November 29, 2024, 11:32:10 AM

Show Posts

This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.


Messages - TWCCraig

Pages: 1 ... 53 54 [55] 56 57 ... 111
811
Craig, I'm fine with naming big winter storms after they occur. ;)  I'm not a fan of seeing someone wasting precious time trying to decide if a highly uncertain and complex winter storm should be named before it happens.  The public only wants to know what's going to happen, how much will fall, when will it start and end, and what should they do.  Besides, what would we define as the naming criteria for a developing winter storm?  Pressure and winds alone won't work.  You have to consider so many other factors.

Furthermore, you're taking a huge risk of downplaying unnamed winter storms before they create disasters.  A small area of low pressure could trigger 1/2" of ice from freezing drizzle over Atlanta, or a small Alberta clipper could set up lake-effect bands that dump 1'-2' of snow and cause blizzard conditions in Chicago.  These hypothetical systems would never be named before they happened as they're so subtle, but they would create a nightmare for those cities that names may be needed after the fact.

I see your point. I think I have came to conclusion but I'd like to see their criteria for naming specific storms. It should be interesting what the criteria is and I wonder if it varies from region to region.

812
I may be the only few who actually like this idea. I don't think TWC should be doing it, I think officially naming a storm should lie in the hands of the NWS though. One major reason why I support naming winter storms is because winter storms are hugely underrated compared to lets say your average named tropical storm or even a Cat. 1 hurricane. For example, such power storms like the Post-Christmas blizzard of 2010, had such major impacts and statistics here in the northeast. I'm saying this not because what impacts it makes, but the statistics of the storm as well. MSLP dropped to 964mb in the storm, similar to a Cat 3. hurricane. Winds gusted up to 94mph with that blizzard in Nova Scotia (highest wind gust on Long Island was 70mph). Those are some pretty intense winds! Also, some major coastal storms can bring major storm surge and coastal flooding, something hurricanes can do as well. Precipitation is major as well, some storms dropping 2' of snow can cause grid lock in many cities and high amount of rain can cause serious flooding, and ice can create problems too. My alternative argument is why not? Europe has been naming storms since 1954, and Europe can get some pretty intense storms as well with very high winds, high amounts of precip. etc. I agree with Dr. Jeff Masters' in this quote.

Quote from Dr. Jeff Masters' Wunderblog:
Quote
Do you remember the North American blizzard of February 4, 2010? No? Well, do you remember Snowmageddon, the massive February 2010 Nor'easter that dumped up to 38" of snow in the mid-Atlantic, and killed 41 people? The two storms are the same, but having a simple name for the snowstorm like "Snowmageddon" helps us identify and remember the impacts of the storm. Naming a major winter storm makes even more sense if it is done before the storm hits, to aid in raising awareness of the storm, and to reduce the risks the public faces

813
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: October 01, 2012, 03:28:18 PM »
IF ONLY the GFS were accurate..:D

I can't wait for the first snow!
The GFS is one of the more reliable models of them all, the GFS and ECMWF I think tie. I do believe that because the GFS is capable of producing much more longer range forecasts than the ECMWF, it may not be accurate in the long run, but it sure does give us a general trend. I never conclude that whatever happens more than a week out on the model run will exactly happen the way the model is depicting it. But overall, it's really beneficial that it gives us a general pattern.

814
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: September 30, 2012, 02:51:32 PM »
68.4°F Partly Cloudy w/ Light Drizzle

815
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: September 29, 2012, 10:45:08 PM »
Ugh... Is the GFS ALREADY hinting the signs of ANOTHER October snow storm for the interior northeast? Last year when the GFS did that, looked what happened. This exactly what I didn't want. We probably won't get snow, but I definitely don't want the cold temps to arrive this fast.  :thumbdown:

Note:
Map = Precip Type
Green = Rain
Red = Freezing Rain/Sleet/Mix
Blue = Snow

816
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: September 28, 2012, 06:30:29 PM »
That time of the year again  :bang:

817
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: September 28, 2012, 05:26:03 PM »
70.9°F Cloudy
RH: 89%
Dew Point: 67.5°F
Rainfall today: 0.13"

We were under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning earlier and that storm was almost capable of producing a tornado at one point. Very surprised to still see very severe weather this late in the year.

818
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: September 28, 2012, 02:55:33 PM »
09/28/2012 1200 PM

1 miles SSW of Eatons Neck, Suffolk County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Fire Dept/Rescue.


            Trees and wires down on Norfolk drive in Eatons Neck.

819
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: September 27, 2012, 05:57:38 PM »
27 years ago today, Hurricane Gloria made landfall here on Long Island as a Category 2 hurricane with 100mph winds. My parents were in the storm and they experienced the eye of the storm as well.

820
General Discussion / Re: What are you listening to?
« on: September 26, 2012, 08:52:50 AM »
"Summer" by Moby  :happy:

821
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: September 26, 2012, 08:03:51 AM »
68.4°F Mostly Cloudy

Yesterday's Morning Low: 45.7°F
Today's Morning Low: 64.4°F

822
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: September 25, 2012, 02:15:53 PM »
Sorry to post so much in this thread, be sure to check out other threads.

EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES occurred this morning.

Some observations:
My PWS: 45.7°F
KISP: 44°F
LI Pine Barrens: 37°F
Montauk Point: 57°F
Fire Island: 60°F
Farmingdale: 46°F
Central Park: 55°F

823
IntelliStar 2 Discussion / Re: General IS2 Discussion
« on: September 24, 2012, 08:52:40 PM »
The major downside to this, especially for us tropical enthusiasts, is that there is now zero satellite imagery for the Atlantic ocean.

Welcome back to 1960. Well, not really...but it's a setback. :P

I'm sure other countries' satellites must provide at least some coverage of the Atlantic Ocean.

From what I heard, they are already implementing backup satellites. Two good GOES satellites that can give you good coverage of the CON US and the North Atlantic right now are GOES-12 and GOES-14.

824
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: September 24, 2012, 06:40:08 PM »
48°F at KISP this morning
49.3°F at my weather station this morning
Ocean keeps me warm  :happy:

Coldest morning low since May 19th!

825
IntelliStar 2 Discussion / Re: General IS2 Discussion
« on: September 24, 2012, 11:32:05 AM »
The satellite on the regional Satellite/Radar view on the IS2 is not updating. It doesn't move, or match up to the precip, and I'm pretty sure it is the same as it was on Sunday afternoon. Anyone else noticing this, or is it just me?

EDIT: It just started updating again.
Please keep in mind, if you don't already know, that GOES-13 satellite imagery that takes various types of satellite imagery is experiencing an outage right now. This is most likely the reason why your satellite and on the majority of all ISs and IS2s are not updating. TWC can fix this by taking imagery from GOES-15, though the quality might not be as good.

Pages: 1 ... 53 54 [55] 56 57 ... 111