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Questions, Comments, Suggestions / Re: Should TWC Today be decorated for Halloween?
« on: October 07, 2008, 12:09:14 PM »
Aww so you guys are back together now
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000
WTNT43 KNHC 070852
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM MARCO DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132008
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 07 2008
WITH NO ADDITIONAL RECONNAISSANCE DATA SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...
THE INTENSITY OF MARCO IS VERY DIFFICULT TO ESTIMATE. THE OVERALL
SATELLITE PRESENTATION LOOKS ABOUT THE SAME AS WHEN THE AIRCRAFT
WAS THERE LAST...SO I'LL LEAVE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY AT 55 KT.
THE CYCLONE HAS PROBABLY ANOTHER 6-9 HOURS OVER WATER...SO SOME
FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND THE SHIPS GUIDANCE IN CALLING
FOR MARCO TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AT LANDFALL. AS WE HAVE
NOTED PREVIOUSLY...HOWEVER...SMALL CYCLONES ARE PARTICULARLY
SUBJECT TO LARGE AND MOSTLY UNPREDICTABLE CHANGES IN INTENSITY.
EXAMINATION OF THE HIGH-RESOLUTION QUIKSCAT DATA FROM 0100 UTC
SUGGESTS THAT THE RADIAL EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS
EXCEEDINGLY SMALL...PERHAPS NO MORE THAN ABOUT 10 NMI.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/7. A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE SEPARATES MARCO FROM A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. GIVEN THE SIZE OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE...THIS RIDGE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO KEEP MARCO ON
BASICALLY THE SAME TRACK UNTIL LANDFALL...ALTHOUGH I WOULDN'T BE
SURPRISED IF THE TRACK BENDS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT...WHICH WOULD
KEEP MARCO OVER WATER LONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IN BEST AGREEMENT
WITH THE UKMET AND BAM GUIDANCE.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 07/0900Z 20.1N 96.1W 55 KT
12HR VT 07/1800Z 20.5N 97.1W 60 KT...JUST INLAND
24HR VT 08/0600Z 20.9N 98.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
THE RADIAL EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ISWow! Thats small
EXCEEDINGLY SMALL...PERHAPS NO MORE THAN ABOUT 10 NMI.
This is odd... at some point last week, the retired-22434 (New Kensington headend) was brought back! This area had been seeing 22420 since mid-2006! Wonder what made Comcast bring it back all of a sudden?Wow that is odd
I should also note that this STAR has been reconfigured since it was decommissioned. It still serves the same area, but has a different metro map, as well as different radar cities. The forecast title is now "ALLEGHENY VALLEY AREA" as well.
The last time we had a major snowstorm in my neck of the woods was 6 years ago right after New Years, we picked up 6 inches and there was still snow in my backyard 2 weeks later! it was cold winter that year. We haven't had an icestorm in 3 years it was sleeting when I left school that Friday, we got close to 2 inches of ice that storm the worst so far this century.Wow! Last ice storm we had was nearly 11-12 years ago
I was referring to the one in February 2003, not Christmas. I don't recall having snow Christmas time here in Philly that year.Hmm I wonder if that was a local storm. Ill have to look it up
The first half of the 2003/2004 winter season was relatively warm, having temperatures in the 60's for much of November when we typically see upper 40's/low 50's. Even in December, we had a few days where we hit the upper 50's.
I don't follow sports much but I really should... everyone at my school talks sports all the time so I shouldn't just stay out of the conversation having no idea what happened.Cool kids watch The Weather Channel not sports
Not big baseball fans I take it?God I hate Major League Baseball... F'd up my TBS primetime schedule.If theres one thing I hate, its when a braves game is on and screws up my TV schedule!!!
You remind me of Roland.