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Messages - TWCCraig

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916

General Weather Chat / Record Low Arctic Sea Ice Extent Possible Soon

« on: August 13, 2012, 09:10:09 AM »

I'd like to address a very concerning issue. The arctic sea ice extent this year has been so well below normal and is currently at a record low level to the current date. The current ice extent is also nearing the all-time lowest Arctic ice extent ever recorded, and it's only August. This is a very dangerous issue. The arctic sea ice sea ice extent has never been this low this early in the year. One major cause for the sea ice loss is a powerful low pressure system that has been impacting the arctic for a while, that low pressure system has moved away but it's damage is done. The storm that dropped to I believe 976mb caused rough seas, breaking apart the ice, causing more surface area to be exposed, thus creating more ice loss. I believe we will see record low ice extent in the arctic this September, if not earlier. Please note, I did not bring up this topic to trigger a debate on climate change, I did it to address a very important issue that could also be discussed in a non-debateful way.

Record Low Arctic Ice Extent Graphs and Maps:

Image Credit: NSIDC (National Snow & Ice Data Center)

917

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 13, 2012, 08:30:41 AM »

75.1°F Sunny
RH: 74%
Dew Point: 66.3°F DRY
This morning's low: 67.1°F

918

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 11, 2012, 10:01:59 PM »

77.8°F Overcast

919

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 10, 2012, 06:17:02 PM »

000
NOUS41 KOKX 102153
PNSOKX
NYZ080-112200-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
549 PM EDT FRI AUG 10 2012

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR GREAT RIVER NORTH TO RONKONKOMA IN SUFFOLK
COUNTY NEW YORK...

LOCATION...GREAT RIVER NORTH TO RONKONKOMA IN SUFFOLK COUNTY NEW
YORK
DATE...AUGUST 10, 2012
ESTIMATED TIME...2:06 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...85 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...150 YARDS
YARDS PATH LENGTH...4.5 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.72 / 73.16W
ENDING LAT/LON...40.80 / 73.12W
* FATALITIES...UNKNOWN
* INJURIES...UNKNOWN

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN
NWS STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED AN EF0 TORNADO
NEAR GREAT RIVER NORTH TO RONKONKOMA IN SUFFOLK COUNTY NEW YORK ON
AUGUST 10, 2012.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY IN SOUTH CENTRAL
SUFFOLK COUNTY NEW YORK. BASED ON THIS SURVEY...THE TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN ON WIDGEON COURT IN GREAT RIVER AND TRACKED NORTH
WHEN IT LIFTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF OCEAN AVENUE AND GARY WAY
ROAD IN RONKONKOMA.

THE TRACK WAS ACROSS CONNEQUOT RIVER STATE PARK...BOHEMIA COUNTY
PARK AND BOHEMIA. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED
BETWEEN 8TH AVENUE AND FEUEREISEN AVENUE IN BOHEMIA AROUND 2:11 PM
EDT. TREES WERE TWISTED AND SNAPPED OFF...FALLING ONTO CARS AND
HOUSES. MULTIPLE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND THROWN ONTO POWER LINES.
SEVERAL HOMES WERE DAMAGED DUE TO FALLEN TREES IN OAKDALE AND
BOHEMIA. THERE WERE SEVERAL EYEWITNESS REPORTS OF THE TORNADO
MOVING NORTH ALONG THE CONNEQUOT RIVER AND IN BOHEMIA AS WELL.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THANKS BOTH THE BOHEMIA FIRE DEPARTMENT
AND THE SUFFOLK COUNTY OFFICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR THEIR
SUPPORT IN CONDUCTING THIS SURVEY.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES
INTO THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

$$

2

920

The Game Room / Re: Lie your Butt Off

« on: August 10, 2012, 03:40:09 PM »

3 tornado warnings weren't issued for Suffolk County today.

921

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 10, 2012, 01:36:01 PM »

URGENT TORNADO WARNING!

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Suffolk County in southeast New York...

* until 200 PM EDT...

* at 130 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado near Robert
Moses State Park... moving north at 25 mph.

* Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to
Captree State Park... Babylon... Bay Shore... Islip... Sayville... Deer
Park... Brentwood... Stony Brook... Smithtown... Ronkonkoma... Port
Jefferson... Holbrook... Hauppauge... Farmingville... Dix Hills...
Commack and Centereach

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

When a Tornado Warning is issued based on Doppler radar... it means
that strong rotation has been detected in the storm. A tornado may
already be on the ground... or is expected to develop shortly. If you
are in the path of this dangerous storm... move indoors and to the
lowest level of the building. Stay away from windows. If driving... do
not seek shelter under a Highway overpass.

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a
workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is
available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an
interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to
cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a
substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the
nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

Lat... Lon 4063 7333 4063 7334 4065 7334 4067 7324
4069 7326 4067 7334 4093 7334 4091 7321
4093 7316 4098 7312 4097 7302 4072 7307
4072 7312 4069 7315 4070 7321 4067 7320
4065 7316 4067 7308 4065 7308 4061 7331
time... Mot... loc 1733z 184deg 21kt 4063 7321

Sears

REISSUED:

... A Tornado Warning remains in effect until 215 PM EDT for Suffolk
County...

At 200 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar continued to
indicate a tornado. This tornado was located near connectquot
river... moving north at 25 mph.

Other locations in the warning include but are not limited to
Holbrook

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a
workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is
available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an
interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to
cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a
substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the
nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

Lat... Lon 4072 7317 4079 7318 4079 7307 4072 7310
4072 7312 4072 7315
time... Mot... loc 1802z 194deg 22kt 4078 7313

Sears

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Suffolk County in southeast New York...

* until 400 PM EDT...

* at 156 PM EDT... the public reported flash flooding from a
thunderstorm in the Babylon area. Flash flooding is possible with
this thunderstorm as it progresses to the north over Suffolk County
through 3 PM.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams... urban areas... highways... streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

Lat... Lon 4092 7344 4091 7321 4095 7315 4096 7289
4076 7289 4074 7294 4072 7289 4071 7295
4074 7294 4070 7297 4074 7296 4074 7303
4069 7315 4070 7324 4065 7338 4066 7320
4062 7341

Sears

08/10/2012 0328 PM

4 miles ENE of Plum Island, Suffolk County.

Marine tstm wind rted by broadcast media m58 mph, reported by public m48 mph, reported by mesonet.

08/10/2012 0230 PM

Gilgo Beach, Suffolk County.

Marine tstm wind damage, reported by trained spotter m47 mph, reported by mesonet m43 mph, reported by mesonet.

08/10/2012 0300 PM

Ridge, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by broadcast media.

Wading River Manor Road and Long Pond Road closed due
to flooding. Corrected for spelling.

08/10/2012 0328 PM

4 miles ENE of Plum Island, Suffolk County.

Marine tstm wind rted by broadcast media m58 mph, reported by public m48 mph, reported by mesonet.

08/10/2012 0155 PM

Babylon, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by trained spotter.

Flooding up to car door windows.

08/10/2012 0206 PM

Great River, Suffolk County.

Tornado, reported by NWS employee.

Wires down on widgen court off of River Road.

08/10/2012 0209 PM

Lake Grove, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by law enforcement.

Several roads closed due to flooding in Lake Grove...
Hauppauge... Lake Ronkonkoma... and Kings Park. Time
based on radar.

08/10/2012 0211 PM

Bohemia, Suffolk County.

Tornado, reported by NWS employee.

Dozens of trees down.

08/10/2012 0212 PM

Baywood, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by dept of highways.

Two lanes of the southern state Parkway closed in both
directions between exits 39 and 40.

08/10/2012 0214 PM

Ronkonkoma, Suffolk County.

Tornado, reported by NWS employee.

Several trees down near intersection of ocean Avenue
and Gary way Road.

08/10/2012 0215 PM

Lake Ronkonkoma, Suffolk County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.

Tree snapped in half on Lakewood Avenue and St. Josephs
Avenue.

