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General Weather Chat / Re: Severe Weather Threat: Tuesday, October 26th
« on: October 26, 2010, 08:51:17 PM »No offense to the SPC, but I think they hyped this event a little too much. For example, I don't think there was a need for a PDS Tornado Watch in AL and TN and the reason I say this is because I think a regular Tornado Watch would have equally served the same purpose and urgency as that PDS watch would have and plus I thought those are supposed to be issued in rare severe weather events where there's expected to be big wedge tornadoes that are long lived on the ground and things like that. I've seen more of these things issued in the past year than I have my entire life. I feel like it loses all urgency to it when it's issued more than it should be.The high risk for today was not triggered by confidence in tornadoes, which was only 15% according to their probability map. That number alone only yields a moderate risk. The high risk was triggered by the high confidence in wind damage, which was at 60%. There is actually a table that explains how SPC's probabilities of each severe weather parameter (tornadoes, winds, and hail) correlate to the risk level they issue. In regards to the PDS tornado watches, I think those were issued more because this event was happening in an unusual time of the year, so they were afraid people would be caught off guard.
Three people have already been injured from today's event based on preliminary reports that have made it to SPC so far. I don't see any fatalities listed, but it wouldn't surprise me if I'm only looking at the tip of the iceberg in terms of all reports from this day.
Oh ok, well thanks for clearing up the part about the high risk because when I saw the PDS Tornado Watch issued in the South I was thinking to myself, "Why didn't they issue that for IL & IN and parts of KY where they had the high risk forecasted?"
Sorry if it sounds like I'm ranting, I wasn't trying to.



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