Messages

8911

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:28:21 PM »

Its interesting that the pressure is going one way and the wind the other. Dropping pressure is a sign of strengthening. Youowuld think the wind would reflect that.

Yeah. These storms can surprise us sometimes. For example, Epsilon in 2005. At one point, it strengthened despite being in a not-so favorable environment.

Yeah but I've never seen any huricane show signs of strengthening and weakening at the same time.

8912

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:20:49 PM »

Looking around, Lutariano has gotten into fights with other people, like Intelliguy and Chris92777.

and you know what, they all instigated it.

8913

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:09:58 PM »

Its interesting that the pressure is going one way and the wind the other. Dropping pressure is a sign of strengthening. Youowuld think the wind would reflect that.

8914

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:08:19 PM »

I believe Lutariano is the backup account for Felipe. The profile says Chile and has a bunch of TWC videos stolen, so it must be Felipe's "Spanish" account. What a loser Felipe is.

I've already said that I don't belive Lutriano is Felipe. First of all, Felipe has never used Spanish at ANY time on any message board he's been a member of. So the use of Spanish would be out of character for him. Second, opening a second account and posting videos with it, at the same time your posting videos with your first acccount, would be a bit unusual for anyone, even Felipe.

8915

General Discussion / Re: Need Opinions Please

« on: August 18, 2007, 05:49:17 PM »

There will be downtime unless you get Gil's servers MMX records, otherwise you cant tell your URL to point to his servers. Also, your email scripts and contacts wont work anymore.

And how do I do that? It would help to explain that part too. 

8916

Weatherscan Discussion / Re: WeatherScan date

« on: August 18, 2007, 02:47:34 PM »

In some areas it did start in 1999. But not every location got it at that time. As with any new channel, carriers don't begin carrying it the second its available.

8917

General Discussion / Re: Need Opinions Please

« on: August 18, 2007, 02:46:09 PM »

Just to let you all know....I was told by Gil this morning that the new server is ready, so I will begin transferring all the site files to it either today or tomorrow. I don't expect that there will be any downtime while the site is being move, but should it go down, please bear with me. Also, the URL will NOT change. The site will still be at twctodayforums.com.

8918

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 01:56:42 PM »

Wind and pressure seem to be continuing to remain steady. I thihnk this is the longest period so far without any change.

8919

Local Forecast / Re: What STAR where?

« on: August 18, 2007, 12:12:28 PM »

I sent them a PM because I thought they would know what cities are still non-IS. I didn't knoe PM's were not allowed to be sent to them, When did that come into effect and why can't they receive PMs? Too many unnecessary messages? This one is deemed necessary!

That rule has been in effect since the day the STAR Team came to TWCC. As for why, because it is not necessary to PM them. Do you realize how many PM's they'd receive if people were allowed to PM them?

Again, its no big deal. We'll do the best we can.

8920

Local Forecast / Re: What STAR where?

« on: August 18, 2007, 12:07:03 PM »

We'll do the best we can.    8)

8921

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:58:17 AM »

It must have been enough of a difference if the NHC felt it was necessary to mention it....

I meant the wind speeds and the pressure. It's still a strong Category 4, that didn't change.

That's not what I was talking about. They stated in the advisory that satellite images indicated that Dean seemed to have weakned some. I odn't know what about him weakened, but obviously it wasn't the winds or the pressure.

8922

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:29:50 AM »

They say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory!

Yeah, but it's not much of difference.

It must have been enough of a difference if the NHC felt it was necessary to mention it....

8923

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 10:51:08 AM »

They say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory!

Actually, it's stabilized. The winds and pressure have stayed the same since the 2:00 AM ET advisory.

Did you read through the warning?

SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT DEAN COULD HAVE WEAKENED A
LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS..

8924

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 08:27:23 AM »

Here is the 8AM Advisory for Dean:

000
WTNT34 KNHC 181150
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
800 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

...CORE OF HURRICANE DEAN PASSES WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER...AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM
THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU PRINCE.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER THIS MORNING.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.  THESE WARNINGS
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA...AND FOR COAST OF
HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.   A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE  EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THE
PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING
WESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST OR ABOUT 615 MILES...
990 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 250 MILES...
400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  A GENERAL
WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING SOUTH OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY AND SOUTH OF HAITI TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT DEAN COULD HAVE WEAKENED A
LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT REMAINS AS A DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE
HURRICANE AND WILL DETERMINE THE INTENSITY.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  NOAA BUOY 42059 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE
AVERAGE WIND OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR AND A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH....122
KM/HR AS DEAN MOVED NEARBY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
DEAN OVER PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...15.4 N...67.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Quick Navigation Links:
NHC Active Storms  -  Atlantic and E Pacific Marine  -  Storm Archives
Hurricane Awareness  -  How to Prepare  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us 
 
 

They say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory!

8925

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 17, 2007, 11:09:07 PM »

Looks like this storm will have a somewhat simular track as what Claudette of 2003 had.

This also seems pretty similar to the track Mitch took back in 1998 (my memory is a little foggy so I could be wrong about that).