Messages

3091

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 19, 2007, 04:42:55 PM »

Oh ya know....looked like a good place to unwind and have a picnic

Yep, definitely a great place to be!

3092

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 19, 2007, 03:17:23 PM »

Carl Parker and Jennifer Lopez are on Weekend Weather Center this afternoon. They must be really short on OCMs today.

3093

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 19, 2007, 01:16:00 PM »

ENTRAL PRESSURES HAVE BEEN SLOWLY
RISING...THE EYE DIAMETER HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12
HOURS...AND THE RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL
STRUCTURE.

That's right!!

Dan, what are you doing in that storm?

3094

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 19, 2007, 12:15:36 AM »

If there's anything good about a Category 4 hurricane, it's the fact that we won't be seeing Storm Stories for a week or so.

3095

Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion

« on: August 19, 2007, 12:04:39 AM »

Here we go again with TWC overhyping with the Hurricane Authority graphics...

I disagree. This is a MAJOR Category 4 hurricane we're talking about, and it has a chance of impacting the US. Even if it doesn't, still it's going to have a major impact. This isn't a wimpy Tropical Storm, this is a full fledged major hurricane here.

3096

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:26:31 PM »

Its interesting that the pressure is going one way and the wind the other. Dropping pressure is a sign of strengthening. Youowuld think the wind would reflect that.

Yeah. These storms can surprise us sometimes. For example, Epsilon in 2005. At one point, it strengthened despite being in a not-so favorable environment.

3097

Local Forecast / Re: What STAR where?

« on: August 18, 2007, 12:03:08 PM »

I have just sent a PM to the TWC Star Team over at TWC Classics. Whenever they log in to TWCC, they should see my message and send an email to me. I sent them a message regarding what cities/cable headends still use the Jr/4000/XL. I don't know if they are the ones responsible for knowing what STAR where but since they work on the TWC STAR dept., I can trust them and seek accurate information.

You're not allowed to send PMs to the STAR Team at TWC Classics.

3098

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:52:12 AM »

It must have been enough of a difference if the NHC felt it was necessary to mention it....

I meant the wind speeds and the pressure. It's still a strong Category 4, that didn't change.

3099

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 18, 2007, 11:05:41 AM »

They say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory!

Yeah, but it's not much of difference.

3100

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 18, 2007, 10:38:58 AM »

It's a nice morning. Temperature is 68 and dewpoint is 48. Just last night the dewpoint was 73. I'm suprised it went down that fast.

That's freezing!

3101

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 17, 2007, 10:58:41 PM »

They're also tracking a low that moved off the coast of Africa, which potentially could develop into something, much like how Dean did. Right now it's too early to say if it will, but now Dean is the most important one to watch.

3102

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 17, 2007, 10:50:48 PM »

11 PM ET advisory for Dean:

000
WTNT34 KNHC 180247
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...CATEGORY FOUR DEAN INTENSIFYING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...

AT 11 PM AST...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI...FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO
PORT-AU-PRINCE...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM
PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

AT 11 PM AST...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND ALL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...ST
KITTS...BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.  THESE WARNINGS
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THE
PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING
WESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 755 MILES...
1210 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES...
390 KM...SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING WELL SOUTH
OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EARLY
SATURDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 937
MB...27.67 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
DEAN OVER PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.9 N...65.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

3103

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 17, 2007, 10:44:16 PM »

Wow, we could be looking at something along the lines of Andrew and Katrina by the time this thing makes landfall!  :ph34r:

That would be catastrophic. Hopefully it'll weaken somewhat before it makes landfall.

3104

General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central '07

« on: August 17, 2007, 09:51:15 PM »

Also, the pressure has dropped significantly, from 946 to 936 millibars.

3105

General Discussion / 10,000 posts!

« on: August 17, 2007, 09:29:56 PM »

We just recently passed the 10,000 post mark! Congrats to everyone for this accomplishment!