Messages

1891

TWC and your Cable Company / Re: TWC No Audio

« on: August 02, 2012, 07:49:07 PM »

Are you sure it's not your TV? I live in Atlanta too and there are no audio problems on the SD or HD feed for me.

1892

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 02, 2012, 07:09:09 PM »

^Design & Media Production

1893

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 02, 2012, 06:25:12 PM »

I'm rather surprised at this jump in intensity.  A plane did record the wind speeds, so I can't argue the result.  It still doesn't look great in organization, so I'm not sure what will happen to Ernesto.

It looks better than 24 hours ago though...I'm still wondering why they're forecasting so strong so far out with so much uncertainty still hanging in the balance past two days out. We still don't know for sure 100% it'll survive all the way through the Caribbean.

EDIT: In the meantime, now that we have Ernesto, I made a landfall probability map.

1894

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 02, 2012, 06:21:29 PM »

I still got about 3 weeks before I go back for my fall semester of college taking up a new program of study. I didn't like the first one I was in, I changed it right after my first semester ended.

1895

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 02, 2012, 05:06:24 PM »

Summer? What about 2012 in general?! When did we get through 2/3rds of the year?!

1896

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 02, 2012, 04:40:22 PM »

Ernesto Emerges!

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
500 PM AST THU AUG 02 2012

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE
SEASON...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.8N 56.6W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

EDIT: They're forecasting a Hurricane again by the end of the 5 day forecast

1897

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 02, 2012, 02:11:41 PM »

Overall, I am not impressed with this system at all.   I even wonder if it will survive over the next few days.  The entire Atlantic basin has seemingly been in a drought lately, so there is a lot of dry air that this depression will have to overcome in order to become a significant storm.

My sentiments exactly.  We'll see though.

EDIT: We should have Ernesto by the 5pm advisory, I'll update the thread title once it's official. 

1898

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 02, 2012, 08:23:53 AM »

Actually it was on the 6z run also, but much further east out in the Central Atlantic. However, every run since the 18z yesterday is still showing something around the 17th anywhere down near the Bahamas to the Lesser Antilles.

1899

TWC Fan Art / Re: Weatherlover's Artwork

« on: August 01, 2012, 08:41:44 PM »

Dang, talk about a missed opportunity right here. Why couldn't this be how the IntelliStar looks now?  I still don't get why they went with such a radical look of the IntelliStar when they did nearly 5 years ago. I want the look of it to change so badly I'll sell my soul to do it!

eh, not really, I don't think I can stoop quite that low.

1900

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 01, 2012, 07:13:27 PM »

I don't know why, but that room looks so fake to me for some reason, it's like she's standing in front of a green screen.

1901

Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto

« on: August 01, 2012, 05:25:58 PM »

I can't get over how eerily similar the NHC's current forecast cone track reminds me of Hurricane Dean......
I'm also surprised they're going with a hurricane at the end of the cone, even if they are leaning toward the GFS. I wouldn't have forecasted that strong with so much uncertainty.

1902

Hurricane Central / Hurricane Ernesto

« on: August 01, 2012, 04:38:58 PM »

The tropics are alive once again!

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
500 PM AST WED AUG 01 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 49.0W
ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

1903

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 01, 2012, 06:52:53 AM »

Here's where i think the Invest will go

Not to be a debbie downer on you Alex, but I think that type of track is the least likely to happen eventhough I see the 00z ECMWF shows a track like that much further west and closer to the east coast and that's only because it shows a stronger storm. This invest would have to be a lot stronger than it is so what weakness there is from the CA high can pull it northward in that direction so since it's still relatively weak it should continue to travel along the steering currents westward. The bigger question here is not where it's going, but will it survive getting there? Models still show this invest being killed like pesticide once it's in the Caribbean. (ECMWF kills it once it's in the Bahamas) CMC still wants to keep it going at hr 144 it's in the Bahamas.

EDIT: 6z GFS showed a Hurricane Dean (2007) type track, taking the invest into the Yucatan/Mexico. It also showed a fish storm "Florence" floating around in the the Central Atlantic.



CODE RED NOW

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS
CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND THIS SYSTEM
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

EDIT #2: 12z GFS still aiming for the Yucatan Peninsula as the prime landfall target.

1904

General Discussion / Re: Favorite News Graphics/Music

« on: July 31, 2012, 10:25:39 PM »

I like these election day graphics from our FOX affiliates.

1905

Everything Else TWC / Re: Blooper Thread

« on: July 31, 2012, 09:31:53 PM »

Now if only they used the evening 2008 sponsor teaser music.

And also bring back the 03-05 Weather Center music for the Local on the 8s sponsor screen.

I would like the Lot8s openers from '05 - '08 to come back.