Messages

1306

Winter Weather / Re: 2012-2013 Winter Outlook

« on: January 16, 2013, 02:56:43 PM »

Absolutely ridiculous how places much south of here, places that don't normally see a lot of snow, have and will get more snow from one storm than our entire season total so far.
 



Might change if we could just get some snow! Next chance is Friday.

What's even weirder is some parts of NC/VA could potentially see up to a foot of snow if recent models are to be believed.

1307

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: January 16, 2013, 02:55:02 PM »

I'm under a Winter Storm Watch, Flood Watch and a River Flood Warning.

Excitement all around!

Currently it's 58 degrees w/ cloudy skies.

1308

Winter Weather / Re: 2012-2013 Winter Outlook

« on: January 15, 2013, 03:53:51 PM »

I don't know if it's because our NWS office got a new M.I.C (Meteorologist In Charge) last year or what, but I don't care. Our office is on their A-Game when it comes to this ULL or "Helen" as TWC would call it now. They are being so open minded to all the possibilities of what could happen Thu/Fri. I was pleasantly surprised to see a detailed SWS issued today which mentioned snow could fall as far south as LaGrange, GA, but they didn't stop there, from the weather briefing video below, they even entertain the idea of Winter Storm Watches, not Advisories, WATCHES to be issued tonight or tomorrow. (3:36 in the video)

Now you're probably wondering, Ok, so what? I don't see what the big deal is? Well if you've read any of our NWS office's AFDs you would know they were extremely conservative to any idea of wintry weather in GA, no matter if every single model supported the idea, it used to drive me up the freakin' wall. This year they've done a complete 180 so I say kudos to them for laying out all the scenarios from least to most likely to happen (as of right now).

Sidenote: Are there other NWS offices that have Youtube channels like ours? Our office seems to have just opened theirs a few days ago.

Winter Weather Potential

1309

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: January 15, 2013, 12:10:11 PM »

28°F, Cloudy
Ice Storm Warning in effect

We had a batch of freezing rain come through yesterday, and we're supposed to have it even worse today, with up to a half an inch possible.

Stay safe and warm, looks like it's gonna be pretty rough.

It's 54 here with light rain. A Flood Watch is in effect until Wed. Morning here.

As a sidenote, this is a very dynamic ULL so far. I checked the obs for Dallas Int'l/Love Field and both reported Thundersnow earlier this morning.

1310

General Discussion / Re: Post your favorite YouTube videos

« on: January 14, 2013, 11:09:47 PM »

I think Allen West is a tool, but I'm willing to give him this one and only pardon for his karaoke singing.

Oh don't do it. Allen, DON'T DO IT!

Allen West Sings Pretty Woman

1311

General Discussion / Re: What are you listening to?

« on: January 14, 2013, 10:21:39 PM »

Winter in Chicago - Gooding
Come into My World - Ryan Farish
Sorrow - Pink Floyd
Songbird - Ryan Farish
Hidden Hand, Hidden Fist - STS9
Montana Girl - Gooding
Time is Tight - The Clash
...and more

all within the last half hour or so. Let's see if anyone can identify the list I am listening to

The bold were all dead giveaways that this was 1/2012.

1312

OCMs & Personalities / Re: Heather Tesch

« on: January 14, 2013, 10:04:32 PM »

She left this past October.

1313

General Discussion / Re: Sports Thread

« on: January 13, 2013, 04:24:24 PM »

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Seattle Seahawks 30-28 in the NFC playoff. I'm kinda disappointed that Seattle lost 

I'm not! I'll admit, I got nervous at the last minute.

1314

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: January 12, 2013, 09:21:29 PM »

We were a degree away from tying the record today. We reached 74, the record was 75 set back in 1890.

Right now it's cooled down to 62F under partly cloudy skies.

1315

Winter Weather / Re: 2012-2013 Winter Outlook

« on: January 12, 2013, 10:04:31 AM »

Got any Florida temps there? 

To give a summary, across the Florida Panhandle, temperatures would range from the 20s to 32 degrees. This is on Thursday, January 24th. Temperatures across Central FL range from the 30s (Tampa to Ft. Myers) 40s (Sarasota to Belle Glade) 50s (Naples to Miami) and 60s along the Keys.

2m Temperatures - Hour 300
NOTE: Although this is considered La La Land on the GFS, keep in mind the cold air begins filtering in as early as hour 216 into the CONUS from this high.


EDIT: I also need to make a correction on the strength of the high, it appears to peak at 1058mb in Canada.


00z Euro Hour 240, right on par with the 00z GFS.


00z GFS Hour 240

1316

Winter Weather / Re: 2012-2013 Winter Outlook

« on: January 12, 2013, 09:07:02 AM »

Something worth keeping tabs on...

I would venture out to say this is a fluke given the GFS's cold bias, however it helps the GFS has support from the European model as well.

On the 00z GFS, notice the 1052mb High sliding south into Montana, believe me as I say this thing ain't messin' around with us on this run. As the run progresses the high (slightly weaker) heads SE until it's situated over the TN Valley, even then it's still around 1040mb!

00z GFS 850mb Surface Temps (January 22 - 24th, 2013)
NOTE: I converted these temperatures from the maps, so there could be a margin of error. Also I didn't post specific highs/lows I'm just posting some of the coldest temps observed from the maps over this time period.

Minneapolis, MN: -32.8F
Duluth, MN: -38.2F
Chicago, IL: -25.6F
Columbus, OH: -22F
St. Louis, MO: -16.6F
Nashville, TN: -14.8F
Norfolk, VA: -11.2F
Charlotte, NC: -2.2F
Atlanta, GA: 0F
Columbia, SC: 5F
Birmingham, AL: 1.4F

1317

TWC Fan Art / Re: Weatherlover's Artwork

« on: January 11, 2013, 09:00:25 PM »

Are these maps scaled down too small for 4:3 aspect ratio? Trying to decide if it's better left as it is or in full screen. I personally like it the way it is now, but if this was real I wouldn't want anyone squinting their eyes trying to read the weather data which is why I'm bringing up this question.

1318

General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove

« on: January 11, 2013, 06:01:29 PM »

Does anyone know if we broke or tied that streak of non-fatalities from tornadoes for 2012-2013? The last I heard we were two days away from tying it.

Sure did! 

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2325

Thanks for the link!

1319

Forecasting / Re: Ask The Weather Expert!

« on: January 11, 2013, 05:58:41 PM »

We'll have to see if a Nino or Nina episode makes a return by Spring and what potential effects it could have on Severe Wx Season. I'm not sure which one has the better chance of elevating the frequency of severe weather, but I'm naturally assuming it's La Nina.

1320

General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove

« on: January 10, 2013, 07:35:36 PM »

Does anyone know if we broke or tied that streak of non-fatalities from tornadoes for 2012-2013? The last I heard we were two days away from tying it.