2101
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 23, 2012, 08:58:44 AM »
I agree with Alex, I use AVC often to convert video/audio files, rip audio from video files and to convert videos from 640x480 to 1920x1080.
December 25, 2025, 07:22:44 PM
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2102
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 22, 2012, 08:47:35 PM »
What a hot mess. 
2103
TWC Fan Art / Re: Weatherlover's Artwork
« on: June 22, 2012, 02:09:29 PM »
Thanks Trevor, it's too bad the IS most likely will never be that colorful. 
2104
TWC Fan Art / Re: Weatherlover's Artwork
« on: June 22, 2012, 12:13:31 PM »
If the IntelliStar got a minor update, it would be nice if it could look like this so it would be more appealing with more vivid colors which it seriously lacks right now.
2105
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 22, 2012, 11:04:02 AM »
GFS is doing some peculiar things the past couple of runs. 00z run last night stalled "Debby" along the Gulf Coast for an entire week dying out because it's stuck between a ridge and a trough. I hope that doesn't happen, the immediate GC doesn't need that kind of rainfall for that long period of time. 
2106
Local Forecast / Re: General LF Discussion
« on: June 22, 2012, 10:30:11 AM »
Yeah, it sounded different.
2108
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 21, 2012, 07:19:57 PM »
Saw this on the local news, sad, very, very, sad. 
Those kids are nothing but a bunch of pathetic a-holes.
Those kids are nothing but a bunch of pathetic a-holes.
2109
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 21, 2012, 07:03:03 PM »
Very much so at the moment.
EDIT: Up to 70% now, wouldn't be surprised if we have a depression or "Debby" by tomorrow or Saturday at this rate.
EDIT: Up to 70% now, wouldn't be surprised if we have a depression or "Debby" by tomorrow or Saturday at this rate.
Quote
1. A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS PRODUCING AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...AND ALSO OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA...SOUTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. SATELLITE
DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER DEFINED AND SURFACE PRESSURES ARE
SLOWLY FALLING ACROSS THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ALSO
IMPROVING AND ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO. INTERESTS ALONG THE ENTIRE UNITED STATES GULF COAST
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...WESTERN CUBA...AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH
SATURDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.
2110
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 21, 2012, 04:17:40 PM »
Gotta love model madness, EURO jumped ship with the Canadian, now it wants to send the Invest to TX, but it's a good 7mb weaker than the 12z Canadian. (12z Canadian = 986mb and the 12z EURO = 993mb)
2111
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 21, 2012, 02:00:37 PM »
I'm thinking this Hurricane Season will be above average. One reason being because El Nino hasn't kicked in yet, were still in Neutral conditions.
Just a Preliminary Prediction...
16 storms
10 Tropical Storms
6 Hurricanes
3 Major Hurricanes
Also this is way, way out there, but the GFS keeps showing Cape Verde disturbances for the latter end of this month into the first week of July. Just something to think about once we get to that time period.
Just a Preliminary Prediction...
16 storms
10 Tropical Storms
6 Hurricanes
3 Major Hurricanes
Also this is way, way out there, but the GFS keeps showing Cape Verde disturbances for the latter end of this month into the first week of July. Just something to think about once we get to that time period.
2112
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 21, 2012, 11:08:09 AM »We now have Hurricane Chris as of the 11am advisory
Really?
Heh, I thought this thing was gonna be long gone by now. I haven't been paying it much attention anyway.
2113
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 21, 2012, 10:59:26 AM »
Yep, plenty of time to watch especially with all the model disagreement on the track and strength. NAM/UKMET are on the CMC's team while the NOGAPS is on the GFS/EURO's team. Hopefully some of this will start ironing out once there's actually some form of a closed circulation in the Gulf to track. If the EURO and CMC are showing pressures that low this early, it makes you wonder if that turns out not to be deep enough if it gets a good amount of time to get going in a favorable environment... 
I'm aware of that
, I hope my post from earlier doesn't give the impression of that being the case. We've had plenty of examples of this in the past and funny enough the ones I can think of off the top of my head are "I" storms (Ike, Ida, Irene, etc) I was just intrigued by how low it gets on the EURO/CMC considering it's not well defined yet.
I'm not sure if this applies to tropical storms and depressions, but as a reminder, pressure has not had an impact on categorization of a storm since 2010, but instead, just the winds.
OT: Trevor, how do you know about Dennis Phillips?!If you're referring to the chief meteorologist of WFTS in Tampa that is.
