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Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion
« on: August 14, 2011, 12:19:42 PM »Wow, TWC is preempting today for once...
What's the reason?
November 16, 2025, 03:35:29 AM
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What's the reason?
3332
TWC Fan Art / Re: Weatherlover's Artwork
« on: August 14, 2011, 10:29:52 AM »
Modernized 4000 - My creative genius is at work once again! 
(seriously, I have been in kind of a slump this summer.)
(seriously, I have been in kind of a slump this summer.)
3333
IntelliStar 2 Discussion / Re: IntelliStar 2 Beta Launch
« on: August 14, 2011, 08:58:26 AM »Whoa. Although I want to say I would like to see those (because that would be cool), I don't know if I would really want to because I could be in some real danger.
Any weather phenomenon that can obstruct the visibility at airports counts in the METAR observations. This entire chart shows all the possible phenomena that can be reported and potentially encoded into the CC if the STAR can handle it:
http://www.free-online-private-pilot-ground-school.com/images/METAR-descriptors.gif
Wouldn't it be kinda difficult to report a tornado as an observation unless it's spotted on the ground ahead of time? Unless it's going by what's radar detected.
3334
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Franklin
« on: August 13, 2011, 11:13:16 PM »Woah, woah, guys. Settle down already. What's done is done. NHC named the cyclone Franklin and there's nothing any of us can do about it.
Franklin is back down to a 40 mph tropical storm and is streaking off to the ENE. It should become post-tropical in the next 24-36 hours at most, if not sooner.
As of the 11pm advisory it is post tropical.
3335
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression Seven
« on: August 13, 2011, 11:11:09 PM »
I wonder what's the record for the most consecutive number of tropical storms in a hurricane season. I doubt "Gert" will become a hurricane, so that would make this #7 as far as Tropical Storms.
3336
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011
« on: August 13, 2011, 09:24:26 PM »It's nothing but fantasy now, but at least right now it's being consistent in a US landfall in about 10-14 days from now. Like I said before the GFS is good at sniffing out storms in the long range, it'll be interesting to see how things stand by this time next week with Invest 93L.
Also the model spreads for Invest 92/93 was probably an error w/ the Raleigh site, that's where I got them from.
Is it being consistent? At 0Z I saw the 300+ storm hitting Bermuda, 06z lost it, 12z was a gulf runner. Unless I am missing something it doesn't seem consistent at all
Ok, about 80% consistent
, but it's natural for the GFS to lose a storm or in this case send it out to sea and then reverse back to what it was showing before on future runs. Anyway, we'll probably have "Gert" soon...
Quote
1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...ADVISORIES COULD BE
INITIATED LATER TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...
90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
Source: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents
3337
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression Six
« on: August 13, 2011, 03:35:30 PM »What I'm trying to say is I think it was borderline to be more than a TD that's all. There's no reason to take what I said so personally, I wasn't trying to offend you or anyone else that was offended by my statement. At the end of the day it doesn't matter what I think or you think it's the NHC's call.
39 mph (33 knots) is what it takes for a system to be classified as a tropical storm, and, therefore, receive a name.
Do you think the NHC is fudging wind speeds upwards a little for the sake of giving a storm a name?
Do you think the criteria for a tropical storm should be changed to 45 or even 50 mph?
What is the problem you have with small storms of 40 mph in the middle of the ocean receiving a name? Really, what is the problem?
What is the problem of you not knowing when to let minor things like this go and just "agree to disagree"? You got all upset with me and Patrick over this same thing when Cindy came about. I've made my point and you've made yours. I know the criteria for tropical storms so you don't have to make me feel like I'm some kind of an idiot.
3338
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression Six
« on: August 13, 2011, 01:20:17 PM »Why do names need to be rationed?!
It is beginning to feel like the NHC is just naming storms just to validate their forecast, but I'm not going to get into a debate over this matter. Ironically, Franklin from 2005 took a similar path OTS, but it formed much further south near the Bahamas.
I still don't get this! A tropical storm is a tropical storm, period. It meets certain characteristics and guidelines. One of the rules is that it gets a name. The NHC isn't creating tropical cyclones out of whole cloth, and I see no evidence that it's chomping at the bit to use as many names as possible.
What I'm trying to say is I think it was borderline to be more than a TD that's all. There's no reason to take what I said so personally, I wasn't trying to offend you or anyone else that was offended by my statement. At the end of the day it doesn't matter what I think or you think it's the NHC's call.
3339
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Depression Six
« on: August 13, 2011, 06:38:53 AM »Why do names need to be rationed?!
It is beginning to feel like the NHC is just naming storms just to validate their forecast, but I'm not going to get into a debate over this matter. Ironically, Franklin from 2005 took a similar path OTS, but it formed much further south near the Bahamas.
3340
TWC Today News / Re: SMF 2.0 Upgrade
« on: August 12, 2011, 09:12:34 PM »
The error seems to have corrected itself sometime today in Chrome. I never got around to clearing my cache so I'm not sure how it got fixed.
EDIT: The quick reply box is still messed up though.
EDIT: The quick reply box is still messed up though.
3341
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: August 12, 2011, 09:07:32 PM »
Well it's about time! Proposed NOAA Website design
http://www.weather.gov/redesign/
You can submit comments as well on the website redesign.
http://www.weather.gov/redesign/
You can submit comments as well on the website redesign.
3342
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011
« on: August 12, 2011, 09:20:03 AM »Here's another wild solution of eye candy from the GFS! 18z run today, this is Invest 93L and it looks to make landfall near Charleston, SC. (And yes, it does travel up the I-95 corridor into NE beyond this)18z and 300+hr
[/quote]
It's nothing but fantasy now, but at least right now it's being consistent in a US landfall in about 10-14 days from now. Like I said before the GFS is good at sniffing out storms in the long range, it'll be interesting to see how things stand by this time next week with Invest 93L.
Also the model spreads for Invest 92/93 was probably an error w/ the Raleigh site, that's where I got them from.
3343
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: August 11, 2011, 11:41:45 PM »Interesting tidbit, 7 out of the 10 costliest hurricanes listed in the chart occurred in the 2004/2005 season alone, the most active seasons of the 21st century.Two years qualify as a season?
When I said it the second time I said "seasons" so obviously the first one was supposed to be the same. I didn't even realize I left off the s until you brought it to my attention.
3344
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: August 11, 2011, 10:45:03 PM »
I'm surprised this hasn't been mentioned, but the damage costs of Hurricane Katrina has been updated to 108 Billion dollars making it the first 100 Billion Dollar Hurricane in US history. Hurricane Ike comes in second w/ 29 Billion, very far cry from Katrina.
Interesting tidbit, 7 out of the 10 costliest hurricanes listed in the chart occurred in the 2004/2005 seasons alone, the most active seasons of the 21st century.
You can read the article here
http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/8_25283.html
Interesting tidbit, 7 out of the 10 costliest hurricanes listed in the chart occurred in the 2004/2005 seasons alone, the most active seasons of the 21st century.
You can read the article here
http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/8_25283.html
3345
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011
« on: August 11, 2011, 06:55:12 PM »
Here's another wild solution of eye candy from the GFS! 18z run today, this is Invest 93L and it looks to make landfall near Charleston, SC. (And yes, it does travel up the I-95 corridor into NE beyond this)