Messages

3286

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: August 20, 2011, 10:32:24 AM »

Hmm, Invest 97L is getting it's act together quickly despite dry air still being to it's north and west in addition to some moderate shear to the north of it making it clear already this will be a force to be reckoned with. I'm a little skeptical on whether a track over Hispaniola will disrupt it completely. We might manage to get TD 9 today rather than tomorrow or Monday like I was thinking. RECON hurricane hunters will be investigating today at 2pm, hopefully if they find a decent LLC maybe we'll start to get more reliable data in the computer models on a track.

Currently Invest 97L is at 80% chance of development.

3287

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: August 20, 2011, 12:48:16 AM »

I've been looking at the 2005 hurricane records. Although things looked pretty pathetic compared to that infamous season a few weeks ago, we are now uncomfortably close to the pace of the 2005 season. It all relies on little Jose, who looks like it may have some development trouble as it encounters some dry air in its path.

Jose, in 2005, formed on August 22nd. That's four days away. Although chances are slim in my opinion, if that occurs, we will have officially tied the 2005 pace for at least one day. Our K storm will have to have formed the next day to match Katrina's formation on the 23rd.

Nothing to get excited about, as a lot can change pattern wise, but it is worth noting. Who knows? We may jump into the Greek Alphabet again this year. O_O

There's an Invest 99L which could be Katia if 98L becomes Jose and Irene 97L. I wish they could have came up with a better replacement for Katrina, it's too close to being the same name as that, the same for Rita whose replacement is "Rina".

Were also one name ahead of the Eastern Pacific currently.

3288

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: August 19, 2011, 11:27:20 PM »

This is kinda offtopic, but is the local news in anyone's area that could possibly be affected by Invest 97L hyping this thing up already? Our ABC affiliate sure is.

3289

Your Local Weather / Re: Dallas-Fort Worth weather

« on: August 19, 2011, 11:10:50 PM »

RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET TODAY
107°F
(Old record: 106°F in 1984)

The heat continues...

There's still record highs to be broken out in TX? 

3290

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Harvey

« on: August 19, 2011, 11:08:58 PM »

*** TROPICAL STORM HARVEY HAS STRENGTHENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND PRIOR TO LANDFALL TOMORROW IN BELIZE IT IS NOW EXPECTED TO BECOME THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2011 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON. ***

It's now up to 60mph, I knew I shouldn't have gotten conservative in my prediction of a Cat. 1 hurricane in my previous post.  I'm thinking 75 - 85mph at the max if rapid intensification does indeed occur overnight.

This also means we'll only reach a streak of 7 consecutive tropical storms w/o a hurricane.

New track w/ "Hurricane" added right before landfall near Belize.

3291

OCMs & Personalities / Re: Apparently...a former OCM has stayed in Atlanta

« on: August 19, 2011, 10:51:44 PM »

I am about 90% sure she is now at WSBT in South Bend, she was on the 10pm, I'm recording the 11pm and should know for sure in the morning....

Edit: twitter confirms, possible clip this weekend

That's great news! I wish her the best of luck up there.  It's WXIA-TV's loss, they let go a classy professional woman.

3292

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 19, 2011, 10:28:25 PM »

Interesting camera shot they did at the beginning of WCL where they showed from a distance Crystal and Chris standing in front of the big desk from the left side and then showed Chris walking over to the new green screen from that same left corner. I'm not sure if that was a mistake or not, but I know it's a camera shot they don't do often.

They did that same shot at the start of DP about two weeks ago.

Oh ok, it reminded me of how they used to do camera shots of the HD studio like this back in 2008/2009.

3293

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 19, 2011, 10:06:14 PM »

Interesting camera shot they did at the beginning of WCL where they showed from a distance Crystal and Chris standing in front of the big desk from the left side and then showed Chris walking over to the new green screen from that same left corner. I'm not sure if that was a mistake or not, but I know it's a camera shot they don't do often.

3294

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: August 19, 2011, 06:47:14 PM »

New NAM Model Run is rather interesting...

DR/Haiti and PR looks to be the challenge right now, it'll be  interesting to see how it behaves once it gets there. Will it miss to the north or south? or will it cut right through and what will be left of it once that happens? Most models seem to favor rapid intensification once it reaches the GOM. Seas surface temps certainly won't be a problem, they haven't been touched all summer and some isolated areas are sizzling above 90.

18z GFS gives Florida/Georgia another good hard thumpin'. 3rd run in a row to show this today.

NWS here very briefly mentions Invest 97L

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LATEST MODEL RUN CONTINUE TO SHOW THE WEAK BOUNDARY PUSHING INTO
OUR AREA MONDAY...THEN MEANDERING SOMEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA
INTO MIDWEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUING...ESPECIALLY WITH A
TROPICAL SYSTEM POSSIBLY IN OUR FUTURE TOWARD THE WEEKEND. STAY
TUNED.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=FFC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

18z DGEX

3295

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Harvey

« on: August 19, 2011, 06:40:12 PM »

It may be just me, but I'm pretty sure this is NOT a 40mph storm as the NHC is advertising. It looks much stronger than that, in fact there's a ball of convection firing around the center.

It's because you're quoting outdated information.   Harvey now has winds at 45 mph according to the 5 PM advisory.

I don't think it's that weak either.  I'm thinking it'll get up to between 55 - 65mph right now. NHC highlighted a 13% chance at hurricane strength.

3296

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Harvey

« on: August 19, 2011, 05:19:21 PM »

It may be just me, but I'm pretty sure this is NOT a 40mph storm as the NHC is advertising. It looks much stronger than that, in fact there's a ball of convection firing around the center.

3297

General Discussion / Re: What are you listening to?

« on: August 19, 2011, 04:37:18 PM »

The song that is played in the video: 

"Local Forecast errors - October 16, 2009 - 11:18am"

On The Titan HD Radar system, what is the name of that song
playing on there?

I want to get that song for my IPOD.

I think it's production music.

3298

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011

« on: August 19, 2011, 04:16:16 PM »

12z Euro shifted west again agreeing again w/ 12z GFS on Eastern FL/GOM landfall.

EDIT: Throwing in the NOGAPS model for fun.  It's joining the party also it appears.

3299

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Harvey

« on: August 19, 2011, 03:17:27 PM »

As of the 2pm advisory, we have Tropical Storm Harvey.

3300

Local Forecast / Re: IntelliStar Changes

« on: August 19, 2011, 01:12:28 PM »

now that Getaway is gone TWC should create a page called Flight Status for local airports in the Region

Airports in my area are

TF Green Int'l Airport - Providence, RI

Logan Int'l - Boston, MA

Manchester-Boston Arpt - Manchester, NH

and it would display if there is Delays on arrival and departures in those locations.

That's actually not a bad idea, that would be useful to a lot of frequent flyers.