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Topics - Mr. Rainman

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16
General Discussion / Happy New Year 2012!
« on: January 01, 2012, 12:00:44 AM »
Happy New Years to all of you on the East Coast and for the rest of the nation! Hope you all have a good one. It's gonna be a busy one. Olympics, elections, another round of severe weather and hurricanes...this year is probably gonna go blazing by.  :thrilled:  :thrilled:  :thrilled:


17
General Weather Chat / 25 Coldest Cities in the United States
« on: December 05, 2011, 09:48:57 PM »
A new article out today, and since winter is starting to make itself known, it seems more than appropriate to introduce this article. Presenting the 25 coldest cities across the entirety of the United States, according to The Daily Beast. Surprisingly, Alaska only took two spots, but one was the #1 spot. Otherwise, the Dakotas, Iowa, Montana, Wyoming, and portions of Vermont seized the majority of the spots.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/galleries/2010/12/10/america-s-25-coldest-cities.html

18
Hazardous Weather / Significant Santa Ana Event
« on: December 01, 2011, 07:25:51 PM »
Rather significant wind event is unfolding in the Southwest as some of the strongest Santa Ana winds in 5-10 years slam the Four Corners region and California. From Greg Forbes on Facebook:

Quote
Strongest winds gusts that I've seen have been 150 mph on a mountain top in CA, 123 mph on a mountain top in CO, 102 mph in UT, 94 mph in NV, 64 mph in NM

64 mph in NM has since been corrected to 88 mph.

19
Hurricane Central / NHC Statement on October 9th - 10th Storm
« on: November 24, 2011, 10:11:27 PM »
Bare with me; there's a lengthy quote at the end of this post. On October 10th, Florida saw heavy rains and tropical storm force winds along its eastern coast in association with an invest in that region. A recent review of Facebook posts this evening showed that NHC released an unofficial statement about their thoughts on that system. Final verdict: the system never showed satisfactory signs of being a tropical or subtropical system.

Quote

The October cyclone was difficult to classify, consisting of a small area of very strong (~50 kt sustained) winds embedded within a much broader environment of low pressure that was itself producing gale/tropical-storm-force winds, at least early on. The inner system possessed some of the essential characteristics of a tropical storm: it had sustained winds in excess of 34 kt, it had a well-defined center of circulation, it had a warm core, at least in the lower troposphere, and the low center itself did not lie along any frontal boundaries, at least at the time the center moved onshore. In particular, the strength, distribution, and impacts of the winds near the center of this system were indistinguishable from many other small tropical storms.

Other attributes of the system, however, argued against its classification as a tropical storm. The system's convection near the core was intermittent and of short duration, and was considered too transient to satisfy the definition's organized deep convection requirement. The transient nature of the strong inner core circulation itself also cast doubt as to whether it could be considered of synoptic scale. The vertical extent of the cyclonic circulation was limited to below about 12,000 ft, very uncharacteristic of a tropical cyclone of this strength.

We also considered whether the system should be classified as a subtropical cyclone. There were clearly mixed characteristics of extratropical and tropical cyclones present, including the presence nearby of an upper-level cold low, and the large-scale distribution of winds and convection. However, there was enough air mass contrast associated with the system to raise doubts as to whether it was truly non-frontal. The very small radius of maximum winds and occasional convection very near the center also made the system difficult to classify as a subtropical cyclone.

Nature does not always cooperate with the classification systems designed by man. There is a continuum of cyclone types in the real atmosphere, and it is often difficult to place these systems into the small number of bins that meteorologists have created for them. The 9-10 October Florida system is certainly one of these difficult cyclones. NHC’s historical record, however, requires its members to belong to either the “tropical” or “subtropical” bins, and our view in this case is that neither applies. It is simply “something else”.

20
General Discussion / Happy Birthday, Donovan!
« on: November 10, 2011, 12:08:32 AM »
A very happy 16th birthday to Donovan! You've been a great friend of mine, and I wish you the best birthday ever. :D

21
General Weather Chat / Alaskan Superstorm
« on: November 08, 2011, 09:05:38 PM »
The NWS has been spamming my wall with posts about this "megastorm" brewing in the Bering Sea. Can anybody explain the significance of this system to me, or at least explain what is going on?

