16
General Discussion / Re: Happy Birthday, Victor!
« on: January 30, 2010, 06:23:16 PM »
Sorry for the delay but happy birthday Victor! 
))
))
December 23, 2024, 02:34:59 PM
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17
General Discussion / Re: Happy Birthday Tyler!
« on: January 30, 2010, 06:22:43 PM »
Yes Happy Birthday Tyler!
18
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: September 30, 2009, 10:51:40 AM »
Hey Guys,
I haven't be on these message boards for quite some time. But today, my forecast is released on the California Aggie (UC Davis Newspaper). Check it out. It's the bottom of the first page.
Instructions:
1. Go to: http://theaggie.org/
2. Click on where it says "Click to View" located on the right of the top page of the website.
3. Then download the pdf.
4. Scroll down to the bottom of the first page to see the forecast.
Enjoy!
I haven't be on these message boards for quite some time. But today, my forecast is released on the California Aggie (UC Davis Newspaper). Check it out. It's the bottom of the first page.
Instructions:
1. Go to: http://theaggie.org/
2. Click on where it says "Click to View" located on the right of the top page of the website.
3. Then download the pdf.
4. Scroll down to the bottom of the first page to see the forecast.
Enjoy!
19
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 21, 2009, 03:18:08 PM »
Next advisory...Hurricane Bill Weakens furthermore....
Wind Speed: 110 mph
Pressure: 957 mb
Location: 28.6N 66.6W
Wind Speed: 110 mph
Pressure: 957 mb
Location: 28.6N 66.6W
20
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 18, 2009, 03:34:08 PM »
Next advisory Hurricane Bill 110 mph!
Pressure: 962 mb!
Pressure: 962 mb!
21
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 18, 2009, 09:46:54 AM »
Next advisory
Hurricane Bill
Max Wind: 105 mph
Pressure: 963 mb
Hurricane Bill
Max Wind: 105 mph
Pressure: 963 mb
22
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 16, 2009, 10:38:42 AM »
Update....Ana remains the same in the next advisory, Bill Intensifies to 60 mph. Tropical Depression 4 remains the same. Guillermo remains the same.
23
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 16, 2009, 04:49:29 AM »
Next advisory will show Bill strengthen to 45 mph!
24
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 15, 2009, 04:11:44 PM »
Tropical Storm Bill..Next Advisory!
25
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 15, 2009, 11:47:40 AM »
Tropical Depression 3 will not be updated....Tropical Storm Bill!
26
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 15, 2009, 04:41:11 AM »
Finally Tropical Storm Ana has formed!
000
WTNT32 KNHC 150836
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009
...ANA FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM ANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.8 WEST OR ABOUT 1010
MILES...1630 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK ANA COULD
BE APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM NOAA BUOY
41041 IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.6N 46.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
WTNT32 KNHC 150836
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009
...ANA FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
TROPICAL STORM ANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.8 WEST OR ABOUT 1010
MILES...1630 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK ANA COULD
BE APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM NOAA BUOY
41041 IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.6N 46.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
27
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 12, 2009, 07:16:04 PM »
Wow what a diff. a few hours makes. Eariler this afternoon, the convection was all fired up around the center of the storm. Now, it has completly dissapered. This maybe because the low level inflow is to the north which is in a region of drier and stable air. The south side of tropical depression 2 is moisture feeding into the wave from the Cape Verdes. As a result, the intensity remains the same...30 knots..(35 mph). T.D. 2 can still be able to regain those thunderstorms in it's center as it's in a favorable enviornment. Unless, the sheer weakens and the low level inflow is in a moist region, I do NOT see this system further developing.
BTW...The Wave in the Cape Verdes has better chance of being Ana!
BTW...The Wave in the Cape Verdes has better chance of being Ana!
28
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 12, 2009, 03:23:29 PM »
Ana is def. likely by the next update...it has even been declared on the NHC products....
AL, 02, 2009081218, , BEST, 0, 143N, 344W, 35, 1005, TS,
AL, 02, 2009081218, , BEST, 0, 143N, 344W, 35, 1005, TS,
29
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 12, 2009, 01:47:00 PM »According to the DVORAK readings, tropical storm ANA has formed....Advisory will come out in 2 hours...let's see how they will declare thisRod, this is why you can't go by those readings alone: The 11 AM EDT advisory still keeps Tropical Depression #2 at 35 mph as it tries to get organized against shear.
12/1145 UTC 14.3N 33.5W T2.5/2.5 02L
Yes...the also analyze the QUIKSCAT....see they mentioned it in the discussion....
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO SHOWS A CLASSICAL SHEAR PATTERN IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY THIS MORNING...WITH UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS DISPLACING
THE CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER.
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED TO 35 KT FROM TAFB AND
SAB. HOWEVER...A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS AT 0812Z DID NOT SHOW
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND VECTORS THAT LOOKED RELIABLE. THUS...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. AT THIS TIME...
MOST OF THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE DEPRESSION SEEMS TO BE COMING
FROM THE NORTH...REPRESENTING POSSIBLY MORE STABLE AIR PASSING OVER
COOLER WATERS. THE FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE DEPRESSION IS
FEEDING INTO A LARGE DISTURBANCE BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND
AFRICA.
35 knots = 40 mph
30
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« on: August 12, 2009, 09:35:04 AM »
According to the DVORAK readings, tropical storm ANA has formed....Advisory will come out in 2 hours...let's see how they will declare this
12/1145 UTC 14.3N 33.5W T2.5/2.5 02L
12/1145 UTC 14.3N 33.5W T2.5/2.5 02L