Messages

1066

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: July 20, 2011, 10:09:14 PM »

Since it's a fish storm, I'm not surprised to not see a thread on it, but it's worth mentioning that Hurricane Dora in the East Pacific has become a real monster of a storm. It started out as a measly Cat 1 hurricane this morning, with winds around 90 mph, but at the latest NHC update, the winds are now at 135 mph, and it has a really well-defined eye. Although it's window of opportunity is closing in, we may see a Category 5 hurricane in the next few days.


Visible imagery of Hurricane DORA
 

1067

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: July 18, 2011, 01:34:29 AM »

Paris is such a great city, with a lot of class. And when you go there, you realize that the French aren't as snooty as some people make them out to be. 

My apologies for not being on the forums lately, but I've been busy, on vacation, and just being lazy as I usually am in the summertime. I've been in the Florida Keys and Cape Cod for the last two weeks, and got home a few days ago, to where it is hotter then all get out. Anyway, I'll try and stay on here a bit more. Hope everyone is doing well!

1068

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression 2

« on: July 17, 2011, 09:13:44 PM »

Yeah, unless the weather pattern drastically changes, this storm is likely gonna drift off to the northeast and not really affect anything. The water temps and upper-level conditions aren't really favorable for hurricane development, either.

1069

General Weather Chat / Re: Largest Hailstone that you Observed

« on: June 13, 2011, 10:31:44 PM »

Back on April 27th, during that massive tornado outbreak, my dorm advisor brought in a hail stone about an inch and a half wide. There were local reports just outside of campus of hail up to 2 inches.

1070

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Adrian

« on: June 08, 2011, 09:20:39 PM »

Adrian is now a Cat 1 hurricane, the first of the season.

1071

Hurricane Central / Hurricane Adrian

« on: June 07, 2011, 11:03:34 PM »

First named storm in the Pacific. Current NHC forecasts put it as a Cat 2 hurricane by Day 5.

1072

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: June 05, 2011, 08:57:33 PM »

There is now a 90% chance of development in the Pacific. Tropical Depression One-E should form tomorrow or Tuesday, at the latest.

From the NHC:


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUN 5 2011

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. 
EVEN THOUGH THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY RECENT CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION
OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE
THAT THE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...AND THE LOW WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT DRIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

1073

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: June 05, 2011, 01:50:17 PM »

We could be saying hello to Tropical Depression One in the Pacific very, very soon. NHC gives an area of low pressure in the Pacific a 60% of development in the next day or two. Adrian may be coming soon after that.

1074

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: June 04, 2011, 11:52:13 AM »

Oh, wow. Well, two systems are being looked at, one in each basin. Invest 94L shows some pretty good potential for development over the next 48 hours. NHC gives it a 30% chance at the moment as it remains stationary.

The second system, in the Pacific, also remains stationary and has a 20% chance of development.

1075

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread

« on: June 03, 2011, 12:29:31 AM »

I think he may be basing that on the fact that the jet stream is forcing storms to the north temporarily as this ridge of high pressure continues to sit over the Southeast. But I do agree that his assumption of a busy New England, tornado wise, is slightly over the top.

1076

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: June 01, 2011, 09:48:59 AM »

There is now a moderate chance of tropical development of an area of low pressure today as a storm system makes its way southwestward towards Florida today. The NHC has given this storm system a 30% chance of development.

1077

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread

« on: May 30, 2011, 09:44:48 PM »

Okay, this is certainly odd. I've only seen one of these in my entire life. Ladies and gentlemen, meet the very rare PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0405.html

1078

The Game Room / Re: Stupid Questions

« on: May 28, 2011, 11:59:22 PM »

I'll decide when I start caring.

What's the weather in your neck of the woods?

1079

General Discussion / Re: Gas prices in your area

« on: May 28, 2011, 10:33:25 PM »

Not at all. I paid $3.39 here in South Carolina. We got declared the state with the cheapest gas in the nation.

1080

Severe Weather / Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread

« on: May 25, 2011, 11:50:18 AM »

Current discussion is that the High Risk Zone is going to be extended westward, eastward, and northward to account for mounting instability.