Messages

4201

Emulator Videos / Re: SnowManiac's Emulations

« on: August 24, 2010, 08:51:05 PM »

WeatherStar XL v1 Emulation - K Flavor Test Run (AE Project)

WeatherStar XL v1 K Flavor Test Run - August 24, 2010

NOTE - ALL WEATHER DATE IS INACCURATE EXCEPT THE 36 HOUR FORECAST.
This K flavor goes as follows:
Current Condtions
Current Conditions (Local Observations)
36 Hour Forecast
Extended Forecast (data will be added later this week)
Radar

Song - Trammell Starks - Round & Round/That Latin Beat

4202

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Danielle

« on: August 24, 2010, 08:30:24 PM »

I also have another question, I know that in situations like Danielle being it was forecasted to reach Cat 3 yesterday tend to be recurve because it is better influenced by the high in the atl. right now since mature hurricanes have higher storm tops so with Danielle weakening significantly more than was expected does this mean there's a possibility she could start moving more west than due north or NE? 

EDIT: Welcome back Hurricane Danielle (again)  This is of 11pm advisory via NHC.

4203

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Danielle

« on: August 24, 2010, 07:18:11 PM »

Wow, the 18z GFS wants Danielle to slam New England as a possible Cat 2 heading into Labor Day Weekend.  I know it's just one run and this is fantasy-land for the GFS, but it's interesting that it's throwing this solution out there still. 

4204

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Danielle

« on: August 24, 2010, 04:08:59 PM »

There's something I seriously don't understand about the conditions of the tropics this year. If we are phasing from neutral to La Nina phase then why is there still the persistent problem of dry and wind shear? Shouldn't that be close to nonexistent right about now considering the peak is in a few weeks.

4205

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Danielle

« on: August 23, 2010, 11:35:48 PM »

The eye is finally appearing!

4206

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Danielle

« on: August 23, 2010, 10:15:56 PM »

This girl is getting bigger and bigger the more she turns  and is it me or is Danielle still moving due west? Shouldn't she jogging NW by now? Also I was on the accuweather forums and there are reports of winds up to 83mph and pressure 982mb so don't surprised to see this upgraded to 85mph in the next update in less than an hour.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

4207

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Danielle

« on: August 23, 2010, 07:59:39 PM »

I know that eye has to itching to come out soon....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html

4208

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Earl- Storm Train

« on: August 23, 2010, 07:56:59 PM »

60% chance = CODE RED!!! I'm gonna be a betting man and call for a TD by the 5am update. It's still looking healthy on satellite. 

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

4209

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Danielle

« on: August 23, 2010, 07:46:22 PM »

It looks like Danielle will have time and room to really become something big here. I guess the question is: will she hit the US? Because when was the last time a hurricane hit the eastern coast (like around North Carolina)? Was it Isabel in 2003?

Hurricane Ophelia hit the Carolina coast back in October 2005 iirc.

4210

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 23, 2010, 07:44:43 PM »

TWC has slightly updated its online hurricane graphics! They've also added a "tropical cyclones map." Cool! Are these changes also in effect on-air?

Yes they are, I saw them during PME today. 

4211

OCMs & Personalities / Re: Any bets on when Cantore is fired?

« on: August 23, 2010, 06:26:00 PM »

Sorry but as impossible as it seems, there will be a time when he will be gone. I'm guessing sometime around from as early as 2020 to probably 2035. I'll try to get a viewer poll up when I get the chance.

Probably not soon, but the day will come. I know it sounds crazy, but it's true.

Nobody is saying he won't leave at some point, but most likely it will be on his own terms as in retiring, not because he was fired.

4212

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Danielle

« on: August 23, 2010, 04:59:26 PM »

The Trough near the East Coast will Determine Danielle's Path.

we might have another Bill on our hands.

It's a slim chance, but if it slows down over the next few days and it misses the trough over the ECONUS as it's moving out were in big trouble, but at least it's a very slim chance right now so I'm worried about that happening.

4213

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Danielle

« on: August 23, 2010, 04:45:14 PM »

Wow, what a beauty!  Also Danielle has been upgraded to Hurricane status as of the 5pm advisory.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html

4214

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Earl- Storm Train

« on: August 23, 2010, 04:39:19 PM »

Things are in full swing indeed my friend! I knew this was gonna be watched, it came off the coast looking big and strong yesterday. We might have an "Earl" if it keeps looking healthy like this. 40% chance of development via NHC. 

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE
AFRICAN COAST IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

4215

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression Six

« on: August 22, 2010, 09:21:52 PM »

I don't think TD6/soon to be Danielle will make it to the U.S. or even Canada. I think the High Pressure over the U.S. now will definately turn it due north, and then push it northeast once it approaches Bermuda. Therefore, even if this system becomes a Cat 2 or higher, TWC won't go into Storm Alert mode. But you never know, it's still over a week away...

Soon to be? It's been Danielle for the past few hours now and to be honest I don't want to lock on a quick recurve scenario just yet because eventhough an EC hit is still low, the chance is there and some models have been trending west than they have been, I have seen some runs this weekend that want to batter Bermuda and a couple that take this on a track similar to Bill last year scrapping close to NE/Canada.

EDIT: Looks like Danielle is trying to reorganize herself tonight.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html