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Messages - TWCToday

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1411
General Discussion / Re: Election Day Discussion & Coverage
« on: November 01, 2010, 09:04:13 PM »
I wish i could vote too but NJ afaik, isn't having any major elections.
You do know that every House seat is up for election

1412
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: October 31, 2010, 07:38:51 PM »
Happy Halloween!


1413
Everything Else TWC / Re: TWC Getting Back Into Weather?
« on: October 31, 2010, 02:29:51 AM »
I agree, big corprations are evil.
Thats not a fair statement. There are plenty of good big corporations/companies
But NBC is evil.  :yes:
That works :P

1414
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Shary
« on: October 30, 2010, 08:50:49 PM »
Shary is now a hurricane with winds of 75 mph as of 5 AM EDT.  It won't last too much longer as it heads harmlessly into the open Atlantic.

Looks like someone at the NHC wants to run up the # of hurricanes to me   <_<


:no:

If it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it's probably a duck.

Should a hurricane be conveniently ignored simply because it's not bothering land, is tiny, and extremely short-lived?  Are we to count only the Katrinas, Andrews, and Hugos?

Uh thats not what i meant at all. Several mets I have spoken to agree it most likely should not have been made a hurricane. The NHC discussion shows that they were conflicted

Quote
SHARY POSES A BIT OF A CONUNDRUM THIS MORNING. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO GROW AND BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC NEAR THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...TRMM PASSES FROM OVERNIGHT INDICATED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SMALL EYE FEATURE IN THE 37-GHZ CHANNEL. WHILE DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE HIGHER THAN EARLIER ...THEY ARE FAR FROM SUPPORTING HURRICANE INTENSITY...ALTHOUGH THESE SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE CLEARLY NOT HANDLING THIS SYSTEM WELL. THE DEEPENING OF CONVECTION AND THE EYE FEATURE IN MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGEST A FURTHER ORGANIZATION OF SHARY AND AT LEAST A NOMINAL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED FROM THE 60 KT OBSERVED FROM THE AIRCRAFT. NORMALLY A 5-KT WIND ADJUSTMENT WOULD NOT REQUIRE THIS MUCH DISCUSSION...BUT A CHANGE IN STATUS DOES COMPLICATE MATTERS. IT IS HARD TO DISCOUNT THE LARGE CONVECTIVE INCREASE AND THE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT ON MICROWAVE IMAGES SINCE THE AIRCRAFT DEPARTED...THUS THE INITIAL WINDS ARE NUDGED UPWARD TO 65 KT. THIS IS A GOOD CASE OF A SMALL HURRICANE THAT WAS VERY UNLIKELY TO BE OBSERVED BEFORE THE RECENT ERA WHEN MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY WAS AVAILABLE.


 Here is your duck at the time it was a hurricane

1415
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Shary
« on: October 30, 2010, 08:10:34 PM »
Shary is now a hurricane with winds of 75 mph as of 5 AM EDT.  It won't last too much longer as it heads harmlessly into the open Atlantic.
Looks like someone at the NHC wants to run up the # of hurricanes to me   <_<

1416
General Discussion / Re: Post your desktops
« on: October 29, 2010, 11:36:16 PM »

1417
Local Forecast / Re: the weather channels christmas music 2010
« on: October 29, 2010, 11:02:39 PM »
I think its crazy how they stop the music before Christmas is even over
...and how it only starts a week prior to. I say give it at least two weeks.
I agree. Two weeks is a fair time

1418
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: October 29, 2010, 10:58:41 PM »
Anyone headed to DC tomorrow?

1419
Hurricane Central / Hurricane Tomas
« on: October 29, 2010, 05:00:48 PM »
Huge storm with the potential to do some serious damage. It's expected to become a major cane
Quote
000
WTNT41 KNHC 292058
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
500 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
FOUND A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION...ALONG WITH FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS
AND UNCONTAMINATED SFMR SURFACE WINDS THAT SUPPORT A 35-KT TROPICAL
STORM. AS A RESULT...ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN INITIATED ON TROPICAL
STORM TOMAS...THE NINETEENTH NAMED STORM OF THE 2010 SEASON.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS AN UNCERTAIN 295/15...DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY
OF REFORMATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITHIN THE CENTRAL DEEP
CONVECTION. TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...PASSING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IN
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SO. AFTER THAT...THE BROAD TROUGH THAT IS LOCATED
OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND THE BAHAMAS IS FORECAST TO LIFT OUT TO
THE NORTHEAST...WHICH ALLOWS A RIDGE TO BUILD TO THE NORTH OF TOMAS
ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES...THE BAHAMAS...AND FLORIDA. THE
EASTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD FORCE TOMAS ON
MORE OF A WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH 96 HOURS. BY DAY 5...A SECOND MUCH
DEEPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND CAUSE THE RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED STEERING
CURRENTS TO WEAKEN. THE RESULT SHOULD BE A SHARP DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED BY 120 HOURS. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THIS DEVELOPING SCENARIO...EXCEPT FOR THE GFDL AND
HWRF MODELS...WHICH ARE CONSIDERED TO BE OUTLIERS AT THIS TIME.
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...BUT NOT AS FAR SOUTH AND WEST AS THE GFS...
ECMWF...AND UKMET MODELS...WHICH ARE DEPICTING A MUCH WEAKER AND
SMALLER TROPICAL CYCLONE THAN IS EXPECTED.

RECON AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL AND UPPER-LEVEL
CIRCULATIONS ARE NOT YET VERTICALLY ALIGNED...WHICH SHOULD RESULT
IN ONLY SLOW INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEAR TERM. HOWEVER...WITH A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998 MB...VERY MOIST MID-LEVELS...AND LOW
VERTICAL SHEAR...IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH FOR TOMAS TO INTENSIFY AT A
FASTER THAN NORMAL RATE. WHILE NOT EXPLICITLY INDICATING RAPID
INTENSIFICATION...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS THESE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...AND

1420
General Discussion / Re: What are you listening to?
« on: October 29, 2010, 03:21:28 AM »
Bruce Springsteen - Sherry Darling

1421
The Game Room / Re: "In my pants" Game
« on: October 29, 2010, 03:19:22 AM »
5000 posts imp

1422
Local Forecast / Re: the weather channels christmas music 2010
« on: October 29, 2010, 03:19:00 AM »
I think its crazy how they stop the music before Christmas is even over

1423
Everything Else TWC / Re: TWC Getting Back Into Weather?
« on: October 29, 2010, 03:17:36 AM »
I agree, big corprations are evil.
Thats not a fair statement. There are plenty of good big corporations/companies

1424
IntelliStar 2 Discussion / Re: IntelliStar 2 Beta Launch
« on: October 29, 2010, 03:15:57 AM »
I saw yesterday that Midcontinent Communications in Moorhead MN / West Fargo N.D. now has an Intellistar 2 HD with Local on the 8s in HD.   :biggrin:

Images/Video or it didn't happen!!!!!!  hahahaha   :biggrin:

I was going to this morning, but now I see it is back to the just the national info.  I wonder if they are having trouble with it.  It was working yesterday morning.  Maybe it just needs a reboot.


It was back last night, so I will try to get a video clip of it.
Cool :)

1425
Everything Else TWC / Re: General TWC Discussion
« on: October 29, 2010, 03:15:34 AM »
A theory... Someone may have partied too hard... Clearly there's more to why they're not using the video wall as a primary source, but this could be a factor...

Are you talking about the dark spot or the line (Which has been there). There is no reason why they could no still use the wall for graphics even with that area

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