Messages

931

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 06, 2012, 10:38:02 PM »

Fwiw, the 00z GFS still shows there is a Hurricane (probably major status) affects the East Coast between August 20-22. Again, WAY out there, but it honestly wouldn't surprise me. We have plenty of time to watch it starting as early as this Friday as that's when the wave exits off the African coast. It also turns it into a tropical storm as soon as it's out in the water.

I saw that same system days ago on the GFS impacting the east coast and made a post of it earlier in this thread (top of the page), it's been showing up on almost every GFS run so I'm confident in it's formation, not so confident on it's track, I give it a 40% chance of impacting the east coast.

932

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: August 06, 2012, 05:10:53 PM »

Very interesting! I would have definitely would have got scared too of the sirens. 

933

The Game Room / Re: Yes or No Question

« on: August 06, 2012, 11:33:22 AM »

No

Do you live within 3 miles of the coast?

934

The Game Room / Re: Yes or No Question

« on: August 06, 2012, 09:24:15 AM »

Not often at all

Do you like short winter days over long summer days?

935

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 05, 2012, 08:21:05 PM »

... Strong thunderstorms will impact Nassau... Queens and Suffolk
counties...

At 757 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from New Rochelle to 9
miles southeast of Rockaway Beach... and moving east at 45 mph.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning... and winds up to 40 mph are
expected with these storms. In addition... very heavy rain is
occurring with these storms. This could cause ponding of water on
roadways... and minor flooding of poor drainage areas.

Lightning is one of natures number one killers. Remember... if you can
hear thunder... you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move
to safe shelter immediately.

Lat... Lon 4058 7374 4079 7378 4087 7373 4085 7366
      4091 7364 4090 7349 4095 7349 4091 7341
      4096 7339 4091 7323 4094 7313 4072 7312
      4065 7338 4065 7337 4067 7323 4064 7321
      4066 7321 4065 7311 4058 7356

Ln

936

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 05, 2012, 05:49:04 PM »

From the NWS forecast discussion:

IT APPEARS TO BE MORE STABLE OVER THE S COASTS PER STLT...SO HAVE
KEPT THE FCST MAINLY DRY ACROSS PORTIONS OF LI UNTIL TNGT.
ELSEWHERE...POPS ARE BASED ON THE HRRR FOR ONGOING CONVECTION WITH
A BACKGROUND OF ISOLD CHANCES.

MAIN THREAT WITH THE LINE APPEARS TO BE WIND AS IT APPROACHES.
STILL TIME TO EVALUATE THE POTENTIAL...BUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT COLD POOL COULD POSE THE MOST SVR WIND THREAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /10 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO ROLL EWD AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. THERE
WILL REMAIN THE THREAT FOR AN EMBEDDED SVR STORM...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS LI AS A BOUNDARY FORMS DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW AND LAND/SEA
INTERACTION. MAIN THREAT HOWEVER WILL REMAIN THE LOC HVY RAIN.

937

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 05, 2012, 12:56:04 PM »

89°F Partly Cloudy & Windy
Dew Point: 80°F
Heat Index: 105°F

938

Local Forecast / Re: August 2012 Playlist

« on: August 04, 2012, 10:28:01 PM »

All Moby songs are great 

939

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 04, 2012, 10:26:42 PM »

80.5°F Mostly Cloudy
Dew Point: 74.8°F

Muggy evening here 

940

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 04, 2012, 10:54:33 AM »

...Hazardous Weather Outlook

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
STARTING AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. A MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS. THE GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF NYC.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN LIKELY TO SPREAD OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION

-NWS

941

General Discussion / Re: Where in the world have you been?

« on: August 03, 2012, 07:26:42 PM »

Updated state map, this also includes states I traveled through. New states added:

Rhode Island
Massachusetts
New Hampshire



create your own personalized map of the USA

942

Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012

« on: August 03, 2012, 07:15:29 PM »

I'm not surprised about the new invest. I saw that same system on the NAM making landfall in Florida. Might not develop into much though.

943

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 03, 2012, 02:21:05 PM »

Images courtesy of NOAA/NWS

944

General Weather Chat / Re: Weather Photo Thread

« on: August 03, 2012, 12:27:45 PM »

Nice sea breeze thunderstorm that built up, perfect day for one, temps in the 80's and 90's, dew points in the upper 70's and around 80.

EDIT: You also notice how the camera lens fogged up a bit, goes to show how humid it was outside!

945

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 03, 2012, 12:10:43 PM »

It's that time of the year again when we can get those sea breeze pop-up thunderstorms!

... Strong thunderstorm will impact Suffolk County...

At noon EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking a
strong thunderstorm developing near Ronkonkoma... remaining nearly
stationary.

Small hail is expected with this storm. In addition... very heavy
rain is occurring with this storm. This could cause ponding of water
on roadways.

Lat... Lon 4065 7313 4066 7313 4068 7307 4071 7307
      4072 7312 4069 7315 4070 7323 4069 7326
      4078 7336 4096 7313 4088 7289 4074 7295
      4074 7302 4072 7307 4067 7306 4070 7297
      4068 7299 4065 7310


Pw