there for at least half a week or longer. Forecast highs are in the low to mid 70s.

400

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2012

« on: July 26, 2012, 08:57:53 PM »

For a portion of the forecasted derecho areas, it happened, such as OH, PA, NJ, southeast and central NY, and now into MD/DE. On the other hand, in New England, it was a huge stupid hype by the media, and the SPC. They deserve a  for this if something doesn't happen overnight.

Won't comment on the media, but I'm not sure how SPC is guilty in that. They explicitly called only interior southern New England, which did get (or is in the process of getting) hit.

401

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2012

« on: July 26, 2012, 06:27:48 PM »

An interesting tidbit about tornadoes, courtesy of Dr. Forbes - July is seeing a record low number of tornadoes thanks to this large high pressure system causing misery across much of the Central United States. The average number for July is 110. The count this month is a mere 12 - 86 percent below average. If the total tornado count remains below 23 this month, this July will see the lowest amount of tornadoes ever for July.

402

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2012

« on: July 26, 2012, 01:28:04 PM »

Massive watch is out.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0524.html

403

General Discussion / Re: Post your desktops

« on: July 25, 2012, 11:52:25 PM »

Probably the last thing an actual pilot should ever do, but still...I found this awesome. Made by a Russian photoshop professional.

Is that the 748i?

Indeed it is. Good eye!

404

General Discussion / Re: Post your desktops

« on: July 25, 2012, 09:33:27 PM »

Probably the last thing an actual pilot should ever do, but still...I found this awesome. Made by a Russian photoshop professional.

405

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2012

« on: July 25, 2012, 09:21:23 PM »

Current assessment of the situation puts in excess of 32 million people at risk of severe weather tomorrow. I wouldn't be surprised to see up to a third of that witness a loss of power of 48 hours or longer.