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Messages - toxictwister00

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3016
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2011
« on: September 24, 2011, 12:35:06 AM »

3017
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: September 24, 2011, 12:27:03 AM »
Fall is my favorite season, I love when the leaves change colors and Thanksgiving come around. This year will be first Thanksgiving in about 5 years where my birthday and Thanksgiving fall on the same day. Summer is my least favorite, I'm sorry but after almost 19 years I still cannot adapt to this heat and humidity.

3018
Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion
« on: September 23, 2011, 11:42:24 PM »
For some reason, there was a squuezback at :28 or so during commercials, and the squezeeback had the SD national LDL TWC logo.

Did it have a reflection and a little blue flare under it? if so than its the IS LDL logo, not the national TWC logo
It didn't.

EDIT: There was another fall station ID at :57. It's a forest, with the camera panning down on some mountains in the background. Has it been used before?


That one was used back in 2009. There is another one of a mountain range and a blue sky with cirrus clouds streaming overhead. I think that one was used last year.

It was also used in 2009 as well :yes:

2010
HD Local Forecast - November 6, 2010 - 11:58 AM ET

2009
HD DirecTV Forecast 2009


The one I'm talking about with the mountain range and cirrus clouds looks like this


This is the one that was used in 2009
October 2009 Morning Song #6

3019
Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion
« on: September 23, 2011, 11:12:07 PM »
For some reason, there was a squuezback at :28 or so during commercials, and the squezeeback had the SD national LDL TWC logo.
Did it have a reflection and a little blue flare under it? if so than its the IS LDL logo, not the national TWC logo
It didn't.

EDIT: There was another fall station ID at :57. It's a forest, with the camera panning down on some mountains in the background. Has it been used before?

That one was used back in 2009. There is another one of a mountain range and a blue sky with cirrus clouds streaming overhead. I think that one was used last year.

3020
TWC Fan Art / Re: Weatherlover's Artwork
« on: September 23, 2011, 11:04:55 PM »
Modernized 4000 - Extended Forecast First Draft

3021
General Discussion / Re: Blackberries and Apples
« on: September 22, 2011, 10:10:05 PM »
Great sketch!

-Tell you what, let me try rebooting it.

(kicks the apple out the window breaking it)

-Now it's crashed.  :P

3022
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: September 22, 2011, 09:30:46 PM »
Is anyone else dealing with all of this rain? I swear I don't think I have had a full day of sun in weeks!


No, but could you send it down here to me please?  :innocent: We need every drop we can get.


Not as much as TX and OK. How much of a drought is Atlanta in? I notice where they (as well as most of the state of GA) are "excessively dry" on the weather.com drought monitor.

As far as the rain in the southern plains, both TX and OK have seen some rain within the past week. But we obviously need a whole heck of a lot more to be anywhere close to escaping the drought. :(


Very clever, but I can still read your remark in the strikeout. :P Were about 8 inches behind in rainfall, Going by the drought monitor, our state is still has the worst drought east of the Miss., but you are right on the US drought monitor, TX/OK look burnt in all of that dark burgundy color.


3023
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: September 22, 2011, 08:52:50 PM »
Is anyone else dealing with all of this rain? I swear I don't think I have had a full day of sun in weeks!

No, but could you send it down here to me please?  :innocent: We need every drop we can get.

3024
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ophelia
« on: September 22, 2011, 01:15:16 PM »
Ophelia must be Maria's twin sister, the storm track out now is so similar to Maria only slightly further east in the turn north.

3025
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: September 22, 2011, 12:30:46 PM »
78 mostly cloudy, God I hope we get some good downpours today. Tired of seeing the rain dodge us in all kinds of directions this week.

3026
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: September 21, 2011, 11:41:09 PM »
I take it none of you are fans of the death penalty? I sure am. He killed a cop - he definitely deserves to die.

Edit - Although, even if it wasn't a cop, I still believe in the death penalty.

What about the people who kill several people and only get life in prison? That's the case with Brian Nichols, who back in March 2005 killed a courtroom judge, courtroom sheriff, a lady who was in the courtroom, and a FBI agent while he was fleeing the scene yet GA doesn't seem anxious about sticking a needle in his arm. Nichols deserves the death penalty more than Davis does. It would have been better just giving him life than executing him. He already lost 22 years of his freedom he'll never get back anyway.

