Messages

5176

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009

« on: August 10, 2009, 07:13:49 PM »

I just wanted everyone to know that the tropical disturbance west of the Cape Verdes still has a medium chance (30 -50%) of developing into at least Tropical Depression status over the next couple of days as conditions remain favorable for development. Also there is another tropical disturbance near the Windward Islands that has a low chance (30% <) of developing over the next couple of days according to the NHC.

Link here --> http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

The 00z, 06z, 12z of the GFS are in agreement of a East Coast Hurricane Strike around August 24th, the 18z run shows a hurricane but recurves it out to sea as it comes close to the EC.

00z run - NY/Delmarva stirke
06z run - Carolinas Strike (East Coast of Florida and SE Georgia would be affected by the western rainbands from this tropical storm)
12z run - NY/Delmarva strike (agreeing with the 00z run)
18z run - Out to Sea solution

These are major changes from yesterday when all 4 runs of the GFS were all over the place with where a strike could occur, just to remind you the 18z run showed no storm at all yesterday! The GFS usually still likes to play fantasy games this far out once we get within 5 days or less or this date, we should know more clearly if there is a tropical threat out there. IMO, I would keep guard of the tropics from August 16th -31st. I suspect activity will really begin to ramp up.

5177

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 10, 2009, 06:57:53 PM »

Andy and Tavores, the Northeast NWS offices use the criteria that the heat index must be at least 105°F for a minimum of 3 hours to trigger an Excessive Heat Warning.  The Mid-Atlantic and Southeast NWS offices bump that threshold up to a minimum heat index of 110°F for at least 3 hours.

That makes since, the highest Heat Index we have had in Atlanta is 105° Everyone from Macon and south into Florida had a lot of days where they were in the 110's.

5178

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 10, 2009, 06:43:06 PM »

I know this is random, but I finally got my first heat advisory of the season. It's about time. However, it was extremely difficult to mow the lawn earlier, and I am hopefully about to play tennis in a few minutes here.

Our excessive heat watch was upgraded to a warning this afternoon as well. That, along with a severe t'storm and flash flood watch, prompted a rarely seen two-page Weather Bulletin on my IntelliStar, which I'll upload in a minute here...

The northeast is finally getting the heat. Although, what temperature does it have be up in the NE for an Excessive Heat Watch or Warning to be in effect?  You guys are talking about 90s, but currently in my area it is 95 with a heat index of 100, and we're not under anything. Tomorrow's supposed to be even worse...heat index near 105 according to TWC.

Ugh, the heat index seems to be bad everywhere lately.

I been wondering the samething, In Georgia and I'm sure many other southern states only issue Excessive Heat Warnings when it gets near or above 100 degrees, that's how it was when we had 9 straight days of 100+ heat in August 2007.

5179

Programming and Graphics / Re: WeatherProof

« on: August 10, 2009, 06:33:08 PM »

The show did look promising and I will try to watch it whenever it comes on again. I didn't get to watch it since I forgot and I had to bed early to get ready for school today anyway.

5180

The Game Room / Re: "In my pants" Game

« on: August 09, 2009, 08:14:05 PM »

There's another youtuber who doesn't live very far from me with the same exact Atlanta Weatherscan unit I have imp!

5181

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009

« on: August 09, 2009, 05:47:59 PM »

The GFS has 3 different tracks as to where potential Ana could go anywhere from a Texas/Mexico strike to a SE coast hugger. The 18z run doesn't show anything.

00z run - Texas/Mexico Strike
06z run - SE Coast or OTS (Out To Sea path)
12z run - South/Central Florida/GOM Strike

5182

Local Forecast / Re: Create your own playlist

« on: August 09, 2009, 04:47:26 PM »

August 09' Playlist (since July is being held over into August)

I almost forgot about the morning playlist, I'm still getting used it being added since last month.

