Messages

3361

Local Forecast / Re: Create your own playlist

« on: August 04, 2011, 10:48:47 PM »

September-December 2011 (Fall Q4) Test Playlist

September 6, 2011 – December 9, 2011

Daytime (6 AM – 6 PM)
1.   Trammell Starks – Kool Kats
2.   Young Holt Unlimited – Young and Holtful
3.   MFSB – Philadelphia Freedom
4.   Pieces Of A Dream – Ocean View
5.   Heavy Shift – 90 Degrees In The Shade
6.   Doug Cameron – The Time Is Now
7.   BD Lenz – Lazy Bones
8.   Ryan Farish - Play
9.   Ray Lynch – Rhythm In The Pews
10.   Earl Klugh - Rainbow Man
11.   Travis Bridges – Milk and Honey
12.   Scott Ward – Effilation

Primetime (6 PM – Midnight)
1.   Chris Botti - Under A Painted Sky
2.   Love Unlimited Orchestra – Satin Soul
3.   Doug Cameron - Magia Española (Spanish Magic)
4.   Ryan Farish – LA Nights (Malibu Mix)
5.   Robert A Wolf – Island of Dreams
6.   Mark Krurnowski – Black Ice
7.   Chris Geith – The Mirror Of Happiness
8.   The Art of Noise – Moments In Love
9.   Aangell - Serendipity
10.   Doug Granville - Survive
11.   Bill Pound – Bermuda Breeze

12.   Leon Ayers Jr. – Bounce Back (90 sec local only)

Overnight (Midnight – 6 AM)
1.   MFSB – Love Is The Message
2.   Trammell Starks – Takin It Easy
3.   James Brown – Come Back
4.   Patrick Yandall – The Joy of You
5.   Chris Camozzi – Heaven In Your Arms
6.   Doug Cameron – St. Tropez
7.   Leon Ayers Jr. – Better Than That
8.   Ryan Farish – LA Nights (Sunset Mix)
9.   Leon Ayers Jr. – Calm Horizon
10.   Ray Lynch – The Vanished Gardens of Cardoba
11.   Chris Geith – Yesterday’s Goodbye

12. Brian Hughes – Ready For Freddy (90 sec local only)

3362

General Discussion / Re: Happy Birthday, Al!

« on: August 04, 2011, 10:33:28 PM »

Happy 20th birthday! 

3363

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 04, 2011, 06:06:40 PM »

78 Cloudy, I can't believe it we failed to reach 85, let alone high of 95-97 that was forecasted today. Feels like a Autumn day. 

3364

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 04, 2011, 05:33:50 PM »

This hurricane season blows with all the fish storms and rain storms like last year. I want some real ACTION already..!

Well were just getting into the peak, things can turn ugly quickly now.

3365

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 03, 2011, 12:26:40 PM »

NHC now has this storm moving east away from the mid-Atlantic.

It wasn't ever expected to get that far north anyway because of persistent troughs moving in around the timeframe she would get there blocking her away.

3366

Local Forecast / Re: General LF Discussion

« on: August 03, 2011, 12:23:43 PM »

I think you all are seriously overreacting, please take a chill pill. It's not replacing the LOT8s concept. Even TWC isn't that stupid. I believe it's just something they will do when they have extended coverage instead of having to cue a STAR for the local forecast they'll show the squeeze back instead to have more airtime.

3367

Local Forecast / Re: General LF Discussion

« on: August 03, 2011, 12:02:07 PM »

Boo.

Well, that's better than that being the only form of LF. I really will be disappointed if that's going to be the future LF except for :28/:58 because only two songs an hour would be very lame. I can live with it for :18/:48, but I will seriously can TWC if they do more than that. I'm not trying to make drama, people, I'm just a bit disgusted at some of the changes they've made recently. It's just not the TWC that I was captivated by 10 years ago, is all.

They showed the LF at 08/38, only the LF at 18/48 had the LF squeeze-back.

3368

Local Forecast / Re: General LF Discussion

« on: August 03, 2011, 11:49:56 AM »

this has to be a test for the coverage of emily or throughout longform, if not then TWC really pulled another bad move

It seems to be something they're doing for 18/48 past the hour.

3369

Everything Else TWC / Re: Transparent TWC Logo

« on: August 03, 2011, 11:20:59 AM »

come to think of it you might be right Eric, they might bring back the LDA so they can use the 33% LDL during Long-Form

Or the squeezeback.  They didn't show a local forecast, they showed this instead.

