Messages

376

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 05, 2012, 01:38:14 PM »

I found this intriguing. Looks like NCEP finally has a new home. Bye, Camp Springs. Hello, College Park!

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/trafficandcommuting/noaa-moving-forecasting-center-to-college-park/2012/08/04/6b5f208e-ddac-11e1-af1d-753c613ff6d8_story.html

377

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 05, 2012, 01:33:48 PM »

74 with very few clouds. Our low last night was around 47.

378

Weatherscan Discussion / Re: Weatherscan Topic

« on: August 05, 2012, 12:50:11 PM »

I have noticed, unlike TWC, there is no narration after 3 of the beeps saying "A _________ warning has been issued for your area." followed by 3 more beeps. I hate this, as it tricks people into thinking a warning was just issued when one wasn't.

What are you talking about? Weatherscan only beeps whenever a warning gets issued...

I was saying that on TWC following 3 of the beeps it has a narration saying "A _________ warning has been issued for your area.", while Weatherscan doesn't. People will know that a warning was just issued with the narration, but w/o it people may be fooled into thinking that another warning was issued when in reality it's just re-scrollig the one previously issued.

The majority of people I know don't care how many warnings there are - just that there is one.

379

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 05, 2012, 12:46:15 PM »

Ernesto continues to race westward, and now the NHC forecast does not make this system a hurricane until it reemerges into the far Western Gulf of Mexico. Given the lower forecast intensity, I think my call for a landfall in South Texas is no longer correct - and in fact the United States should see no affects from this system apart from maybe a few extreme outer rain bands across the far southern tip of Texas.

380

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Florence

« on: August 05, 2012, 12:43:06 PM »

The massive amount of dry air ahead of it and forecast increase in shear over the next few days is a pretty good indicator. It's already lost some of its organization on satellite this morning.

381

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 04, 2012, 10:30:07 PM »

63 and Partly Cloudy. The high for today was 72, 10 degrees below average. The forecast low for tonight is 49, which is seven degrees above the record low temperature for the region.

Man, I love this place more and more. 

382

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 04, 2012, 04:44:45 PM »

Ernesto has suddenly become much more interesting forecast wise. As Tavores noted, Ernesto has been successfully ventilating - in fact, NHC noted this in their latest discussion, as this kind of organization is not very common for tropical systems in the Carribean.

GFS and European continue to want to weaken the system, but I have to agree with NHC in saying that I don't see anything getting in the way of Ernesto becoming a hurricane within the next day or so - shear is light and ocean temperatures are way up there.

Winds are 60 mph as of the 5 PM advisory. Latest forecast track is an extension of the previous and agrees with the model consensus.

383

Local Forecast / Re: August 2012 Playlist

« on: August 04, 2012, 04:22:00 PM »

Hey. I like Frank Sinatra! 

"Fly me to the moon..."

384

Programming and Graphics / Re: New Show: "Tipping Points" and "Plane Xtreme"

« on: August 03, 2012, 09:25:26 PM »

Just a reminder to what happened in the last thread announcing new shows. Let's try not to get this one locked up tight.

https://twctodayforums.com/forums/programming/the-weather-channel-says-aloha!-to-hawaii-air-rescue/

385

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 03, 2012, 07:39:44 PM »

Florida invest remains at 20%. It's window of oppurtunity is shrinking as it continues to near land.

The Cape Verde disturbance remains the star of the show, with chance of develop now at 70%. NHC may begin issuing advisories on it tonight if current organizational trends continue. Again, dry air looks to be a factor in a few days regardless of earlier development.

386

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 03, 2012, 07:24:08 PM »

68 and Light Rain. Temperature plunged 12 degrees in the last hour.

387

Your Local Weather / Re: Grand Forks Weather

« on: August 03, 2012, 03:39:59 PM »

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 553
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2012

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 553 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NDC003-017-021-027-029-031-035-039-043-045-047-051-063-073-077-
081-091-093-097-099-040200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0553.120803T1915Z-120804T0200Z/

ND
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARNES               CASS                DICKEY
EDDY                 EMMONS              FOSTER
GRAND FORKS          GRIGGS              KIDDER
LAMOURE              LOGAN               MCINTOSH
NELSON               RANSOM              RICHLAND
SARGENT              STEELE              STUTSMAN
TRAILL               WALSH
$$

388

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 03, 2012, 01:52:44 PM »

Both invests in the Atlantic have increased chances of development. The invest close to the Southeast coastline has been bumped up to 20% because of improved conditions in its path over the weekend. The Cape Verde disturbance is bumped up to 50%, but it is important to note that this invest has a shortening window of oppurtunity before dry air downstream begins to affect it.

389

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 03, 2012, 12:56:29 PM »

74 and Mostly Cloudy. Gusty southerly winds to roughly 20 knots.

390

Your Local Weather / Re: Grand Forks Weather

« on: August 03, 2012, 12:54:45 PM »

A slight risk of severe thunderstorms exists today across Grand Forks, although excess cloudiness in our area should limit the most significant weather to stay to our southwest, where instability and moisture content is better. Regardless, damaging winds, large hail with a few stones greater than 2 inches, and a tornado are possible today.

I will be at the airport the majority of the day today, and from the cafe there visibility is about 10-20 miles on a good day. If they come at the right time I should have some good pictures later tonight.

On a side note, once the cold front blows through, temperatures will be very, very low for early August. The forecast high for tomorrow is a mere 68, 14 degrees below average.