Morning
1. Trammell Starks - Bourbon Street/Jamacian Jam
2. Trammell Starks - Night Breeze/The Mist
3. Ursula Suzana Pacheco - Waterfront
4. Patrick O' Hearn - Amazon Waltz
6. Doug Markley - Sandy Toes
7. Yellowjackets - River Waltz
8. T Woods and Tomana - Seaside
9. Steve Glotzer - Til Tomorrow
10. Eddie Reasoner - Summer is Here

Daytime
1. Ryan Farish - Sea of You
2. Spyro Gyra - Ocean Parkway
3. John Tesch - PS 491
4. Rippingtons - Summer Lovers
5. Brian Hughes - Sesimbra Sun
6. Artie Traum - Braziliana
7. David Becker Tribune - The Bus Song
8. Crawlers - River Canyon
9. Earl Kulgh - Captain Caribe
10. Gerard Weasley - On the Fast Track
11. G Love - Front Porch Lounger
12. Herb Alpert - Route 101
13. Lenny Marcus - Sun Ray
14. Peter White - Venice Beach
15. Pieces of a Dream - House Arrest

Primetime
1. David Becker Tribune - Forgotten Friends
2. Trammell Starks - If You Only Knew
3. Craig Chaquico - Tribal Runner
4. Vince Madison - After Sunset
5. Eddie Reasoner - Latin Summer Nights
6. Ernest Ranglin - Surfin'
7. Brian Bromberg - Magic Rain
8. Mark Carter - All Night Party
9. Pat Metheny - Every Summer Night
10. Pieces of a Dream - Who U Wit?
11. Rippingtons - Moonlighting
12. Trammell Starks - Downpour

Overnight
1. David Becker Tribune - Farewell
2. Dwayne Boswell - Smooth Weather
3. Ken Gregory - Eye of the Storm
4. Lao Tizer - Heading Home
5. 7and5 - Questions
6. Ralph Diekemper - Free Flight
7. Rippingtons - True Companion
8. Patrick O' Hearn - Downhill Racer
9. Trammell Starks - Here Comes the Rain
10. Steve Oliver - Highway One

5183

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009

« on: August 09, 2009, 01:13:38 PM »

This invest does have potential to at least become a tropical depression, looking at it on satellite it looks like one already, but there is still a lot of wind shear out there. If it does turn into Ana and manages to threaten the US, it will definately be one to keep closely watching.

5184

The Game Room / Re: Duck Game

« on: August 09, 2009, 12:58:32 PM »

Wow, if that happened, Duckington, DC will be warmer than I have seen here all summer, it's only gotten to 96 so far.

5185

Everything Else TWC / Re: Blooper Thread

« on: August 09, 2009, 12:53:18 PM »

Do you have a screen capture of that?  It would be interesting to see...and bring back those memories!

I caught a few seconds of it back in February
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kKau01NSHsw#

I'm not surprised to see the old TWC logo on Storm Stories, that's an old Storm Stories episode that aired before the 2005 relaunch.

5186

The Game Room / Re: A game, put the wrong emoticon at the end of the sentence

« on: August 09, 2009, 10:34:57 AM »

How come the IS icons have a variably cloudy set when they never use them?

5187

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009

« on: August 09, 2009, 10:18:47 AM »

Invest 99L looks very organized right now.

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
AND THE COAST OF AFRICA.  THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

5188

The Game Room / Re: A game, put the wrong emoticon at the end of the sentence

« on: August 09, 2009, 10:12:03 AM »

I am happy with the current icons. They are more realistic and look fine. The XL icon had their time.

They are nice icons, but some of them were done poorly, like the shower ones and the scattered/isolated t'storms they look exactly the same, the XL ones aren't like that. I love the sleet one becasue of how the sleet bounces when it animates. 

5189

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009

« on: August 08, 2009, 09:44:57 PM »

Is it possible to not have a single named-storm in the Atlantic during hurricane season? Since we've had no named storms yet, this comes to mind, although I am no where near guaranteeing anything.

I'm sure we'll have at least 1 storm, whether we'll have any hit the US, IDK. For those who don't know, this is the latest start to Hurricane Season since 1992 when Hurricane Andrew formed in late August.

5190

The Game Room / Re: "In my pants" Game

« on: August 08, 2009, 05:39:10 PM »

Three years ago today, I joined YouTube in my pants.

It was 3 years ago last month that I first joined Youtube, I didn't plan on being as active there then as I am now.