08/10/2012 0225 PM

1 miles SSE of east moriche, Suffolk County.

Marine tstm wind damage, reported by trained spotter m47 mph, reported by mesonet.

08/10/2012 0215 PM

Lake Ronkonkoma, Suffolk County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.

Tree snapped in half on Lakewood Avenue and St. Josephs
Avenue.

08/10/2012 0300 PM

Ridge, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by broadcast media.

Wading River Manor Road and Long Pond Road closed due
to flooding. Corrected for spelling.

08/10/2012 0328 PM

4 miles ENE of Plum Island, Suffolk County.

Marine tstm wind rted by broadcast media m58 mph, reported by public m48 mph, reported by mesonet.

08/10/2012 0155 PM

Babylon, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by trained spotter.

Flooding up to car door windows.

08/10/2012 0206 PM

Great River, Suffolk County.

Tornado, reported by NWS employee.

Wires down on widgen court off of River Road.

08/10/2012 0209 PM

Lake Grove, Suffolk County.

Flash flood, reported by law enforcement.

Several roads closed due to flooding in Lake Grove...
Hauppauge... Lake Ronkonkoma... and Kings Park. Time
based on radar.

... NWS meteorologists are currently surveying storm damage near
Oakdale in Suffolk County New York...

The National Weather Service office in New York NY is currently
conducting a storm survey for the area near Oakdale in Suffolk
County New York. The survey is in relation to the severe
thunderstorms that moved through the area on August 10 2012.

A final assessment including results of the survey are expected
to be completed and transmitted via a public information
statement by 6 PM EDT.

It will also be available on our website... which can be found at
weather.Gov/NYC.

After the storm: Wow, I'm amazed, we did get gusty winds, up to I'd say at most 50mph, I did notice a change in wind direction, SE to WNW. All the streets here are completely flooded too.

922

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: August 10, 2012, 01:33:04 PM »

78.1°F VERY Heavy Rain Windy

MIND = BLOWN

EDIT: TORNADO WARNING!!!!!

923

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: August 10, 2012, 01:32:04 PM »

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued an

* Urban Flood Advisory for...
Suffolk County in southeast New York...
Nassau County in southeast New York...

* until 245 PM EDT...

* at 116 PM EDT National Weather Service radar showed heavy
showers and thunderstorms south of Long Island moving northeast
around 40 mph. These storms will cross Nassau and western Suffolk
County between 130 and 230 PM.

Maximum hourly rainfall rates will vary from 1 to 2 inches causing
rapid ponding of water in low lying and poor drainage areas
throughout the advisory area.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the
roadway. Most flooding deaths occur in automobiles. Turn around and
find another Route.

Excessive runoff from this storm will cause flooding of urban
areas... highways... streets and underpasses as well as other drainage
areas and low lying spots.

Be prepared to take action if the flooding threat increases... or a
warning is issued.

Lat... Lon 4063 7368 4086 7371 4087 7368 4085 7366
4087 7366 4093 7326 4091 7321 4094 7315
4096 7305 4068 7301 4072 7304 4072 7312
4069 7315 4070 7324 4068 7327 4066 7326
4066 7327 4067 7327 4068 7331 4065 7339

Sears

... Strong thunderstorms will impact Nassau and Suffolk counties...

At 117 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking a
strong thunderstorm 12 miles south of Gilgo State Park... or 13 miles
southwest of Robert Moses State Park... and moving north at 40 mph.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning... and winds up to 40 mph are
expected with this storm. In addition... very heavy rain... with
rainfall rates between 1 and 2 inches an hour... is occurring with
this storm. This could cause ponding of water on roadways... and
minor flooding of poor drainage areas.

Lightning is one of natures number one killers. Remember... if you can
hear thunder... you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move
to safe shelter immediately.

Lat... Lon 4089 7362 4093 7330 4091 7321 4095 7314
4096 7289 4074 7297 4072 7312 4069 7315
4070 7324 4065 7338 4067 7324 4064 7321
4066 7321 4070 7299 4068 7299 4061 7326
4063 7336 4058 7355 4058 7367

Sears

924