22
TWC Fan Art / Donovan and Mac's Collaborative IS2 Emulator
« on: October 21, 2011, 01:02:30 AM »
Hi, folks! It's just in its infant stages, but Donovan and I are working together on making a highly realistic IS2 emulator on Powerpoint 2010. It'll take us a few weeks, possibly a month, but we're hoping to have this done before December rolls around. Here's a sneak peak of what we have so far, and we'll release more images as we progress. What do you think?


23
General Discussion / Indy Car Driver Confirmed Dead
« on: October 16, 2011, 06:03:34 PM »
Don't know how many racing fans we have, but it is with great regret that I just learned that Indy Car racer Dan Wheldon has died from injuries in a dramatic crash in Las Vegas just over an hour ago. God bless his family, friends, and fans.

24
Winter Weather / Winter Storm Thread: 2011-12 Season
« on: October 05, 2011, 01:23:32 PM »
It's only the first week of October, but after seeing the first Winter Storm Warnings of the winter season across the Sierra Nevada and parts of the Rockies, I figured this thread should be opened up. Any winter storm coming around that you think should be mentioned? Post about it here!

I'm personally hoping for an active winter, although not near as active as last year. The fact that La Nina is back in play suggests that, once again, New England and the Northern Plains could be facing a rough one. The Southeast may get to see some snow too, depending on the overall weather pattern.

25
Hurricane Central / Hurricane Ophelia
« on: September 20, 2011, 11:21:02 PM »
New storm out! Maps and tracks coming out soon.

Current Track


Wind Forecast

26
Hurricane Central / Hurricane Katia
« on: August 29, 2011, 08:07:17 AM »
New tropical depression formed this morning. Track and wind probabilities to follow shortly.

Track


Wind Probabilities

27
Your Local Weather / Grand Forks Weather
« on: August 20, 2011, 11:14:38 PM »
Since I'll be living here for the next few years, I figured I might as well make a thread following local weather here in Grand Forks.

Current Conditions
Currently, the temperature is sitting at 59 degrees, with light winds out of the west. Scattered cloud cover. Some scattered showers were noted about 60 miles to the southwest, moving slowly eastward. I'm expecting temps to reach 50, with a few scattered regions in the upper 40s.

Forecast
  • Tomorrow, highs will be in the upper 70s, with lows reaching the mid 50s. No rain anticipated.
  • Monday, the first day of school for some here, will have temps in the mid 80s for highs and lows sitting in the low to mid 60s. Small chance of thunderstorms.
  • Tuesday, the heat comes, with highs in the lower 90s, and lows in the lower 60s. No rain anticipated.
  • Wednesday, highs go back to the upper 70s to lower 80s. Lows reach the mid to upper 50s.
  • Long term, no severe weather is anticipated.

Climatology
  • The high today was 77, 3 below the usual average. The record for today is 100, reached in 1976.
  • The low last night was 50, 4 degrees below average. The record for today is 32, set in 2004.
  • Trace amounts of precipitation were recorded today, which is a tenth of an inch below average for today. Month to day, we have 3.04 inches, about 1.19 inches above average. For the year, we have had 15.57 inches, 1.37 inches above average.
  • The highest wind speed recorded today was out of the NW at 31 mph. The gust today was 40 mph, out of the NW.

I'll try to do something like this every day, since I'm planning to archive a year of weather in Grand Forks since I'm a meteorology major on campus.




28
Hurricane Central / Tropical Storm Gert
« on: August 13, 2011, 10:47:20 PM »
New depression out there. Likely to be Gert soon.

Track


Wind Speed

29
Hurricane Central / Tropical Storm Franklin
« on: August 12, 2011, 04:58:04 PM »
That invest near Bermuda has now become a tropical depression, and should become Tropical Storm Franklin later tonight or tomorrow. Just another fish storm.

Track


Wind Forecast

30
Hurricane Central / Tropical Storm Emily
« on: August 01, 2011, 07:32:01 PM »
Tropical Storm Emily has formed, thank goodness. More details to follow.

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