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Messages - TWCCraig

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706
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 22, 2012, 03:43:47 PM »
52.2°F Mostly Sunny

Nice sunset setting up.

707
General Discussion / Re: The Pot Belly Stove
« on: November 21, 2012, 10:29:30 PM »
Where is everyone going for thanksgiving? i'm going to spend it home with my family.

Staying here in Long Beach with my girlfriend  :happy:  It'll be our first independent Thanksgiving together. We live too far away from any of our relatives and we are also short on money to be driving 300 miles away to see them  :(

Same here. Most of my family is separated though I sure wish I could be with my extended family. I'm spending Thanksgiving with my regular family.

708
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 21, 2012, 05:44:59 PM »
46.4°F Partly Cloudy

Ridiculous to see that the OKX radar has been out for 10 days now and won't be expecting it to be back online until the first week of December.  :o

709
The Game Room / Re: Lie your Butt Off
« on: November 20, 2012, 06:44:39 PM »
I'm not very tan for November.  B)

710
General Discussion / Re: Happy Birthday, Mac (plane852)!
« on: November 20, 2012, 02:37:11 PM »
Happy Birthday!

711
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 18, 2012, 06:57:53 PM »
43.4°F Mostly Cloudy

712
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 17, 2012, 05:07:59 PM »
46.6°F Clear

Hating these short winter days, and they're only getting worse.

713
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 17, 2012, 09:12:48 AM »
45.4°F Mostly Sunny

Getting off to a good start. :happy:

714
General Weather Chat / Re: Record Low Arctic Sea Ice Extent Possible Soon
« on: November 16, 2012, 10:12:56 PM »
Yet around Antarctica, ice is growing.   :dunno:

That's nothing I would be concerned about. The amount that the arctic is loosing is no where near where how much the antarctic is gaining. Some research has been done with this and one of the possible explanations for this is an increased amount of precip around Antarctica, leading to more snowpack which could allow for more sea ice. There are a wide variety of theories for it. But, in no ways what so ever should AGW be contradicted just because the antarctic is gaining some ice, compared to the arctic at loosing ice at record low levels.

715
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 16, 2012, 02:26:53 PM »
48.2°F Mostly Cloudy

Seems like a typical winter day. Trees are bare, ground is brown, skies are filled with altostratus clouds.

716
General Discussion / Re: What are you listening to?
« on: November 16, 2012, 02:22:34 PM »
Joe Cocker - The Letter (LIVE)

Love that song!

I'm listening to Na Na Hey Hey by Steam

Steam - na na hey hey kiss him goodbye

717
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: November 12, 2012, 01:15:54 PM »
65.2°F Mostly Cloudy

Clouds are limiting daytime heating :(

718
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: November 12, 2012, 07:10:51 AM »
... Dense fog advisory in effect until 8 am EST this morning...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a dense fog
advisory... which is in effect until 8 am EST this morning.

* Locations... Suffolk County NY

* hazards... dense fog

* visibilities... one quarter mile or less at times.

* Timing... through 8 am this morning

* impacts... |restrictions to visibility. Motorists will need to
exercise extra safety precautions while driving.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A dense fog advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to one quarter mile or less. If driving... slow down... use
your low beam headlights... and leave plenty of distance ahead of
you in case a sudden stop is needed.


Gc

719
General Weather Chat / Re: Here comes another one! Approx Nov 20th
« on: November 11, 2012, 06:13:19 PM »
Jesse, I wouldn't panic yet.  This system could very easily move further offshore like the Euro solution shows and not affect you.  The Euro is the better model here over the GFS for this far out in the forecast.  Furthermore, we're talking 216 hours away from this scenario, and a lot could change between now and then.
Just because it's more reliable doesn't mean it should always be trusted. It did good with Sandy compared to the GFS, but lets remember how bad the ECMWF did with Debby earlier in the year, in which the GFS dominated.

Currently the HPC is preferring the GFS in the late period:
BY DAY 5/FRI THE 00Z GFS BECOMES FASTER THAN
THE 00Z ECMWF/CANADIAN WITH A MORE SIGNIFICANT TROUGH QUICKLY
FOLLOWING.  GIVEN THE GROWING UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME FRAME...THE
PREFERENCE IS FOR THE MODEL CONSENSUS...WITH THE ENSEMBLE
SPAGHETTI DIAGRAMS FAVORING THE FASTER GFS.  A SIMILAR APPROACH IS
PREFERRED OVER THE GREAT LAKES BY NEXT WEEKEND...WITH THE 00Z GFS
BETTER SUPPORTED BY OTHER GUIDANCE COMPARED TO THE 00Z
ECMWF...WHICH IS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST.  THUS...
THE PRELIMINARY PRESSURES/FRONTS WILL USE A 50/50 BLEND OF THE
GFS/ECMWF TO BEGIN THE PERIOD...THEN GRADUALLY TRANSITION TOWARD A
50/50 BLEND OF THE GEFS MEAN/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN BY DAYS
6/7...WITH MORE DETAILS FROM THE OPERATIONAL GFS PREFERRED OVER
THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF LATE IN THE PERIOD. JAMES

720
General Discussion / Re: Happy Birthday, Donovan!
« on: November 10, 2012, 09:18:58 PM »
Happy birthday  :biggrin:

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