3370

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 03, 2011, 11:17:48 AM »

Yeah...it's a bit concerning at the moment. While it's still a little too far to jump to conclusions...if Emily continues west, there are a few models that suddenly gain credibility.

1.) The BAM family of models which says Emily will head towards the Gulf of Mexico. This may happen if Emily does not react to the weakness in the subtropical ridge that NHC is betting will send it NWard.

2.) The more concerning solution: the HWRF model, which has now been shifting west with the last few runs. The 12Z model run today puts the center making landfall in Central Florida - near Orlando - and then continuing along the East Coast before impacting just north of Charleston and heading slightly inland towards Myrtle Beach.

Again, too far out to tell. This thing still has a chance of being torn apart by the mountains of Hispaniola...and seeing how no more strengthening is now anticipated, she may not survive the trip.

I'm beginning to believe that's very likely to happen. I'm not sure it will be able to recover.

3371

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 03, 2011, 11:08:48 AM »

I didn't see the 8am cone, but the 11am looks to have shifted west again.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0511W5_NL_sm2+gif/145014W5_NL_sm.gif

3372

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 03, 2011, 04:31:40 AM »

This is interesting and more concerning.


THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE GUIDANCE FOR THIS CYCLE IS THAT THE GFDL AND HWRF NOW SHOW A LITTLE MORE RIDGING EAST OF EMILY LATE IN THE PERIOD AND HAVE SHIFTED THEIR TRACKS WESTWARD...ESPECIALLY AT DAYS 3 AND 4. THROUGH THE FIRST 36 HOURS...THE NEW NHC FORECAST IS ALONG THE OLD TRACK...BUT A LITTLE FASTER AS IT TRENDS TOWARD THE FASTER MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. FROM 48 TO 96 HOURS...THE NEW NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...AND NOW LIES TO THE RIGHT OF THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. GIVEN THE LARGE CYCLE-TO-CYCLE VARIABILITY SEEN IN THE TRACK GUIDANCE...UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK FORECAST REMAINS LARGER THAN USUAL BEYOND 48 HOURS.

Which ridge? The Bermuda ridge? If so that is interesting.

3373

Everything Else TWC / Re: Blooper Thread

« on: August 02, 2011, 11:34:10 PM »

Kim: "We'll have more on these storms coming up at 10 o clock."

Well Kim there's only one problem with that...you were about 88 minutes behind. It was 11:28pm when she said that. 

3374

Everything Else TWC / Re: Transparent TWC Logo

« on: August 02, 2011, 11:07:04 PM »

Odd seeing it during live programming.

3375

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Emily

« on: August 02, 2011, 06:55:15 PM »

Donovan showed off his forecast earlier, so I figured I might as well show mine. The following is my model discussion and how my forecast goes by that. And yes, the policies have been resolved. We have to wait for NHC to call a system now; the bosses saw our point.  This is a little long, so mods, if you have to trim it down, go ahead. This is the only time I'm posting my forecast on the forums.

...Model Discussion...
No significant changes have been made in intensity or track forecasts from the 11 AM update.

The 18Z model runs continue to show growing consensus of Emily moving to the NW by 24 hours out...with many models taking the center of the storm directly over Santo Domingo by 36 hours. After this...models split. BAMS and BAMD take the most western route...taking Emily over Cuba and towards the Keys before heading towards the Gulf of Mexico. The rest of the models take her NW past the Dominican Republic and Haiti towards the Bahamas.

At this point...models vary again...disagreeing how long Emily will maintain it's NW track before turning to the NE. However...at this time...no models currently take the center of Emily over any portion of the East Coast.

Intensity models are currently all over the place...causing great uncertainty in the forecast. Models are in good agreement in the next 24 hours that Emily will intensify gradually...but after 24 hours split into a variety of scenarios. Will not go into details over the specific models...but it is worth mentioning that almost all models have Emily at hurricane strength by 120 hours. Again...it is important to emphasize that interaction with land and forecasted environmental conditions make intensity forecasts difficult.

EDIT: Trimmed down at moderator's request.

I couldn't agree more. Emily is looking the best she has looked in her entire lifespan right now. I think she has a decent shot at peaking to 60-65mph before running into land the next 36 hours.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html