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Messages - TWCToday

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5806
Aww so you guys are back together now :P

5807
General Weather Chat / Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« on: October 07, 2008, 07:40:43 AM »
Quote
000
WTNT43 KNHC 070852
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM MARCO DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132008
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 07 2008

WITH NO ADDITIONAL RECONNAISSANCE DATA SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...
THE INTENSITY OF MARCO IS VERY DIFFICULT TO ESTIMATE.  THE OVERALL
SATELLITE PRESENTATION LOOKS ABOUT THE SAME AS WHEN THE AIRCRAFT
WAS THERE LAST...SO I'LL LEAVE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY AT 55 KT.
THE CYCLONE HAS PROBABLY ANOTHER 6-9 HOURS OVER WATER...SO SOME
FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND THE SHIPS GUIDANCE IN CALLING
FOR MARCO TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AT LANDFALL.  AS WE HAVE
NOTED PREVIOUSLY...HOWEVER...SMALL CYCLONES ARE PARTICULARLY
SUBJECT TO LARGE AND MOSTLY UNPREDICTABLE CHANGES IN INTENSITY.
EXAMINATION OF THE HIGH-RESOLUTION QUIKSCAT DATA FROM 0100 UTC
SUGGESTS THAT THE RADIAL EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS
EXCEEDINGLY SMALL...PERHAPS NO MORE THAN ABOUT 10 NMI.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/7.  A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE SEPARATES MARCO FROM A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.  GIVEN THE SIZE OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE...THIS RIDGE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO KEEP MARCO ON
BASICALLY THE SAME TRACK UNTIL LANDFALL...ALTHOUGH I WOULDN'T BE
SURPRISED IF THE TRACK BENDS SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT...WHICH WOULD
KEEP MARCO OVER WATER LONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.  THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IN BEST AGREEMENT
WITH THE UKMET AND BAM GUIDANCE. 


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      07/0900Z 20.1N  96.1W    55 KT
 12HR VT     07/1800Z 20.5N  97.1W    60 KT...JUST INLAND
 24HR VT     08/0600Z 20.9N  98.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     08/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Quote
THE RADIAL EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS
EXCEEDINGLY SMALL...PERHAPS NO MORE THAN ABOUT 10 NMI.
Wow! Thats small :o

5808
Local Forecast / Re: General LF Discussion
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:34:10 PM »
This is odd... at some point last week, the retired-22434 (New Kensington headend) was brought back! This area had been seeing 22420 since mid-2006! Wonder what made Comcast bring it back all of a sudden?

I should also note that this STAR has been reconfigured since it was decommissioned. It still serves the same area, but has a different metro map, as well as different radar cities. The forecast title is now "ALLEGHENY VALLEY AREA" as well.
Wow that is odd :blink:

5809
General Weather Chat / Re: Winter Predictions
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:31:07 PM »
The last time we had a major snowstorm in my neck of the woods was 6 years ago right after New Years, we picked up 6 inches and there was still snow in my backyard 2 weeks later! it was cold winter that year. We haven't had an icestorm in 3 years it was sleeting when I left school that Friday, we got close to 2 inches of ice that storm the worst so far this century.
Wow! Last ice storm we had was nearly 11-12 years ago

5810
TWC and your Cable Company / Re: TWC Alarm on Star Jr.
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:30:07 PM »
Considering how old these units are its not surprising to see problems developing.

5811
If voting was still open I would vote all of the above B)

5812
General Weather Chat / Re: Winter Predictions
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:23:25 PM »
I was referring to the one in February 2003, not Christmas. I don't recall having snow Christmas time here in Philly that year. :unsure:

The first half of the 2003/2004 winter season was relatively warm, having temperatures in the 60's for much of November when we typically see upper 40's/low 50's. Even in December, we had a few days where we hit the upper 50's.
:thinking: Hmm I wonder if that was a local storm. Ill have to look it up :thumbsup:

5813
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:21:53 PM »
I don't follow sports much but I really should... everyone at my school talks sports all the time so I shouldn't just stay out of the conversation having no idea what happened.
Cool kids watch The Weather Channel not sports  :P

5814
The Game Room / Re: Guess the Next Poster
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:17:59 PM »

5815
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:17:05 PM »
God I hate Major League Baseball... F'd up my TBS primetime schedule. :censored:
If theres one thing I hate, its when a braves game is on and screws up my TV schedule!!! :P
:rofl2: Not big baseball fans I take it?  :P

5816
Questions, Comments, Suggestions / Re: Error Message?
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:16:08 PM »
Well if it goes away, then no harm done. :yes:

5817
The Game Room / Re: Guess the Next Poster
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:14:42 PM »
Nope

ilovetwc?

5818
General Weather Chat / Re: Winter Predictions
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:13:53 PM »
It did snow a few days last year but it was too warm to stick.  :doh: I remember that 03 snow. It was the day after Christmas. We almost had a white christmas... almost :P

5819
General Discussion / Re: Confused about the DTV Switch?
« on: October 06, 2008, 09:12:01 PM »
 :rofl2: :rofl2: Thanks so much for sharing.

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