3027
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: September 21, 2011, 07:36:45 PM »
It pretty much depends on the U.S. Supreme Court to stay the execution. The execution has been delayed about 20 minutes already.

I hope and pray that the US Supreme Court does that.


According to our NBC station WXIA-TV, his execution has been delayed by the US Supreme Court.
http://www.11alive.com/news/article/205925/274/LIVE-VIDEO-Troy-Davis-execution-delayed

3028
General Weather Chat / Re: Farmers Almanac Winter 2012 Prediction
« on: September 21, 2011, 08:42:39 AM »

Yes it is intended for a general outlook on winter. People aren't supposed to look at these maps and stock up on snow shovels and salt.  My area has those same shifts you mention for Dallas but if you look at the average temperature on a monthly basis, the +/- departure from average shows a clearer picture. The argument that these maps can't be right because we can't predict the weather 12 hours from now is a bit flawed. We can look at weather patterns and get a general idea if it is going to be colder/warmer or wetter/dryer over certain regions. That is very different than forecasting the exact precip amount and temperature for a specific point.

These forecasts are important for people to perhaps plan ahead for additional heating costs,  farmers to take extra precautions, and so forth. It isn't just the farmers almanac that does these either. I am sure you have seen the outlooks from NOAA. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ As for the farmers almanac they tend to look at past trends to make their forecast. Sometimes they get it right other times they are way off. I put more stock in the forecasts from the CPC.


You basically proven the point of what I said, there is still a high fail potential regardless because not every factor involved going into this upcoming winter will be predicted accurately so far in advance especially with the teleconnections. I already mentioned the NAO, the PNA, EPO, etc. Sure in the short term we can get a general idea of the pattern over certain regions, but that doesn't make it any easier or better to predict than where it will rain or snow 36 hours from now. If any of those teleconnections were to do the opposite of what were predicting in the short term or was slower or faster about doing so would have implications on how the pattern this winter plays out. Also I disagree about the CPC, they and NOAA seem to be bias in forecasting more on the fact of a typical La Nina pattern, but we know there's never anything "typical" about any weather pattern. I rather believe the FA than them, it's obvious they are taking into account other factors than La Nina for this winter. In a previous post in this thread I did say the FA actually fared well for us last winter and the winter before that so yes sometimes they get it right and sometimes they don't. The whole point is there is a high fail potential long term over months as there is short term going over hours or days.

OT: Speaking of NOAA, wasn't the new website supposed to come out last week?

3029
General Weather Chat / Re: Farmers Almanac Winter 2012 Prediction
« on: September 20, 2011, 10:51:58 PM »
I never agree with Farmer's Almanac predictions. Last year, they predicted extremely cold and below average snowfall for the northeast. We had well above average snowfall and slightly below average temps. They can't even get their 3 month regional forecasts correct. That's just my opinion.

And as stated above, if La Niņa makes a return, this forecast will be thrown completely out the window (for the southern Plains, anyway).

Well that is only one piece of the puzzle, it can be overruled like it was last winter by the very strong -NAO contributing to the strong, persistent Greenland Blocking and the parade of storms coming up the east coast. Not saying this La Nina will behave the same as last winter's La Nina, but I remember many forecasted a blowtorch winter for 2010-2011 across the southern US and many of us saw record snowfall, white Christmases not seen in over a century, record lows, and some pretty nasty cold snaps. When that snowstorm came through the SE in January this year, we had snow on the ground for about 3 weeks and it was about a week before we saw above freezing daytime highs. It's reasons like that I take seasonal forecasts as entertainment and a grain of salt, too much FAIL potential. We can't accurately predict 12 hours out in advance in some circumstances, let alone 3 months.

3030
Local Forecast / Re: General LF Discussion
« on: September 20, 2011, 08:59:42 PM »
I'm extremely surprised that some people here are calling for the L-bar to be permanently displayed, considering how much opposition there was to the expanded LDL, which people said made the screen too crowded already.  I'd personally like the expanded LDL to return at the expense of the L-bar, which has a lot of wasted space (especially in the HD feed).

I didn't care much for the large LDL for the main reason you said about it taking up space, but if I had to choose between the large LDL and the L Bar I would agree with you and choose the large LDL.

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