Messages

3181

General Weather Chat / Re: Mandatory evacuation - not for me!

« on: August 25, 2011, 07:34:26 PM »

I have to evacuate tomorrow morning but could we refuse to anyways? I might be staying at the casino

There are always people interviewed on TV who say they'll refuse to evacuate under any circumstances, even if it means death.  People say they'll stay to protect their property from looters, because they don't want to leave home, and so, and so forth.

I guess they never bother to think about the fact of not having a home to protect once the hurricane arrives...

For me if I lived on the coast and was under a mandatory evacuation, I would leave especially if I had a lot of tress surrounding my house like I do here.

3182

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 25, 2011, 06:25:54 PM »

it was mentioned in the past SA was discontinued, which is why it hasn't been on in years.

We do not know for sure, because there has been no official conformation 

Right. Plus, there has been no real reason to use it since 2008, either.

True, that's why I thought it was more of an assumption than it was proven to be a fact that it was discontinued.

3183

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 25, 2011, 04:54:07 PM »

Hurricane Watches now in effect for VA to Sandy Hook, NJ.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCVAT4+shtml/252050.shtml?

3184

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 25, 2011, 04:38:19 PM »

Suspensions last forever. Unless you file a counter-notification, once it's gone, it's gone for good.

Wow - that's amazing.  Even Facebook gives second chances.

I think their partnership w/ Google might play into that especially when it comes to music. That's why that Youtube/WMG fallout happened a few years ago. They didn't feel Youtube was strict enough on copyright infrigments. I think Google kinda pushed for them to be more stricter on that once they became partners so that wouldn't happen again.

3185

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 25, 2011, 04:26:27 PM »

Whoa, Irene, looks like your track has shifted west a little! Looking at TWC's Hurricane Tracker, Irene may now make TWO landfalls: one on the Outer Banks of NC and one in Ocean City, NJ.

Also, to respond to your question Tavores, I thought Ike was bigger in size than Katrina, which means that Irene is bigger than Katrina.

Ah, maybe so. I knew Ike and Katrina were close. Irene might end up bigger than both of them.

Palm Beach, FL  VERY Angry Waves
http://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/palmbeach/

3186

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 25, 2011, 04:08:11 PM »

Anybody know the max size of Katrina when it was in the Gulf? I know Irene has exceeded Ike in size and I'm pretty sure it will exceed Katrina as well if it hasn't already. As it continues to get better, it continues to grow.

3187

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 25, 2011, 03:32:52 PM »

Suspensions last forever. Unless you file a counter-notification, once it's gone, it's gone for good.

Did you get any warning(s) for any other videos prior to that? If so, maybe that's why your account was automatically suspended instead of warned.

3188

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 25, 2011, 01:52:34 PM »

Jam Packed discussion out of Mt. Holly, NJ - It's the longest discussion I've ever seen if you want to read it, the link is below. I'm quoting the part that really caught my eye.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

INTERESTING TO NOTE IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG 250 MB JET
NORTH OF THE HURRICANE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, GENERALLY FROM THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SOME OF THE MODELS
INDICATE THAT THE ORIENTATION OF THIS JET IS SUCH THAT IRENE IS
WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION AS SHE TRACKS NORTHWARD. THIS
SCENARIO COULD HELP WITH A POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNEL
AND ASSIST IN THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE. AS STATED
BEFORE, LOTS TO IRON OUT WITH THE DETAILS AS IT DEPENDS ON THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE CENTER.

Also, I've heard a mandatory evacuation is in effect for Ocean City, MD as well as a State of Emergency for NJ.

EDIT: Webcam from Hollywood Beach, FL - Looks rough to be out on the beach.
http://sugarreefgrill.com/web_photos.html

3189

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 25, 2011, 01:40:50 PM »

What is taking TWC so long to start storm alert, if there even is one?

Probably won't occur until tomorrow evening at the earliest. Irene's eye wont reach E. NC/Outer Banks until Saturday.

3190

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 25, 2011, 01:37:56 PM »

They keep saying NJ, NY and southern MA will be the hardest hit, but I have a feeling it'll be nothing more than just a rainstorm

One thing to keep in mind also: Large hurricanes are slower to weaken and as I said in my post, it's not going to take much wind to cause widespread wind damage due to over saturated grounds in many spots of the NE/ MidAtlantic, that alone can cause some disruption on top of wind damage that could occur from  tall buildings/skyscrapers in the form of shattered windows. The further up in stories you go the stronger the winds get since it's causing a "wind tunnel" effect from the tight close proximity of buildings.

As far as Irene stands now Eyewall Replacement Cycle appears to have completed, expect Irene to strengthen over the next 12-18 hours to a Strong Cat. 3

The chances I think Irene has at a run of Cat. 4 before slow weakening: LOW

3191

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 25, 2011, 01:23:55 PM »

I thought TWC only used "Storm Alert" for major hurricanes (cat. 3 or higher)? Although Irene has reached this status, it's expected to weaken before landfall.

As I mentioned before, They can make exceptions. Ike was one of them only a Cat. 2, but it's pressure equated to a Cat. 4 so it was able to cause more damage had it only had a pressure/wind intensity of a Category 2.

I kinda agree with Matt, if there is a "Storm Alert" as we know it as, this may be the most intense one we've seen because of the large area it's going to affect.

3192

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Irene

« on: August 25, 2011, 01:05:00 PM »

Closer shot of Irene's eye

3193

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 25, 2011, 12:38:33 PM »

Jim just tweeted 15 mins ago ‎#NYC

Ah, thank you. Well looks like Jim has pretty much sealed NYC's fate for Irene. They better head out while they still have time. 

3194

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 25, 2011, 12:25:46 PM »

I think what were seeing now is about as close to a Storm Alert were going to get. In fact, I believe it will be like it was pre 2005 when they went into Storm Alert (called "Alert Mode" back then) and I wouldn't be surprised if we see limited to no local forecasts shown similar to what they do during severe weather events this year so they can extend their live programming once Irene makes the first landfall in NC. We'll probably be seeing the LF squeeze back occasionally on air.

i hope they don't go that far, because i want to be able to record LF's from saturday night until monday.

It's just a theory, we'll have to just wait and see what they do the next 36 hours. Also I'm reading on other forums that Jim Cantore is relocating to NYC now. Can anyone confirm this?

3195

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 25, 2011, 11:54:50 AM »

Except for the LDL, i'm shocked that TWC is not in Red Mode yet, yet alone Storm Alert (If there is a Storm Alert anymore) Could TWC be getting the red stuff ready for Storm Alert?  I wonder if we'll see a L Bar like we did for Earl??

Me neither. I think TWC will go into some alert mode tomorrow afternoon. Hopefully they will bring it back

I thought they already were in Red Mode???

I think what were seeing now is about as close to a Storm Alert were going to get. In fact, I believe it will be like it was pre 2005 when they went into Storm Alert (called "Alert Mode" back then) and I wouldn't be surprised if we see limited to no local forecasts shown similar to what they do during severe weather events this year so they can extend their live programming once Irene makes the first landfall in NC. We'll probably be seeing the LF squeeze back occasionally on air.