I'm aware of that
, I hope my post from earlier doesn't give the impression of that being the case. We've had plenty of examples of this in the past and funny enough the ones I can think of off the top of my head are "I" storms (Ike, Ida, Irene, etc) I was just intrigued by how low it gets on the EURO/CMC considering it's not well defined yet.
2114
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 21, 2012, 07:06:57 AM »
I couldn't sleep tonight so I figured I would provide an update on what some of the models are showing.
Potential "Debby" Update
Thursday, June 21, 2012 7:00am
0z GFS - Basically the same as the 12z run, but I noticed a secondary low shows up behind what could be "Debby" traveling a similar track across Central Florida. "Debby" is weak when it travels across FL, in fact it doesn't really intensify until it's out in the Atlantic, a few hundreds of miles off the East Coast.
Two lows? - Hour 108 Monday, June 25, 2012
0z Euro - Didn't waffle much from the 12z run. It stills shows a 988mb low heading for FL. An East Coast Trough blocks "Debby" from getting any further north and west. It rides along the periphery of the trough before pulled in NW into New England/Canada at the end of the run. "Debby" bombs down to an impressive 970mb low at it's peak! Everyone on the shores of FL to NE would need to be vigilant on the high risk of rip currents "Debby" would cause in this scenario. Something else to note, the EURO is much slower than the GFS by about 3 days, "Debby" wouldn't directly make landfall over FL until next Thursday, while on the GFS, it would be next Monday.
Striking FL (North of Tampa) - Hour 168 Thursday, June 28, 2012
A Tease for those of you in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic...
Saturday, June 30, 2012
And Lastly the 0z Canadian: The total opposite of the EURO in terms of track.
I gotta give it to the Canadian, it's holding it's ground in sending "Debby" to Texas/Mexico. You're probably wondering, "Why is the Canadian so different from the GFS/EURO on the track?" It's mainly because of the position of the ridge across the Central Plains. "Debby" tries to undercut that ridge by traveling around the southern periphery of it even though a trough along the Eastern US moves in, it's later than the GFS/EURO and "Debby" is too far west to be influenced by the incoming digging trough and be pulled NEward towards FL. "Debby" at her peak bombs down to 975mb and that's only about four hundred miles off of the TX coast!
Thanks for reading and I hoped you all enjoyed.
Potential "Debby" Update
Thursday, June 21, 2012 7:00am
0z GFS - Basically the same as the 12z run, but I noticed a secondary low shows up behind what could be "Debby" traveling a similar track across Central Florida. "Debby" is weak when it travels across FL, in fact it doesn't really intensify until it's out in the Atlantic, a few hundreds of miles off the East Coast.
Two lows? - Hour 108 Monday, June 25, 2012
0z Euro - Didn't waffle much from the 12z run. It stills shows a 988mb low heading for FL. An East Coast Trough blocks "Debby" from getting any further north and west. It rides along the periphery of the trough before pulled in NW into New England/Canada at the end of the run. "Debby" bombs down to an impressive 970mb low at it's peak! Everyone on the shores of FL to NE would need to be vigilant on the high risk of rip currents "Debby" would cause in this scenario. Something else to note, the EURO is much slower than the GFS by about 3 days, "Debby" wouldn't directly make landfall over FL until next Thursday, while on the GFS, it would be next Monday.
Striking FL (North of Tampa) - Hour 168 Thursday, June 28, 2012
A Tease for those of you in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic...
Saturday, June 30, 2012
And Lastly the 0z Canadian: The total opposite of the EURO in terms of track.
I gotta give it to the Canadian, it's holding it's ground in sending "Debby" to Texas/Mexico. You're probably wondering, "Why is the Canadian so different from the GFS/EURO on the track?" It's mainly because of the position of the ridge across the Central Plains. "Debby" tries to undercut that ridge by traveling around the southern periphery of it even though a trough along the Eastern US moves in, it's later than the GFS/EURO and "Debby" is too far west to be influenced by the incoming digging trough and be pulled NEward towards FL. "Debby" at her peak bombs down to 975mb and that's only about four hundred miles off of the TX coast!
Thanks for reading and I hoped you all enjoyed.
2115
The Game Room / Re: Lie your Butt Off
« on: June 20, 2012, 09:16:22 PM »
Whoa, it's been so busy here today I can barely keep up with all the post activity.
*I'm sarcastically lying. I wonder if I get bonus points for that.
*I'm sarcastically lying. I wonder if I get bonus points for that.