Messages

826

Local Forecast / Re: Have these songs played on the weather channel before?

« on: August 18, 2013, 06:22:15 PM »

Has European Comfort by Gota aired?

January-June 1998
http://www.twcclassics.com/information/playlists/april-1998
Sheet 27: Early 98

TWC PLAYLIST   

Jan-Jun 1998   

ARTIST   TITLE   ALBUM
Chris Camozzi   My Dancing Heart   Suede

Suede   Suede

Gota   European Comfort   

Physical Therapy   A Night At the Palace   Casino

Brian Hughes   One 2 One   One 2 One

String Bean   One 2 One

Three Graces   One 2 One

Postcard from Brazil   One 2 One

Ficara   Wishing On A Star   Stormy Weather

Yesterday's Rain   Stormy Weather

George Howard   When Summer Comes   Best of George Howard

Incognito   Larc En Ciel   --

Andrew Korus   Hello There   --

Steven Saltzman   Water Colors   --
http://web.archive.org/web/20070517033855/http://www.twcclassics.com/music/html/#table26

827

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2013

« on: August 18, 2013, 12:29:40 PM »

I wonder if that new wave will last, from the dry air that is taking over the Atlantic Ocean we'll see if it even makes it. 

Alex,

Erin managed to suck up some of it during it's travel into the Central Atlantic. However, it's rebuilding again just to the north of Invest 94L. It needs to survive past about 40W to have a chance at development IMO.

We've had an unusually high concentration of SAL out in the Atlantic basic the past few years, even during the peak of Hurricane Season when it should be winding down. I'm certain this has contributed to so many of tropical systems looking poor and struggling to development into anything worthwhile.

This is the state of the dry air right now


FWIW, The 12z GFS doesn't seem excited about this one either. It pretty much degenerates it into a wave.

828

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2013

« on: August 18, 2013, 09:43:50 AM »

Interesting! What did you use for this... I want to "speculate"

That was the GFS(American) computer model that I got from here
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/

I hope you weren't confused by my use of the word speculate, I was talking about speculating on the possibility of two tropical systems the GFS showed developing later this month into September. It's a long way out and may not happen, but I thought it was interesting.

Also, we have yet another Invest to watch...

INVEST 94L - This wave is barely fresh off the coast of Africa!
10% Chance of Development within 48 hours
30% Chance of Development within 5 Days

Code: [Select]

1. A TROPICAL WAVE IS EMERGING OFF OF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  SOME
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
WHILE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
Current Track (6z)


Current Intensity Forecast (6z)


SOURCE: http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/

829

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2013

« on: August 17, 2013, 04:50:59 PM »

For pure speculation: the 12z GFS shows two tropical systems in the Central/Eastern Atlantic by late August/early September. *time sensitive*

830

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 17, 2013, 01:34:50 PM »

63°F Cloudy/Fog/Mist

Hartsfield Int'l has been sitting at 63 degrees for 5 straight hours!

831

Your Local Weather / Re: Atlanta weather

« on: August 16, 2013, 11:28:17 PM »

000
SXUS72 KFFC 170324
RERATL

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1125 PM EDT FRI AUG 16 2013

...RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM SET AT ATLANTA...

A RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM OF 67 DEGREES WAS SET AT ATLANTA TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 70 DEGREES SET IN 1892.

832

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Erin

« on: August 16, 2013, 10:51:42 PM »

And of course Erin takes a page out of Dorian's handbook and comes back from the grave...

...ERIN IS A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...
11:00 PM AST Fri Aug 16
Location: 18.5°N 34.5°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 1006 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

833

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 16, 2013, 05:05:36 PM »

67°F Cloudy w/ Mist

If we don't reach 70 today (which looks very unlikely at this point) we will break the record low high temperature for today. Atlanta hasn't had a sub-70 degree day in the month of August since the 1892!

834

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2013

« on: August 16, 2013, 02:16:59 PM »

On the flipside of Erin's rapid demise, Invest 92L is looking a little better. Regardless of whether or not it becomes a TD or Fernand model guidance seems to be honing in on TX/LA being the areas to be hit



Convection is gradually beginning to develop over the LLC on the NW side. We'll have to wait and see if that continues...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/flash-rb-short.html

835

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 16, 2013, 11:06:38 AM »

It's colder today than it was yesterday probably because of the light rain we've had all morning.

65°F Light Rain/Fog in Downtown Atlanta

64°F Light Drizzle/Fog/Mist at the airport

I swear if you told me it was August 16th I would say you were lying, more like October 16th. I had to wear a thick jacket over my t-shirt and shorts when I went to the store an hour ago.

836

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Erin

« on: August 16, 2013, 10:56:55 AM »

Who would have ever thought this would happen?  I like never would have guessed that this thing would fall apart the way it has. 

It's fate was sealed from the very beginning. I thought it would at least have a little more fighting power though.

It moves to #1 as Most Pathetic Tropical Storm of 2013 (so far) beating Chantal by a nosehair.

837

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Erin

« on: August 16, 2013, 10:42:12 AM »

Welcome to the forums Sam 

I only got one word for Erin: FISH

and not a good looking fish either...

EDIT: In related news, Erin is now a depression as of the 11 am advisory. Well, that didn't take long to happen. It met a quicker demise than Chantal and Dorian combined. 

...ERIN WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
11:00 AM AST Fri Aug 16
Location: 16.9°N 32.1°W
Moving: WNW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph

838

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 15, 2013, 12:19:36 PM »

66°F Cloudy = Jacket weather

839

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Erin

« on: August 15, 2013, 08:11:39 AM »

Thread change: It's ERIN now.

840

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2013

« on: August 14, 2013, 02:25:55 PM »

Tropical depression status imminent for both Invest 92/93L...

Eastern Atlantic System
2. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
REMAIN WELL ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER
TODAY OR ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
AFTER THAT...THE LOW WILL BE MOVING INTO A LESS FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
REGARDLESS OF ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
BRING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
LATER TODAY AND THURSDAY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
INTERESTS IN THESE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

Caribbean System
1. THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THE
DISTURBANCE REACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. AFTER
THAT...THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO...WHERE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY BE A LITTLE LESS
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO SPREAD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO...AND INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS DISTURBANCE.